{
  "version": "https://jsonfeed.org/version/1.1",
  "title": "orbyd",
  "home_page_url": "https://orbyd.app/",
  "feed_url": "https://orbyd.app/feed.json",
  "description": "Continuous market intelligence built on frontier language models. Per-ticker dossiers, regime-tagged journal, weekly macro view, sector rotation, live watchlist. Open methodology, every read dated, every call scored in public.",
  "icon": "https://orbyd.app/icon-512.png",
  "favicon": "https://orbyd.app/favicon.svg",
  "language": "en-US",
  "authors": [
    {
      "name": "orbyd",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app"
    }
  ],
  "items": [
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/OKTA/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/OKTA/",
      "title": "OKTA — Okta, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Identity-software momentum continuation: OKTA gapped to a 52-week high on a Q1 FY27 beat and FY27 guide raise (2026-05-29). Theme classifier still ACCELERATING (0.78), but the catalyst is now behind it the entire sell-side PT-raise cluster is dated 2026-05-29 and Mizuho already cut to Neutral (06-02). Setup is maturing, not fresh.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:held",
        "ai-enterprise-systems-data-software"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BFLY/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BFLY/",
      "title": "BFLY — Butterfly Network, Inc.",
      "content_text": "AI point-of-care ultrasound narrative accelerating: Q1 2026 revenue +25% YoY ($26.5M), Butterfly Embedded chip-licensing +147%, first FDA-cleared blind-sweep AI tool, Compass AI and HomeCare commercializing through 2026. But the CBO sold ~$1.9M into the June social-velocity spike and price stalled below the $5.72 high fundamentals accelerating, the easy price gain likely already spent.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:held",
        "medtech-devices-diagnostics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PL/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PL/",
      "title": "PL — Planet Labs PBC",
      "content_text": "Record Q1 FY27 beat (6/4: rev $94.15M vs $89.85M est, adj EPS $(0.03) vs $(0.04), FY27 guide nudged to $425-441M) and the stock sold off, then sank again 6/5 as a $1.5B equity shelf was filed and the space cluster rolled over on SpaceX-IPO fatigue (Redwire/Momentus -20%). Theme SATURATED (UFO ETF $1B AUM). Strong fundamentals into broken, rolled-over price structure = value trap. No-touch until ~$42 reclaims and a base rebuilds.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:held",
        "space-satellite"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PLTR/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PLTR/",
      "title": "PLTR — Palantir Technologies Inc.",
      "content_text": "Commercial-flywheel re-acceleration (Google Cloud Marketplace + Dell on-prem + multi-vertical deal cadence into June) plus Trump 'trusted partner' 60-day clock but price was rejected at the 200-DMA (2026-06-03) on a MATURING, publicly-saturated theme. Wedbush reiterated $230 (2026-06-05). Trade the reclaim, not the rejection.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:watchlist",
        "ai-mag7-software-platforms"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/TSEM/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/TSEM/",
      "title": "TSEM — Tower Semiconductor Ltd.",
      "content_text": "Specialty-foundry AI-recovery confirmed by the 2026-05-13 Q1 beat (op profit ~doubled, GM up, Q2 guide raised, +17%) but the catalyst is fully digested, sell-side caught up ($300–335 PTs), news dry 3 weeks, theme registry narrowed to one tag. The ACCELERATING leg is maturing. No catalyst inside 30d; next binary is the Q2 print ~early Aug. Clean re-entry wants a higher-low / 20-EMA pullback, not a 2-month-early chase.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:watchlist",
        "semiconductor-analog-components"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AAOI/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AAOI/",
      "title": "AAOI — Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Optical ACCEL but secondary to cleaner COHR; +400% YTD parabola, $600M ATM supply ceiling, ETF/MEME-saturated, ~2.2x consensus PT. Peak-sentiment chase, no catalyst ~8wks WATCH.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:watchlist",
        "networking-optical"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AMD/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AMD/",
      "title": "AMD — Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.",
      "content_text": "AI-chip ACCELERATING but (rank 34%), parabolic ATH chase, ARK persistent distribution dossier wants the ~$420 shelf retest.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:watchlist",
        "ai-chip-infra-memory"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/COIN/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/COIN/",
      "title": "COIN — Coinbase Global, Inc.",
      "content_text": "1.5–2.5x BTC-beta proxy mid-bear-leg, not a dip: BTC sub-$63K, −26% on the month, 11-day ETF outflow streak (−$3.45B), MSTR now selling. COIN ~$174 (6/4) sliced under the $180 Piper anchor; Baird just cut its PT to $142 (6/5). Falling knife no long until BTC reclaims ~$68K and COIN closes >$185 weekly.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:watchlist",
        "digital-assets-fintech-payments"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CRCL/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CRCL/",
      "title": "CRCL — Circle Internet Group, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Mastercard USDC settlement catalyst (6/03) printed and is being faded the same release added Ripple's RLUSD, commoditizing the 'only rail' thesis. Theme model flipped SATURATED (6/05) and Mizuho cut its PT to $85 the next day. A sold-the-news setup into a wall of neutral ratings and Tiger Global's full exit. Watch, do not chase.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:watchlist",
        "digital-assets-fintech-payments"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CRWV/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CRWV/",
      "title": "CRWV — CoreWeave, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Post-Q1 beat-and-fade mean-reverted from the mid-$130s April peak to a ~$104 post-print low; now a basing/recovery attempt on fresh dated catalysts (Vera Rubin NVL72 first-validation 6/1, BNP Paribas Outperform $192 init 6/2, enlarged NVDA stake, 6/5 NBIS-comp upside spotlight). No print until Aug 11 = no binary overhang, but CRWV is still the theme laggard funded with junk-rated paper. Improving, not yet a clean breakout LOW probe.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:watchlist",
        "gpu-cloud-neoclouds"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/HOOD/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/HOOD/",
      "title": "HOOD — Robinhood Markets, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Crypto-financials SATURATED (0.15), faded its own PDT good news to a weak close ~47% below ATH, CLARITY odds cut 90%→60% broken structure, no base.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:watchlist",
        "prediction-markets-sports-betting"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/META/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/META/",
      "title": "META — Meta Platforms, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Monetization-beyond-ads leg (Business Agent Platform, $200/mo Hatch) is still young, but the live tape flipped to capex-dilution fear: a 6/5 report of a tens-of-$B equity raise to fund AI infra triggered an investor dump (\"drunken sailors\") and CNBC-visible institutional trims. The CapEx-discipline thesis is under direct attack; theme MATURING into a crashing broad market.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:watchlist",
        "ai-mag7-software-platforms"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MSTR/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MSTR/",
      "title": "MSTR — Strategy Inc",
      "content_text": "Flywheel reversed and now mechanically broken: with MSTR ~$125 the mNAV premium has collapsed below the level where issuance funds new BTC buys (Grayscale, 6/5), Strategy turned net seller (Saylor, 6/1), STRC is in a \"death spiral\" (Schiff, 6/2), and BTC cracked $60K (6/5). Avoid the knife no long until BTC bases and net accumulation resumes.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a6",
        "status:watchlist",
        "digital-assets-fintech-payments"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MU/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MU/",
      "title": "MU — Micron Technology, Inc.",
      "content_text": "AI-memory thesis intact but price leg cracked (+200% over 200DMA, CEO sold $36M, Burry SOXX short) into FQ3 ~6/25 binary most-saturated memory leg, correlated dup.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:watchlist",
        "ai-chip-infra-memory"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/NBIS/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/NBIS/",
      "title": "NBIS — Nebius Group N.V.",
      "content_text": "GPU-cloud ACCELERATING, theses resolved bullish but +100%/6wks parabolic on a short-squeeze, correlated to held HUT pullback-only, not a chase.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:watchlist",
        "gpu-cloud-neoclouds"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/OKLO/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/OKLO/",
      "title": "OKLO — Oklo Inc.",
      "content_text": "Nuclear-for-AI-power theme MATURING and in distribution. The 5/13 Q1 made OKLO a top-10 large-cap loser; the 5/26 DOE-plutonium bounce faded as CEO+COO sold ~$27M (10b5-1, surfaced 6/3, -12%), and shares broke to ~$58 by 6/5 under the $64.99–$70.45 insider range and Goldman's $66 PT. A live $400M ATM shelf is a standing dilution overhang. Broken structure, falling knife, no clean entry.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a3",
        "status:watchlist",
        "nuclear-uranium"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/RGTI/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/RGTI/",
      "title": "RGTI — Rigetti Computing, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Gov-stake/CHIPS leg (2026-05-21) and Q1 print (2026-05-11) both spent; no RGTI-specific catalyst inside 30d. Stock held a $24 base but cracked to $20.39 on 2026-06-05 as basket leader QBTS rolls from ~$29 to the high-teens; theme MATURING→SATURATED (QTUM $5B AUM, Quantinuum $14.3B IPO, IBM $10B commoditizing the pure-play). Re-acceleration watch, not a fresh chase.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a6",
        "status:watchlist",
        "quantum-computing"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/SMR/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/SMR/",
      "title": "SMR — NuScale Power Corporation",
      "content_text": "Undated South Korea $200B-package binary (NuScale Tennessee/Uljin SMR; Doosan + Samsung C&T) is the only live leg, but the June 1–2 pop to ~$14 fully round-tripped and broke to a $10.50 close (6/5) on 45%-above-avg volume, pressing the $8.85 52-wk low. Fundamentals broken (Q1 rev $0.565M, −96%); Citi $7 / Goldman $9 at/below spot. Sell-the-rip into lows pass on the chase, watchlist a confirmed deal + base.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a5",
        "status:watchlist",
        "nuclear-uranium"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/TSLA/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/TSLA/",
      "title": "TSLA — Tesla, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Optimus/Robotaxi leg is contested and maturing, not accelerating. Robotaxi fleet shrank to 20 cars (6/4), Roadster demo slipped to August (6/5), and NVIDIA's open robotics platform plus Sam Altman are arming/attacking the humanoid moat. Offsetting: JPM perma-bear flip to Neutral $475 and TD Cowen $490 (6/4-6/5) sell-side catching up late after the 6/2 ~$75B gap-down. SpaceX IPO ~6/18 drains Musk-complex capital. Flat until structure reclaims the 6/2 gap.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:watchlist",
        "ai-mag7-software-platforms",
        "autonomous-driving-ev"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MP/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MP/",
      "title": "MP — MP Materials Corp.",
      "content_text": "Rare-earths ACCEL (0.50), gov-equity meta-theme widening (drones/quantum/AI labs) with MP the DoD prototype; 2 insider buys (rule 9). But sell-side only just initiated (late-cycle) and RECENTLY_EXITED -6% twice LOW probe.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:recently_exited",
        "specialty-materials-rare-earths"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/RKLB/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/RKLB/",
      "title": "RKLB — Rocket Lab Corporation",
      "content_text": "The SpaceX-IPO proxy bid that drove the April–May run is actively unwinding S&P killed the SpaceX index-inclusion catalyst 6/05, peers (Redwire, Momentus) down 20%+ on IPO fatigue while a $3B ATM caps every rally. Fundamentals (Q1 $200.3M, >$1.3B SDA win) intact but not the marginal buyer. Theme SATURATING; stand aside until the proxy washout bases.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:recently_exited",
        "space-satellite"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/WULF/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/WULF/",
      "title": "WULF — TeraWulf Inc.",
      "content_text": "BTC-miner-to-HPC re-rate re-accelerating: 1 GW Kentucky AI campus (2026-05-26) + six PT raises to $28–42 pushed through a Q1 revenue miss. The binary now is a named hyperscaler tenant landing vs. the 2026-06-02 NY data-center moratorium hitting the Lake Mariner flagship.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:recently_exited",
        "gpu-cloud-neoclouds"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ADI/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ADI/",
      "title": "ADI — Analog Devices, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Analog cyclical-trough-is-in + AI-power optionality (Empower $1.5B) narrative already fired: Q2 beat ~2026-05-20 triggered 11+ PT hikes to $440–515 by 05-26. Binary is now in the rearview and sell-side has fully caught up late validated leg, not a front-run. Best entry is a 20-EMA pullback re-test, not a chase.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a3",
        "status:dormant",
        "semiconductor-analog-components"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ADPT/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ADPT/",
      "title": "ADPT — Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation",
      "content_text": "clonoSEQ MRD franchise inflecting to profitability as the narrative goes public Q1 MRD revenue +53% YoY (May 5), FY guide raised to $260–270M, positive adj-EBITDA/FCF targeted by year-end; ASCO/EHA data through Jun 14 validating the MRD standard. Accelerating and near 52-week highs, but still under the $21+ analyst band.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:dormant",
        "medtech-devices-diagnostics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AMRX/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AMRX/",
      "title": "AMRX — Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Commodity-generics maker re-rating into specialty branded, biosimilars, and GLP-1 contract manufacturing. Q1 adj. EBITDA +19% and Specialty +23%, then June CREXONT Phase 4 data and a romidepsin FDA approval drove a +19% week to fresh 52-week highs. Narrative accelerating; entry is extended at the top of the range.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "biotech-precision-therapeutics",
        "biosimilars-scale-up",
        "glp1-supply-chain",
        "specialty-pharma-pivot"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BBAR/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BBAR/",
      "title": "BBAR — Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.",
      "content_text": "Argentina disinflation/reform turnaround accelerating, with BBAR a cluster-confirmed bank vehicle for a credit cycle off a near-zero base. Stock near 52-wk highs (~$20.6) after a near-triple off $7.76; loan-growth runway is the leg, but 8.3% Q1 ROE and a cut 2026 loan-growth guide are the soft spots under the tape.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:dormant",
        "argentina-financials",
        "argentina-reform-turnaround",
        "em-bank-credit-growth"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BIRK/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BIRK/",
      "title": "BIRK — Birkenstock Holding plc",
      "content_text": "Post-earnings-gap premium footwear brand re-rated ~+46% off the $33.45 May-13 low on a $250M accelerated buyback, a Kith capsule \"brand heat\" drop, and short-covering; now ~10% under the $54 ATH with the buyback bid set to settle by ~June 30 a mature bounce into resistance, breakout still unproven.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands",
        "premium-footwear-brands",
        "consumer-discretionary-recovery"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CVLG/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CVLG/",
      "title": "CVLG — Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Freight-cycle inflection play: ~88k carrier authorities exited in 2023-24 and dry-van contract rates turned up again in April 2026, giving trough-earning Covenant heavy operating leverage to the recovery. Stock just tagged a 52-week high (~$47), but Q1 margins worsened YoY, insiders sold the whole run, and price trades ~30% above the $33-35 consensus PT the inflection still has to show in Q2 numbers (~2026-07-22).",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:dormant",
        "freight-trucking-logistics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/DLTR/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/DLTR/",
      "title": "DLTR — Dollar Tree Inc.",
      "content_text": "Pure-play multi-price discount turnaround post-Family-Dollar divestiture. Q1 (May 28, 2026) beat-and-raise: comps +3.5%, adj EPS $1.74 (+38% YoY), GM +120bps, FY guide raised to $6.70–7.10. Stock gapped +18% to ~$113 and held ~$114. Narrative accelerating, but the binary catalyst has passed; next print ~September, so a fresh ~$114 entry is mid-consolidation, not a breakout.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands",
        "discount-retail-turnaround",
        "tariff-mitigation"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/DXCM/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/DXCM/",
      "title": "DXCM — DexCom, Inc.",
      "content_text": "CGM leader re-accelerating off a beaten-down base: the CONNECT trial (6/8) showing G7 cuts A1C 1.6% in Type 2 non-insulin patients opens a structural TAM, and the first OTC pediatric CGM clearance (6/12) plus an $85–95 analyst PT cluster confirm the leg. The catch it's an unconfirmed recovery bounce below the 200-EMA, so a fresh entry here is buying extension after the ADA pop.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:dormant",
        "medtech-devices-diagnostics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/GENI/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/GENI/",
      "title": "GENI — Genius Sports Limited",
      "content_text": "Picks-and-shovels sports-data toll-booth under the prediction-market boom; narrative accelerating since the June 10 Polymarket/Liga MX data deal, landing into the live World Cup (final ~July 19) volume surge. Q1 raised FY26 EBITDA guide to $270–280M, but direct prediction-market revenue is still unquantified.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "prediction-markets-sports-betting"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/GGAL/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/GGAL/",
      "title": "GGAL — Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.",
      "content_text": "Argentina reform trade reaccelerating: Milei's Oct-26 2025 midterm landslide plus May CPI at an 8-month low (2.1%, released June 11) revive the disinflation narrative. GGAL, the liquid large-cap bank proxy, has bounced ~35% off its $40 200-day test toward $54 a momentum continuation, though Q1 net income fell 66% YoY and price sits below the $58 50-day.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:dormant",
        "argentina-financials",
        "argentina-macro-reform",
        "em-disinflation"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/HTLD/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/HTLD/",
      "title": "HTLD — Heartland Express, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Freight-cycle inflection accelerating truckload spot rates +23% off Q4 lows, OTRI past 14%, KNX guiding a sharp Q2 rebound. HTLD has run ~69% in three months to its 52-week high on the recovery and balance-sheet deleveraging, but the operating ratio is still >100 and the stock is pricing the turn well ahead of the P&L.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "freight-trucking-logistics",
        "freight-cycle-recovery"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/KEYS/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/KEYS/",
      "title": "KEYS — Keysight Technologies, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Q2 FY26 binary (2026-05-20) resolved bullish all-time-high orders/rev/EPS/FCF and a raised guide, and the sell-side caught up in one week ($350–$425 PT cluster vs ~$200 prior median). The first-mover upgrade edge is now consumed; the structural AI-test narrative is intact but the easy re-rate is done. Best fresh entry is a pullback to the post-print breakout shelf, not chasing extension.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "networking-optical",
        "picks-and-shovels-ai",
        "ai-test-validation",
        "optical-1600g",
        "custom-silicon-bringup"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/KLAC/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/KLAC/",
      "title": "KLAC — KLA Corporation",
      "content_text": "Process-control toll-taker on the AI buildout: custom-silicon design-start proliferation + advanced packaging (>70% YoY) + re-accelerating memory WFE, with FY2026 guided to high-teens growth and 2H acceleration. Narrative is ACCELERATING, but a 10:1 split, 21% dividend hike and PT-raise cluster have stretched price (~$254) above all raised analyst targets into a six-week catalyst vacuum before the 2026-07-23 print.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "ai-chip-infra-memory",
        "semicap-wfe",
        "advanced-packaging"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/KNX/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/KNX/",
      "title": "KNX — Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.",
      "content_text": "Freight-cycle inflection accelerating: tightening truckload capacity + bid season targeting mid-to-high-single/double-digit contract increases repricing late Q2 into H2 2026, with KNX the bellwether. Analyst PTs cluster $86–94 vs ~$82 spot. The late-July Q2 print ($0.45–0.49 adj-EPS guide) is the binary that proves or breaks the recovery the tape has already paid for.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:dormant",
        "freight-trucking-logistics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/NEO/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/NEO/",
      "title": "NEO — NeoGenomics, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Oncology-diagnostics turnaround accelerating: NGS revenue +26% and the RaDaR ST MRD launch (post-Natera patent win) drove a Q1 beat, a raised FY guide ($797–803M) and an analyst upgrade cluster (Leerink to $25). The leg is real but extended at $11+ near 52-week highs, with no dated catalyst until the Aug 5 print favors a pullback entry over a chase.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "medtech-devices-diagnostics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PENN/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PENN/",
      "title": "PENN — PENN Entertainment, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Legacy regional-casino operator's digital turnaround is inflecting: after exiting the ESPN Bet money-pit (2025-12-01), iCasino NGR ran +362% YoY and the interactive EBITDA loss narrowed to $10.8M from $89M, guidance was raised, and Q4-2026 interactive profitability is targeted. Activist HG Vora holds three board seats. Stock has ~doubled off $11.65 to the $21.94 52-week high accelerating but extended above the $20.44 consensus PT.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "prediction-markets-sports-betting"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/SRAD/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/SRAD/",
      "title": "SRAD — Sportradar Group AG",
      "content_text": "Beaten-down sports-data name re-rating into the data/integrity infrastructure layer for prediction markets after the 2026-06-08 Kalshi deal (Needham PT $19→$23). Theme is accelerating but price sits below all moving averages a narrative inflection off a depressed base, not a confirmed breakout.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "prediction-markets-sports-betting"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/UMC/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/UMC/",
      "title": "UMC — United Microelectronic Corp.",
      "content_text": "Stale \"sleepy ADR\" tag broken: UMC re-rated ~3x off its $6.56 low to $21.63 (6/12) as the tape reprices an advanced-node/AI-photonics pivot. Q1 EPS doubled YoY (beat), monthly sales accelerating +10.8%→+17.78%, while sell-side targets ($7.40–$10.36) sit 50%+ below spot. Accelerating momentum; June sales print ~7/8 the next read.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "ai-chip-infra-memory"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/VICR/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/VICR/",
      "title": "VICR — Vicor Corporation",
      "content_text": "AI-datacenter power-delivery narrative re-accelerated: 2026-05-26 Q2 guide raised to ~$142M (from ~$126M) on a new IP licensee, book-to-bill >2.0, backlog ~$300.6M. Stock reclaimed the $300 pivot (~$306, 2026-06-12) after a blowoff-and-pullback. Momentum re-firing, but insiders keep selling and price now sits above the ~$282.50 consensus target.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "industrial-power-ai"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/VMI/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/VMI/",
      "title": "VMI — Valmont Industries, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Grid-transmission buildout going structural FERC Order 1920 + AI data-center load driving multi-year utility-structure demand; Q1 (~4/21) beat and raised guide confirmed Infrastructure leadership, and the theme flipped ACCELERATING in early June. Quality lower-beta #2 vs VRT/GEV; extended into mid-70s RSI, so a pullback-to-20-week-EMA or relative-strength trigger beats chasing. No earnings until ~late July.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a3",
        "status:dormant",
        "grid-power-transmission"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/YETI/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/YETI/",
      "title": "YETI — YETI Holdings, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Tariff-headwind margin-recovery turnaround pressing a multi-year range high near $51: 2026 China COGS guided <5%, ~$300M FY buyback shrinking the float, Drinkware back to growth and wholesale the best in three years (Q1 reported 2026-05-14). Constructive above all MAs but bumping the $48–51 analyst PT cluster with the next print ~2 months out wants a clean break over $51.29 or a higher-low to the 20-EMA before a fresh leg.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands",
        "tariff-reshoring-margin-recovery",
        "premium-consumer-discretionary"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/YSS/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/YSS/",
      "title": "YSS — York Space Systems Inc.",
      "content_text": "Space-defense vertical-integration roll-up moving from announcement to execution: Tranche 1 Transport Layer satellites shipping (2026-06-05), ALL.SPACE satcom order flow building (2026-06-09), both May acquisitions tracking to a ~2026-06-30 close. But the broad space-satellite theme is maturing/saturating after a large run, and the unrefuted Wolfpack short (2026-05-11) is the overhang.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:medium",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "space-satellite"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AA/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AA/",
      "title": "AA — Alcoa Corporation",
      "content_text": "Aluminum-deficit MATURING→rolling over: -7.9% distribution off highs, no fresh upgrade 15d, Hormuz de-escalation = binary-in-reverse at beta ~2. WATCH for a higher-low base; late-stage.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:dormant",
        "specialty-materials-rare-earths"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AAPL/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AAPL/",
      "title": "AAPL — Apple Inc.",
      "content_text": "WWDC ~6/8 binary today; MATURING ai-mag7 theme, $4T mega-cap (±5-10% asymmetry) dilutes alpha on the book, edge +3.3pp fails rule 2. Consistent with prior deferrals wait for the print.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a5",
        "status:dormant",
        "ai-mag7-software-platforms"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AEIS/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AEIS/",
      "title": "AEIS — Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Picks-and-shovels AI-datacenter power re-rating: DC Computing revenue doubled to $194.2M in Q1 (5/4) and the 6/3 ADH 800V converter launch slots AEIS into NVIDIA Rubin-era HVDC racks. Fundamentals ACCELERATING, but the tape broke down the 6/2 $298.85 low gave way on a -8.1% 6/5 session to ~$290, now pinned on the 200-day MA (~$286), no catalyst until ~early-Aug, fresh convert-arb overhang. Strong story, broken structure.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "industrial-power-ai"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ARCB/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ARCB/",
      "title": "ARCB — ArcBest Corporation",
      "content_text": "Freight/LTL-recovery momentum nearly tripled ARCB off its $59 low to a fresh all-time-high $173 (June 12), but the name now trades ~14% above the $149 average analyst PT and just absorbed Amazon's June 10 LTL market entry (-4%). Late-cycle and stretched a chase at the highs, not a clean fresh entry.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:dormant",
        "freight-trucking-logistics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ATEX/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ATEX/",
      "title": "ATEX — Anterix Inc.",
      "content_text": "Spectrum re-rating already paid: FCC's 2026-02-18 final rule lifting 900 MHz broadband to 10 MHz (implied $2.5–7B+ value) drove a ~3.7x run to the 52-wk high $67.19. Theme now MATURING B. Riley cut to Neutral 2026-06-04 (PT $69 ≈ spot), and Q4 FY26 results after close 2026-06-10 are a binary into a tape pinned at the high. Not a fresh accelerating leg.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a5",
        "status:dormant",
        "grid-power-transmission"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ATEYY/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ATEYY/",
      "title": "ATEYY — Advantest Corporation",
      "content_text": "Record 2026-05-13 Q1 (sales +29.7%, op profit +36.5%) but FY2026 guide held FLAT, not raised a third straight time the beat-and-raise engine stalled. Shares topped ¥5,149 that day, down ~12% to ¥4,502 since. Hoka guiding HSD next quarter; BoJ June-16 hike risk into a 160 yen. MATURING→SATURATED, no accelerating leg to buy.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "running-renaissance",
        "premium-athleisure",
        "weak-yen-export",
        "japan-consumer-export",
        "legacy-brand-pivot",
        "onitsuka-lifestyle-revival"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ATI/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ATI/",
      "title": "ATI — ATI Inc.",
      "content_text": "Aerospace-materials, but at consensus PT with RR inverted, theme now MATURING, no binary until ~7/30 late-stage chase, want a 20-EMA reset.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "specialty-materials-rare-earths"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ATKR/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/ATKR/",
      "title": "ATKR — Atkore Inc.",
      "content_text": "Cyclical electrical-products inflection (first net-sales growth since FY2022, Q2 reported 5/5) ran to a fresh 52w high $90.16 — then FAILED back to $80.61 (-5.1% on 6/5) as the May jobs report pushed the 30Y >5% and gutted the rate tailwind for the whole grid-infra theme. Cheap at 13.8x fwd but sell-side still Hold; a failed breakout into a rate shock is watch-not-chase.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:dormant",
        "grid-power-transmission"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AZTA/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/AZTA/",
      "title": "AZTA — Azenta, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Cash-rich life-sciences-tools laggard (~$10.90/share net cash, no debt) bouncing off its $15.93 low after a May 6 impairment-and-guidance-cut gap-down. The leg here is activist/value-unlock (Politan ~10%, investor day pending), not an accelerating narrative organic revenue still −3% YoY.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "medtech-devices-diagnostics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BBY/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BBY/",
      "title": "BBY — Best Buy Company, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Big-box retailer back to positive comps (+2.0% Q1 FY27, 2026-05-28) and repositioning as the physical storefront for the AI-glasses/VR cycle via the Meta Lab rollout (50+ stores, June). But the easy +24% recovery off the April ~$60.50 low already fired; at ~$75 with no catalyst until the ~Sep 1 print, it's a slow-burn legacy pivot, not an accelerating momentum leg.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands",
        "ai-glasses-wearables",
        "consumer-discretionary-recovery"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BIDU/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BIDU/",
      "title": "BIDU — Baidu, Inc. ADS",
      "content_text": "China-AI re-rate has stalled: BABA/Tencent/PDD plunged 2026-05-31 while US AI ripped. Q1 (2026-05-18) showed AI >50% of revenue and Cloud +33% but the stock went flat. Price pins the 200-day (~$123) under a falling 50-day ($139). MATURING→SATURATED, no catalyst for 30d value-trap quadrant, not an accelerating leg.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "autonomous-driving-ev"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BMA/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BMA/",
      "title": "BMA — Banco Macro S.A.",
      "content_text": "Argentina disinflation/credit-recovery trade; BMA is the best-capitalized domestic vehicle. But the explosive Milei-midterm leg (Oct 2025, ~3x off the low) is mature, Q1 ROE is a thin ~10%, and price sits mid-range near $91 off the $106 high with no fresh 30-day catalyst. Structural upside intact; the easy repricing is largely behind it.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:dormant",
        "argentina-financials",
        "argentina-turnaround",
        "em-disinflation"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BROS/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/BROS/",
      "title": "BROS — Dutch Bros Inc.",
      "content_text": "Drive-thru coffee unit-growth story re-accelerating on mobile order-ahead + a hot-food daypart Q1 systemwide comps +8.3% and FY26 guidance raised (2026-05-06). But the tape is parabolic into RSI ~83 and founder Boersma sold ~$92.5M into the rip; late-stage, extended entry. Better risk/reward on a pullback to the ~$58 breakout shelf than chasing the vertical leg.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:dormant",
        "restaurants-dining"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CAKE/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CAKE/",
      "title": "CAKE — Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (The)",
      "content_text": "Casual-dining re-rate, not an ignition: North Italia (+7%) and Flower Child (+21% sales) scaling ~20% units plus a margin-expansion story drove +42% YTD to all-time highs and a 2026-06-10 JPMorgan upgrade. But ~$75 now sits through the street-high target with no catalyst until the ~early-August Q2 print the narrative is maturing and extended, so fresh entries chase the spike.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "restaurants-dining",
        "casual-dining-rerate",
        "multi-concept-restaurant-growth"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CAL/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CAL/",
      "title": "CAL — Caleres Inc",
      "content_text": "Binary Q1 catalyst is spent. The 2026-06-04 print beat (adj EPS $0.38 vs $0.31, sales +8.5% to $667M) but the stock rose only +0.64% after a +14% run-in the beat was fully priced. Brand-Portfolio re-rate is real yet Famous Footwear still bleeds (comps -2.3%, guided down MSD for Q2); no accelerating momentum leg. Probe-only. The one live option is a $57.8M IEEPA tariff refund excluded from guidance.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a7",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CBRL/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CBRL/",
      "title": "CBRL — Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc",
      "content_text": "Legacy-diner turnaround confirmed by the 2026-06-09 Q3 beat and raised FY26 guide ($3.27–3.30B vs $3.25B est); analyst upgrades clustering (WFC OW $50, Argus $60) into a 9-month-high tape. But the earnings binary already fired, price is parabolic (RSI high-80s), and macro turned risk-off (hot May CPI, Iran). Narrative intact, entry stretched wait for a base.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "restaurants-dining"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CMG/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CMG/",
      "title": "CMG — Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Multi-year Chipotle compounding story is broken: fresh 52-week low 2026-06-03 + Morgan Stanley downgrade to Equal-Weight/$37 on margin and consumer-spend headwinds. JP Morgan's 2026-06-05 upgrade to Overweight (PT cut to $35) is the first counter-signal, but it's one call into a risk-off tape with no price reclaim. Falling knife, no long.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a1",
        "status:dormant",
        "restaurants-dining"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CRDO/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CRDO/",
      "title": "CRDO — Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd",
      "content_text": "Q4 FY26 (2026-06-01) was a blowout revenue +157% YoY, EPS $1.16 vs $1.03, Q1 guide $465–475M above consensus yet the stock sold the news, and the entire sell-side raised PTs to $215–$300 the next morning. That is a narrative shifting from ACCELERATING to MATURING: the binary print is past, coverage is fully discovered, and a fresh long here is chasing a post-earnings fade. Next leg needs a reclaim of the pre-print breakout shelf.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "networking-optical"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CRS/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/CRS/",
      "title": "CRS — Carpenter Technology Corp",
      "content_text": "Aerospace/defense superalloy supercycle is real and compounding record Q3 FY26 (4/29), FY26 op-income guide +33%, A&D bookings at multi-year highs. But the leg is MATURING: +53.6% YTD to ~$483 (52-wk high $495.58), parabolic RSI ~85 early June now cooling to ~65, spot above the Street's high target ($466), insiders + Third Point trimming. Buy a pullback that holds the 50-day (~$432), not the all-time-high chase.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "specialty-materials-rare-earths"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/DNUT/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/DNUT/",
      "title": "DNUT — Krispy Kreme, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Broken-IPO turnaround, not an accelerating story. The McDonald's national rollout the whole 2024 growth thesis was paused May 2025 after demand faded; what remains is a leveraged, dividend-suspended restructuring trading in low single digits vs a $17 IPO. The June 5 2026 pop is a low-quality oversold bounce. Stand aside on fresh entries.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a6",
        "status:dormant",
        "restaurants-dining",
        "consumer-discretionary-turnaround",
        "broken-ipo"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/EXTR/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/EXTR/",
      "title": "EXTR — Extreme Networks, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Legacy enterprise-networking name re-rated ~+98% in 3mo on the \"Platform ONE/Agent ONE\" AI-NetOps story + SaaS ARR +29% YoY. Now MATURING: spot $28.02 sits ABOVE consensus PT ~$26, two CEO insider blocks sold into the high, stock just rolled off the $29.78 52-wk high, and the only 30-day event is a soft June 10 fireside. Fresh-entry edge gone at the high the asymmetric entry is a 20-EMA pullback.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "networking-optical"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/GCO/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/GCO/",
      "title": "GCO — Genesco Inc.",
      "content_text": "Q1 FY27 binary fired beat-and-raise (Journeys +5%, 7th straight positive-comp quarter, FY adj-EPS guide lifted to $2.00–2.40). Live activist proxy contest (Radoff/Jumana ~8%, 4 board nominees) is the next catalyst. But the earnings event is behind it and ~$38.69 trades above the avg analyst PT (~$33–37.50) with sell-side fading. Special-situation probe, not an accelerating narrative.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a5",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/HELE/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/HELE/",
      "title": "HELE — Helen of Troy Limited",
      "content_text": "Post-earnings pop fully round-tripped: HELE fell ~28% from the late-April ~$33.73 spike back to $24.34 (2026-06-06), now resting on the $23-25 analyst PT cluster. Momentum structure broken, no accelerating leg, Q1 FY2027 (~early July) guided roughly breakeven. Dormant watch, not a fresh long.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/KMX/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/KMX/",
      "title": "KMX — CarMax Inc.",
      "content_text": "Pre-earnings short-squeeze/positioning ramp (+15.8% in May, activist + heavy short interest) into a binary 2026-06-17 Q1 print; consensus models a ~32% YoY EPS decline plus GPU and CAF compression, and two banks are Underweight at $31–37 vs ~$52 spot the momentum is positioning fuel, not fundamental acceleration.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a6",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands",
        "used-vehicle-retail",
        "auto-affordability-cycle",
        "short-squeeze-positioning"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/KSS/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/KSS/",
      "title": "KSS — Kohls Corporation",
      "content_text": "Deep-value, heavily-shorted department-store turnaround: Citigroup Buy/$22 (2026-06-01) plus a $190M tariff-refund cash catalyst into a 40%+ short book is squeeze fuel. Tactical squeeze trade on a declining business, MATURING narrative sell-side is already catching up, not early.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a6",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands",
        "retail-squeeze",
        "tariff-refund-catalyst"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/LMND/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/LMND/",
      "title": "LMND — Lemonade, Inc.",
      "content_text": "AI-insurtech fundamentals compounding but tape broken below all MAs, pinned on the $50 H&S neckline; falling knife until a weekly close reclaims ~$60.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a3",
        "status:dormant",
        "ai-consumer-disruptors"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/M/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/M/",
      "title": "M — Macy's Inc.",
      "content_text": "Macy's \"Bold New Chapter\" turnaround printed a clean Q1 beat (EPS $0.13 vs $0.03) and a twice-raised FY guide with growth across every banner, plus a fresh Berkshire stake but it ran to 3-year highs into the print, sell-side stayed Neutral, and the Q2 EPS guide came in light. Narrative is maturing, not accelerating; the binary is already spent.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands",
        "legacy-retail-turnaround",
        "department-store-recovery"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MGM/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MGM/",
      "title": "MGM — MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL",
      "content_text": "Take-private special situation: Barry Diller's People Inc. Bid $48.30/share cash (~$18B) on 2026-06-01; stock gapped to within a few percent of the bid. The narrative leg already fired what's left is capped merger-arb spread (~3-5% up vs ~20% deal-break downside), not an accelerating move.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a5",
        "status:dormant",
        "prediction-markets-sports-betting"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MMED/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MMED/",
      "title": "MMED — MiniMed Group, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Medtronic diabetes spinoff repricing as a pure-play automated-insulin-delivery / CGM story; the Abbott dual glucose-ketone exclusive sensor deal (2026-06-03) extends the ecosystem moat. But the Q4 print and the deal both fired the same day and price is parabolic (RSI mid-70s to low-80s) into a lowered $22 Wells Fargo target chase risk is high; the cleaner read is a pullback to moving-average support.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "biotech-precision-therapeutics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MOV/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/MOV/",
      "title": "MOV — Movado Group, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Legacy watch maker re-rated ~+37% in a month to all-time highs ($37.73, 2026-06-08) on a 320bp gross-margin beat (Q1 FY27, ~2026-06-04). But the revenue beat was FX-aided (+8.1% reported vs +4.5% constant-currency) and management pulled FY guidance on tariff risk with Q2 growth set to moderate a fresh entry at peak buys a fading tailwind.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands",
        "luxury-watch-brands",
        "margin-expansion-turnaround"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/NET/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/NET/",
      "title": "NET — Cloudflare, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Cyber ACCEL but a snapback not a breakout (~16% below ATH), no catalyst to ~Aug repair leg;",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a2",
        "status:dormant",
        "ai-enterprise-systems-data-software"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/NKE/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/NKE/",
      "title": "NKE — Nike, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Broken-tape legacy turnaround pinned at 52-wk lows (~$43, -30% YTD); the May discretionary-rebound bounce failed into a lower low and recent sell-side flow is downgrades (WF $45, GS/JPM $52), not an upgrade cluster. No momentum leg a falling knife into the binary 2026-06-30 Q4 print.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "consumer-retail-brands"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/OPEN/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/OPEN/",
      "title": "OPEN — Opendoor Technologies Inc",
      "content_text": "Flow-plus-squeeze trade into a fixed date: Russell 3000 inclusion (effective after close 2026-06-26) stacked on a 13.3%-of-float short base and the CEO warrant short-trap, against a deteriorating iBuyer (Q1 rev -38% YoY, Q2 guide ~20% light). Telegraphed event trade the flow, fade the news after June 26.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a6",
        "status:dormant",
        "ai-consumer-disruptors"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PAYO/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PAYO/",
      "title": "PAYO — Payoneer Global Inc.",
      "content_text": "Pure M&A special situation: Nuvei is reportedly in advanced talks (Reuters, June 9) to buy Payoneer for ~$2.7B equity value (~$8/sh implied), and the tape already gapped +24% on the leak. At ~$6.75 the remaining merger-arb spread pays only if a definitive deal is signed in the coming weeks; the easy move is gone.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a5",
        "status:dormant",
        "digital-assets-fintech-payments",
        "cross-border-payments",
        "fintech-ma-special-situations"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PD/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PD/",
      "title": "PD — PagerDuty, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Margin/buyback/new-CEO rerate, not a narrative leg: Q1 FY27 (2026-05-28) revenue +1% YoY, ARR flat $496M, NRR 97% (from 104%). +14.7% pop on 25% op margin, $100M buyback, DiLullo named CEO. ~$9.25, below 200-DMA, at RBC fair-value PT $9 value-trap tape, no velocity.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a4",
        "status:dormant",
        "ai-enterprise-systems-data-software"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PLAY/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/dossiers/PLAY/",
      "title": "PLAY — Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.",
      "content_text": "Beaten-down arcade-restaurant turnaround: \"back-to-basics\" has comps climbing from ~-9% toward flat, the Street models the first positive revenue quarter (+1.7% YoY) on the 2026-06-15 AMC print, and a short book at >8 days-to-cover is fueling a +28% pre-earnings squeeze. The print is the binary.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "conviction:low",
        "archetype:a5",
        "status:dormant",
        "restaurants-dining",
        "consumer-turnaround",
        "short-squeeze"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/watch/ai-compute-stocks/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/watch/ai-compute-stocks/",
      "title": "AI compute stocks to watch — June 2026",
      "content_text": "AI compute stocks ranked by 3-month price momentum, June 2026 — 4 names, the cluster read as accelerating by a frontier model. Research, not advice.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "landing:theme",
        "ai-chip-infra-memory"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/watch/consumer-retail-stocks/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/watch/consumer-retail-stocks/",
      "title": "consumer retail stocks to watch — June 2026",
      "content_text": "consumer retail stocks ranked by 3-month price momentum, June 2026 — 8 names, the cluster read as accelerating by a frontier model. Research, not advice.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "landing:theme",
        "consumer-retail-brands"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/watch/freight-logistics-stocks/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/watch/freight-logistics-stocks/",
      "title": "freight and logistics stocks to watch — June 2026",
      "content_text": "freight and logistics stocks ranked by 3-month price momentum, June 2026 — 5 names, the cluster read as accelerating by a frontier model. Research, not advice.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "landing:theme",
        "freight-trucking-logistics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/watch/medtech-stocks/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/watch/medtech-stocks/",
      "title": "medtech stocks to watch — June 2026",
      "content_text": "medtech stocks ranked by 3-month price momentum, June 2026 — 7 names, the cluster read as accelerating by a frontier model. Research, not advice.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "landing:theme",
        "medtech-devices-diagnostics"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/watch/enterprise-ai-software-stocks/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/watch/enterprise-ai-software-stocks/",
      "title": "enterprise AI software stocks to watch — June 2026",
      "content_text": "enterprise AI software stocks ranked by 3-month price momentum, June 2026 — 5 names, the cluster read as maturing by a frontier model. Research, not advice.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "landing:theme",
        "ai-enterprise-systems-data-software"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-14T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/hot-stocks/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/hot-stocks/",
      "title": "US momentum leaders — June 2026",
      "content_text": "US names with the strongest 3-month price momentum, June 2026 — 50 names, ranked by a frontier model. VSXY, ALAB, DELL and CBRL lead the board. Research, not advice.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-12T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "landing:hot"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-12T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/best/consumer-cyclical-stocks/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/best/consumer-cyclical-stocks/",
      "title": "Best Consumer Cyclical stocks right now — June 2026",
      "content_text": "The Consumer Cyclical names with the strongest 3-month price momentum, June 2026 — 12 names, ranked by a frontier model. \"Best\" here is the momentum sense.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-12T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "landing:sector"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-12T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/best/healthcare-stocks/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/best/healthcare-stocks/",
      "title": "Best Healthcare stocks right now — June 2026",
      "content_text": "The Healthcare names with the strongest 3-month price momentum, June 2026 — 7 names, ranked by a frontier model. \"Best\" here is the momentum sense.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-12T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "landing:sector"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-12T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/best/industrials-stocks/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/best/industrials-stocks/",
      "title": "Best Industrials stocks right now — June 2026",
      "content_text": "The Industrials names with the strongest 3-month price momentum, June 2026 — 7 names, ranked by a frontier model. \"Best\" here is the momentum sense.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-12T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "landing:sector"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-12T12:00:00Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://orbyd.app/best/technology-stocks/",
      "url": "https://orbyd.app/best/technology-stocks/",
      "title": "Best Technology stocks right now — June 2026",
      "content_text": "The Technology names with the strongest 3-month price momentum, June 2026 — 11 names, ranked by a frontier model. \"Best\" here is the momentum sense.",
      "date_modified": "2026-06-12T12:00:00Z",
      "tags": [
        "landing:sector"
      ],
      "date_published": "2026-06-12T12:00:00Z"
    }
  ]
}