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Prediction markets & betting theme · 6 dossiers
Dossiers in the Prediction markets & betting theme cluster — 6 names moving on shared catalysts.
DormantLast produced 31 July 2026, 51 days ago — outside the 14-day window the model counts as current work.
All 6 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.
All dossiers CRSR Corsair Gaming, Inc. MEDIUM Corsair Gaming's margin-recovery story is approaching its $14.35 annual high; a weekly close above that level would confirm the recovery leg. A weekly close below the market's $10.93 August anchor would invalidate it, while the next… NSP Insperity, Inc fresh LOW Insperity's margin-repair re-rating requires a weekly close above $53.40 before a weekly close below $48. Third-quarter employee volumes must meet the 305,500 guidance floor and the full-year adjusted EBITDA floor must remain at least $185… CME CME Group Inc. MEDIUM CME Group's product-launch story requires its September–October factor, hockey and compute contracts to begin trading on schedule. Missed launch dates or a weekly close below $272 would invalidate the near-term case. DXYZ Destiny Tech100 Inc. LOW Destiny Tech100's Anthropic listing story supports a low-conviction recovery case after the reported timetable slipped. A daily close above the August 28, 2026 close of $34.74 before a daily close below $29.50 would satisfy its price test. GENI Genius Sports Limited fresh LOW Sports-data toll-booth under the prediction-market boom, but the boom arrived and the toll didn't: Kalshi/Polymarket cleared $50B+ of World Cup volume (Coindesk, 2026-07-14) while GENI slid $6.43 → $6.30 and printed $5.98 intraday July 17.… SRAD Sportradar Group AG LOW Scope expanded, revenue did not: the 2026-08-27 Polymarket deal widened to 20+ leagues and ~300,000 matches a year, and the 2026-08-26 Euroleague renewal runs to 2031, yet the 2026-08-28 close of $12.94 sits below the $13.82 of two weeks…