HVT · Haverty Furniture Companies
Conviction · Low · more likely to lag the S&P 500 over the next three months
Wrong if: a daily close above $29.43
Note written ·
Price against the kill line
13.7% clear of its kill line on the 13 November 2026 close.
How to read this
This note expects the shares to lag the market, so its kill line sits above the price: a close above the red mark would prove the view wrong. Prices run from low on the left to high on the right. The dot is where the stock closed on 13 November 2026, left of the mark while it is below the line; a dot right of the mark has closed through it.
The scale is stretched near the line, so close calls are easy to see. More than 8% from the line, the stock reads well clear, with a hollow dot to show the figure is off the drawn scale.
The kill line is the research note's own test. The portfolio sells on business facts, not on a price. How the portfolio decides
Three months against the kill line
Daily closes, to . Red: the kill line, a daily close above $29.43, on record since 11 November 2026. The shares are down 9.6% since the close; the S&P 500 is down 2.1% over the same sessions. Figures in the note can cover a different window.
Kill line
A daily close above $29.43, the close on 3 November 2026 before the third-quarter results, which would show the shares leading again. Fourth-quarter comparable-store written business growth above the 12.3% second-quarter rate would also show the shares leading.
Research onlyNot in the portfolio.
Key figures from the filings · Consumer Discretionary
Quarter to 30 September 2026, filed 4 November 2026
- Revenue, latest quarter ($M)
- 203
- Revenue, change on a year (%)
- +4.5
- Gross margin (%)
- 62.3
- Free cash flow, four quarters ($M)
- 32.4
All filed numbers
What Haverty Furniture Companies reports to the SEC in its quarterly and annual filings. Each group states its period and filing date once; a figure dated otherwise says so. Built from the filings known on .
| Quarter to | Revenue ($M) | On a year (%) | Gross margin (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| first filed | 203 | +4.5 | 62.3 |
| first filed | 195 | +7.7 | 61.4 |
| first filed | 189 | +4.1 | 61.5 |
| first filed | 202 | +9.5 | 60.4 |
| first filed | 195 | +10.6 | 60.3 |
| first filed | 181 | +1.3 | 60.8 |
| Pre-tax income ($M) | 8.6 |
| Net income ($M) four quarters: 24.4 | 6.3 |
| Diluted shares, change on a year (%) | Not reported |
| Operating cash flow ($M) | 59.7 |
| Capital spending ($M) | 27.3 |
| Free cash flow ($M) | 32.4 |
| Cash and short-term investments ($M) | 120 |
| Debt ($M) | Not available |
| Net cash, cash less debt ($M) | Not available |
| Deferred revenue ($M) +5.4% on a year | 46.2 |
| Backlog, orders not yet delivered ($M) | Not reported |
| Receivables ($M) | Not reported |
| Inventory ($M) | 86.7 |
| Shareholders' equity ($M) | 299 |
| Market value ($M) | Not available |
| Enterprise value, market value plus net debt ($M) | Not available |
| Enterprise value to sales (×) | Not available |
| Enterprise value to operating income (×) | Not available |
| Price to earnings (×) | Not available |
| Price to book value (×) | Not available |
| Free-cash-flow yield (%) | Not available |
Short interest (FINRA, settled 15 October 2026, published 26 October 2026): the share of shares outstanding is not available, 7.8 days of average trading to cover, +16.8% since the previous report.
| Window | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|
| 90 daysfrom | $0 | $0 |
| 12 monthsfrom | $0 | $937K |
The thesis
Haverty Furniture Companies' shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over the next three months. Order growth slowed sharply in the third quarter, and the earnings that remain lean on one-time tariff refunds. The fourth-quarter 2026 report, expected in early 2027, settles whether orders re-accelerate or keep fading.
The 4 November 2026 results showed third-quarter sales of $203.2 million, up 4.5% from $194.5 million a year earlier. Comparable-store sales rose 4.1%. Total written business (customer orders) rose 2.8% and comparable-store written business rose 2.3%, against 12.3% in the second quarter. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.39, including about $3.2 million of refunds of tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). Excluding the refunds, adjusted EPS was $0.25.
A Finviz summary put the consensus estimate at $0.42 and reported that the shares fell 11.15% on 5 November 2026. The shares closed at $25.99 on 12 November 2026, 15.1% below the $30.60 52-week high set on 2 November 2026, with a three-month price change of −8.6%.
Bullish and bearish views on Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc.
The bull case on Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc. (HVT), in brief: orders are still growing. The bear case: order growth fell by more than four-fifths.
Bull case
- Orders are still growing. Comparable-store written business rose 2.3% in the third quarter and total written business rose 2.8%, per the 4 November 2026 release.
- Delivered sales beat the year-ago level. Third-quarter sales of $203.2 million compare with $194.5 million a year earlier, per the 4 November 2026 release. Comparable-store sales rose 4.1%.
- The balance sheet carries no debt. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash were $127.0 million on 30 September 2026, with no debt and $100 million of credit availability, per the 4 November 2026 release. The company repurchased about 723,000 shares for $16.6 million in the first nine months.
- The dividend was kept. On 6 November 2026 the board declared $0.33 per common share (HVT) and $0.31 per Class A share (HVT.A), payable 9 December 2026 to holders of record on 23 November 2026, per the company announcement.
- Store growth continues. The release guides to five fourth-quarter openings, including Pittsburgh as an 18th state, for 133 stores at year-end.
Bear case
- Order growth fell by more than four-fifths. Comparable-store written business slowed to 2.3% from 12.3% between the second and third quarters, per the 4 August 2026 and 4 November 2026 releases. Finviz also reported mid-single-digit traffic declines and slower average-ticket growth.
- Earnings fell short without refunds. Adjusted EPS of $0.25 compares with the $0.42 consensus Finviz cited on 4 November 2026. Excluding refunds, third-quarter gross margin was 60.7%, against 62.3% as reported.
- Costs are rising faster than guided. Selling, general and administrative expense (SG&A) was 58.6% of sales against 57.8% a year earlier, per the 4 November 2026 release. The company raised its 2026 variable SG&A guide to 19.2%–19.4% of sales, citing delivery, transportation and third-party credit costs.
- The gross-margin raise comes from refunds. Full-year gross margin guidance rose to 61.3%–61.5% from 60.5%–61.0%, which management attributed to the refunds, per the 4 November 2026 release. The guide excludes future refunds on indirectly sourced products.
- Adjusted earnings sit below the dividend. Adjusted EPS of $0.25 is below the $0.33 quarterly common dividend declared 6 November 2026. Reported EPS of $0.39 covers it.
Price setup
The shares closed at $25.99 on 12 November 2026, below the 50-day average of $27.85 and above the 200-day average of $24.71 (both from adjusted daily closes). The close on 6 November 2026 was $25.14, the lowest of the six sessions since the report, and the shares have since held between $25.99 and $26.22.
The 52-week high is $30.60, an intraday level set on 2 November 2026, two days before the results. The 52-week closing low is $20.25, set on 5 May 2026. The shares sit about 28% above that low and 15.1% below the high.
Director Clarence H. Smith sold 20,991 shares at $28.16 on 17 August 2026, per an SEC Form 4 filed 19 August 2026. No later insider transactions appear in SEC filings.
Catalysts ahead
- 23 November 2026: Record date for the $0.33 common and $0.31 Class A dividend. Shows the board kept the payout even though adjusted third-quarter EPS of $0.25 was below it.
- 9 December 2026: Payment date for the fourth-quarter 2026 dividend. Confirms the cash payout continues while cash stands at $127.0 million with no debt.
- ~February 2027 (est.): Fourth-quarter 2026 earnings release; the company has not announced a date. Settles whether comparable-store written business re-accelerates from 2.3% and whether SG&A stays inside the raised guide.
What would change the view
A daily close above $29.43, the close on 3 November 2026 before the third-quarter results, which would show the shares leading again. Fourth-quarter comparable-store written business growth above the 12.3% second-quarter rate would also show the shares leading.
What it trades with
Havertys sells mid-to-upper-priced home furnishings, so its orders follow housing turnover and consumer spending on big-ticket goods. Container freight rates and fuel costs affect its delivery and transportation expense directly, per the 4 November 2026 release. HVT and HVT.A are separate share classes with different dividends, and every price level here refers to HVT. Peers in home furnishings and housing-related retail move with the same demand and tariff conditions.
The evidence, claim by claim (8)
- Third-quarter 2026 sales rose 4.5% to $203.2 million; comparable-store sales rose 4.1%; total written business rose 2.8% and comparable-store written business rose 2.3%. 4 November 2026 earnings release, SEC Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 · as of
- Third-quarter diluted EPS was $0.39 including about $3.2 million of IEEPA tariff refunds; adjusted diluted EPS excluding the refunds was $0.25. 4 November 2026 earnings release, SEC Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 · as of
- Third-quarter gross margin was 62.3%, or 60.7% excluding refunds; SG&A was 58.6% of sales against 57.8% a year earlier. 4 November 2026 earnings release, SEC Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 · as of
- Full-year 2026 gross margin guidance was raised to 61.3%–61.5% because of tariff refunds; variable SG&A guidance was raised to 19.2%–19.4% of sales. 4 November 2026 earnings release, SEC Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 · as of
- Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash were $127.0 million with no debt outstanding and $100 million of credit availability. 4 November 2026 earnings release, SEC Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 · as of
- Board declared a fourth-quarter dividend of $0.33 per common share and $0.31 per Class A share, payable 9 December 2026 to holders of record 23 November 2026. Havertys press release 6 November 2026 · as of
- Comparable-store written business rose 12.3% in the second quarter of 2026. 4 August 2026 earnings release, SEC Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 · as of
- Director Clarence H. Smith sold 20,991 shares at $28.16 on 17 August 2026. SEC Form 4 filed 19 August 2026 · as of
Sources
- SEC EDGAR
- Finviz
- Havertys Furniture Fourth Quarter 2026 Cash Dividend · placera.se ·
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