Filtered library · Archetype
Special situation · 258 dossiers
Dossiers classified as Special situation — 258 names, each with its thesis, invalidation trigger and catalyst calendar.
All 258 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.
All dossiers HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company fresh HIGH Hewlett Packard Enterprise's AI and networking earnings transition supports a repricing thesis that requires intact growth guidance and the first weekly close above $54.44 after the 2026-09-30 Investor Day. A weekly close below $50… MRCY Mercury Systems Inc fresh MEDIUM Defense-electronics turnaround still re-rating on record bookings and a promised FCF turn, but the stock has given back ~20% from its $128.45 ATH and now chops near the analyst median (~$103) into a binary ~Aug 10-18 Q4/full-year print.… NTAP NetApp, Inc. fresh MEDIUM NetApp's AI storage recovery requires delivery of September guidance before a weekly close below $164 breaks the thesis. Fiscal-Q2 revenue of at least $2.025 billion and non-GAAP gross margin of at least 67.0%, with the annual revenue… TXG 10x Genomics, Inc. fresh MEDIUM 10x Genomics' Atera recovery now needs deliveries and revenue confirmation after clearing its earlier price hurdle. Approximately 40 second-half 2026 shipments and full-year revenue of $610–630 million would substantiate the case before a… ARCB ArcBest Corporation fresh LOW ArcBest’s cost-reduction rebound failed its published price condition at the 2026-09-18 weekly close of $128.73. Third-quarter results still test recurring savings and preservation of the second-quarter 90.8% adjusted Asset-Based operating… UMC United Microelectronic Corp. fresh LOW Silicon-photonics pivot re-rated the ADR ~3x, but the July blowoff to $28.96 round-tripped -26% to $21.25 in days while sell-side finally upgraded (Macquarie Outperform 2026-07-14) — late-stage distribution behaviour. The 2026-07-29 Q2… CLSK CleanSpark, Inc. fresh HIGH Spring's binary resolved bullish: CleanSpark signed a $6.6B, 20-year Georgia data-center lease (2026-07-14) with an unnamed "global technology company," converting the BTC-miner-to-AI-infrastructure pivot from speculation into contracted… AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. MEDIUM Acadian Asset Management’s repricing depends on client inflows sustaining higher fees and margins. Positive third-quarter flows, management fees of at least $176.5 million and an economic net income operating margin of at least 40.3% would… AVAH Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. fresh MEDIUM Aveanna Healthcare’s earnings recovery supports further revaluation if its next report raises annual adjusted EBITDA guidance above the greater-than-$365 million outlook set on 2026-08-13. A weekly close below $11.75 or an unchanged or… CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. fresh MEDIUM Cleveland-Cliffs’ tariff-supported cash-flow recovery needs another positive quarter and a weekly close above $12.50. A weekly close below $11.62 would invalidate the recovery, while unresolved labor terms remain the nearest operating… CLMT Calumet, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Calumet’s lower-cost aviation-fuel expansion supports its re-rating if year-end 2026 production exceeds an annual 80 million gallons within the disclosed $137 million remaining-capital plan. The final loan draw reported on 2026-09-14… CMBT CMB.TECH NV fresh MEDIUM CMB.TECH's vessel-disposal and cash-return story supports further upside if the proposed October distribution is delivered. The case requires payment of $0.64 per share and a weekly close above $20.41 by 2026-10-31, before a weekly close… CRM Salesforce, Inc. fresh MEDIUM De-rated Dow software incumbent on two dated legs: the $1.6B VA agentic ELA (2026-07-24) and Reuters' 2026-08-13 report of Silver Lake–Workday take-private talks, which put a private-market floor under mega-cap SaaS. Six target revisions… CRSR Corsair Gaming, Inc. MEDIUM Corsair Gaming's margin-recovery story is approaching its $14.35 annual high; a weekly close above that level would confirm the recovery leg. A weekly close below the market's $10.93 August anchor would invalidate it, while the next… EWTX Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. MEDIUM Edgewise Therapeutics’ cardiovascular re-rating rests on EDG-7500 entering Phase 3 in Q4 2026 and price expanding above its reference high. Initiation by 2026-12-31 and a weekly close above $48.35 would confirm the case; a weekly close… FA First Advantage Corporation MEDIUM Aug 6 flipped the frame: Q2 revenue $448.8M/+14.9% vs $415.0M consensus, adj EPS $0.35 vs $0.28, and the first FY guide raise of the cycle ($1.67–1.71B). Needham upgraded to Buy/$28, RBC to $24 — targets moved above spot for the first… FTK Flotek Industries, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Legacy oilfield chemistry re-rating into a power/measurement business: Data Analytics hit 51% of gross profit in Q2 2026, the 2026-08-03 PREPA award adds ~$400M of 10-year expected backlog, and the 2026-08-04 guide went to $340–350M from… HAE Haemonetics Corporation fresh MEDIUM Haemonetics’ CSL agreement supports a plasma-recovery thesis, but November must supply a quantified revenue contribution and transition timetable. Citi’s September 17 upgrade strengthens analyst support; a weekly close below $91… HNI HNI Corporation fresh MEDIUM HNI Corporation’s Steelcase integration could sustain earnings growth despite weak organic sales, but the September 18 close broke the prior shelf. The next quarterly report tests delivery against July’s raised outlook; a weekly close… HNST The Honest Company, Inc. MEDIUM The Honest Company’s margin re-rating depends on Q3 confirming organic growth and profitability excluding tariff refunds. Confirmation requires organic growth of at least 5%, underlying adjusted gross margin of at least 43.8% and unchanged… IREN IREN Limited MEDIUM IREN Limited’s recovery rests on converting contracted AI cloud capacity into operating revenue by 2026-12-31. Management’s $4 billion operating-ARR target settles the conversion case, while a weekly close below $35 invalidates the… LFST LifeStance Health Group, Inc. fresh MEDIUM LifeStance Health's margin recovery faces a repeatability test after September's shareholder offering: Q3 must meet August guidance and the annual outlook must hold. A weekly close below $11.00 invalidates the market thesis. NIQ NIQ Global Intelligence plc MEDIUM NIQ Global Intelligence’s deleveraging re-rating needs a weekly recovery above $19.24 and Q3 delivery against August guidance. A weekly close below $16.00 breaks the price case, while September’s Optiq rollout has yet to establish… OPRT Oportun Financial Corporation MEDIUM Oportun Financial Corporation's margin-repair re-rating needs a weekly close above the $8.09 market high and Q3 results meeting its 2026-08-05 guidance. A weekly close below $7.00 or Q3 adjusted EBITDA below $43 million invalidates the… PGNY Progyny, Inc. MEDIUM Progyny’s distribution expansion supports a recovery toward Citizens’ $33 target; Q3 revenue tests whether demand stabilizes. A weekly close below $24 or Q3 revenue at or below $335 million would invalidate the recovery case. PUBM PubMatic, Inc. MEDIUM PubMatic's AI-led advertising recovery supports a growth re-rating, conditional on Q3 revenue reaching at least $75 million and a weekly close above the August high of $17.78. A weekly close below $15.20 would invalidate the case. PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM PayPal's standalone turnaround rests on profit guidance reiterated on 2026-09-09 despite checkout pressure. The case plays out if the 2026-10-27 results preserve its approximately $5.38 annual adjusted earnings-per-share outlook before a… SBET SharpLink, Inc. MEDIUM SharpLink's Ether treasury discount is the recovery thesis: The Block reported a 0.84-times net asset value multiple on 2026-09-07. The case plays out if a comparable valuation reaches net asset value before a weekly close below $7.50… SNAP Snap Inc. MEDIUM Snap Inc.'s margin recovery supports a potential rerating above $6; the 2026-09-16 SPECS launch tests renewed attention. The price case succeeds on a weekly close above $6 before a weekly close below $5, while Q3 results test operating… SPT Sprout Social, Inc MEDIUM Sprout Social's margin-led recovery thesis calls for a weekly close above the market's 2026-08-28 close of $11.49 before a weekly close below $9.50. Q3 results test whether revenue and operating income meet management's 2026-08-06 guidance. SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. MEDIUM Sarepta Therapeutics’ recovery thesis prices commercial funding of its RNA pipeline, with follow-up clinical data guided for the second half of 2026. The market re-rating case completes at a weekly close above the supplied $24.45 reference… STLN Starling Oncology, Inc. MEDIUM Starling Oncology’s oncology-risk contracts support a margin-expansion thesis that the next quarterly results must confirm. Third-quarter adjusted EBITDA within management’s $500,000–$1.5 million range and maintained full-year guidance… TWLO Twilio Inc. MEDIUM Legacy CPaaS repricing as voice/agentic-AI engagement infrastructure; sell-side re-clustered higher into the print — Cowen $245, Mizuho $240, Citizens $250 (2026-07-17/20) — but the 2026-07-30 Q2 report is now the binary deciding whether… U Unity Software Inc. MEDIUM Unity Software’s advertising turnaround needs Q3 Strategic Grow revenue of at least $380 million and its promised first GAAP-profitable quarter. Those tests come from management’s 2026-08-06 outlook; a weekly close below $36 would… UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. MEDIUM Ultrapar’s Ipiranga earnings and reported stake-sale talks underpin a further re-rating. A weekly close at or above UBS’s 2026-09-04 target of $7.90 would confirm the price case; a weekly close below $5.80 or confirmed termination of the… AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. fresh LOW Frac-sand legacy pivoting to behind-the-meter gas power for AI data centers, but the story is DORMANT and the structure broken: shares fell from $16.73 (6/29) to an $11.96 close (7/24, -8.5%), losing the ~$15 base and $13 shelf on… ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co. fresh LOW Abercrombie & Fitch’s margin re-rating lacks price confirmation after the 2026-09-18 close of $135.76. Continuation requires a weekly close above $152.08 before Q3 results, estimated for 2026-11-24, without first closing below $130. EMBC Embecta Corp. LOW Embecta Corp.’s earnings-and-debt recovery story needs price confirmation after the September retreat. A weekly close above the September 2 reference close of $5.69 would satisfy the recovery case; a weekly close below $4.60 would… FIVN Five9, Inc. fresh LOW Legacy-CCaaS AI pivot staged a sharp V-recovery: +29% off the $19.70 June swing low to $25.42, reclaiming the broken $22 shelf on a 2026-06-23 next-gen Voice AI Agents launch and an AI-first leadership overhaul. Now pressing the $26.26… FLXS Flexsteel Industries, Inc. fresh LOW Flexsteel Industries’ operating-turnaround thesis requires a weekly close above $84.20 before a weekly close below $79.69. These are the high and reference close in the September 18, 2026 market snapshot; weaker quarterly margins limit… FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. LOW Forward Industries' Solana treasury re-rating requires growing tokens per share and a verified recovery to net asset value. Updated disclosure must show fully diluted mNAV at or above 1.0x and SOL per share of at least 0.0754 before a… HIVE HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. fresh LOW BTC-miner→AI-compute re-rating has its first blue-chip proof — BUZZ HPC's $220M Bell/Cohere sovereign-AI GPU deal (~$70M ARR) on top of $35M contracted ARR — but the stock stalled ~$3.79 below its early-June highs as BTC bled ~45-50% off… KELYA Kelly Services, Inc. fresh LOW Kelly Services' staffing-recovery thesis depends on Q3 2026 meeting revenue and margin guidance before a weekly close below $15. The 2026-09-18 close of $16.14 has lost the former $16.31 shelf, weakening the price evidence ahead of that… KFRC Kforce Inc. fresh LOW Cyclical staffing recovery is fully printed — Q1 returned to YoY growth, Q2 guided +~4% — but price ran ~24% in three weeks to a fresh all-time high near $58.6, ~38% above the $42.33 consensus PT, into the confirmed 2026-07-27 Q2 print. A… MARA MARA Holdings, Inc. fresh LOW AI/HPC power-buildout re-rate is the leg being bought — the 2026-07-09 HIF deal adds up to 2 GW in Texas, lifting potential capacity toward ~4.8 GW — but the golden-cross base fully round-tripped to ~$11.4 as analysts cut across the board… MYGN Myriad Genetics, Inc. fresh LOW Legacy hereditary-cancer testing house executing a diagnostics pivot; shares +40% off the June $3.99 base as Prolaris+AI launched (May 26) and Precise MRD colorectal/renal was pulled forward to Q3. Structure has repaired but now… NSP Insperity, Inc fresh LOW Insperity's margin-repair re-rating requires a weekly close above $53.40 before a weekly close below $48. Third-quarter employee volumes must meet the 305,500 guidance floor and the full-year adjusted EBITDA floor must remain at least $185… PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. LOW Rig-reactivation cyclical is basing, not broken: June averaged 95 US rigs (vs ~90 Q2 guide), the July EIA STEO lifted 2026 Henry Hub to $3.67, gas rigs turned up 122→126, and Piper upgraded to Overweight 07-14. Price bottomed $8.57 (07-01)… RHI Robert Half Inc. fresh LOW White-collar staffing in secular decline: Q2 EPS collapsed to $0.26 (2026-07-23) as AI automation and a frozen hiring market gut permanent-placement demand. The >5% dividend yield reads as a value-trap signal rather than a floor. No… RUM Rumble Inc. fresh LOW The sell-the-news break is now confirmed: RUM lost the $6.46–$6.66 100/200-day shelf and closed $5.76 on 2026-07-17, -19% from the post-rebrand tape and within 25% of the $4.62 52-week low. Every moving average is overhead. The 2026-08-10… SID Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (CSN) fresh LOW New-CEO deleveraging story: Fabio Schvartsman replaced 24-year CEO Benjamin Steinbruch on 2026-09-03 and the ADR ran from $1.13 (09-01) to $1.22 (09-04) with RSI at 79.2, while R$42.1bn net debt and 3.49x leverage are untouched until a… W Wayfair Inc. fresh LOW Margin-inflection turnaround has stalled: after the June Evercore-driven pop, W has faded ~10% back to the ~$84–85 recovery base ahead of the binary Aug 4 Q2 print. Wedbush's Jul 16 Neutral/$104 initiation and a ~$100-capped consensus mark… WPP WPP PLC fresh LOW WPP’s re-rating rests on revenue stabilisation after the September index-promotion case expired. The next quarterly update must improve on the 2.8% like-for-like decline and retain 12–13% margin guidance before a weekly close below $24… RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Riot Platforms’ AI-leasing thesis depends on permanent project financing and resolution of interim borrowing before maturity. Binding funding consistent with management’s 2026-08-10 plan would establish delivery financing; a weekly close… WULF TeraWulf Inc. fresh MEDIUM TeraWulf’s AI-landlord conversion turns on CB-4 earning rent in September 2026 before a weekly close below $14.50. Wells Fargo’s September 17 coverage initiation adds attention, but rental commencement remains unverified as of September 20. GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. fresh LOW Galaxy Digital's data-center revaluation depends on Q3 Helios leasing revenue meeting its approximately $80 million forecast, with project-level adjusted EBITDA margins above 90%, before a weekly close below $24. The 2026-09-18 close of… HUT Hut 8 Corp. fresh LOW Bitcoin-miner-to-AI-datacenter-landlord re-rate is now financed fact ($4.25B IG notes 6/4, ~$16.8B contracted backlog), but the momentum leg rolled from ~$127 to ~$105 as peers WULF/IREN captured the marquee Anthropic tenant deals (7/6)… INTC Intel Corporation fresh LOW Funded legacy-pivot leg is holding the $101.65 pre-announcement shelf by under a dollar after the 2026-08-14 close of $102.50; CEO Tan's Form 4 (105,263 sh at $95.00) is the only fresh company datapoint in a week of 13F-derived coverage.… QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated fresh LOW The data-center re-rating already failed: QCOM spiked to a 52-week high of $259.92 on the ~2026-06-24 Investor Day $15B-by-2029 guide, then gave back ~34% in 17 sessions to $171.78 as Hold downgrades and Apple modem-attrition math… WEST Westrock Coffee Company fresh LOW Westrock Coffee’s Conway expansion supports a cash-generation revaluation, but repeat cash flow remains unproven. Confirmation requires positive third-quarter 2026 free cash flow, maintained annual guidance and a weekly close above the… ABT Abbott Laboratories fresh MEDIUM Two named overhangs cleared in August and the tape handed the gain back: $112.47 on 2026-08-28 to $108.33 on 2026-09-04, RSI(14) 61.7 to 44.9, with the $103 post-Q2 gap shelf now 4.9% below. The narrative is saturated — retail-facing… ABX Abacus Global Management, Inc. fresh MEDIUM The $9.00 shelf still holds — $9.61 on 2026-09-04 against $9.27 on 2026-08-14, RSI(14) 59.7 — with the $100M repurchase live since 2026-08-17 the only identifiable new bid and no company release since 2026-08-24. What remains is a… ACIW ACI Worldwide, Inc. MEDIUM Special-situation breakup narrative accelerating: Reuters (2026-07-17) reports ACI exploring a ~$1.5B sale of its Biller unit, which would surface sum-of-the-parts value and re-rate the faster-growing Payments Software segment. Q1 beat +… ADBE Adobe Inc. fresh MEDIUM Deep-value AI-disruption leg in legacy software, now with an external validator: the 2026-08-13 Silver Lake–Workday take-private report put a sponsor price on marked-down per-seat SaaS. ADBE closed 2026-08-14 at $264.02, 28.2% off the… AKAM Akamai Technologies, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Legacy-CDN-to-AI-inference pivot got its first external validation since the failed July bounce: Q2 CIS +39% to $99M with >$2.8B YTD contract bookings (2026-08-06), then J.P. Morgan off Underweight to Neutral, PT $158 (2026-08-13). Price… ALGT Allegiant Travel Company fresh MEDIUM Allegiant closed the $1.5B Sun Country acquisition (2026-05-13) to become the largest US leisure airline just as fuel flipped to a tailwind and the whole sell-side re-rated it to $142–$160; the move has more than doubled off the low, and… AMC Amc Entertainment Holdings, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Box-office recovery flipped from meme-squeeze dormancy to a fundamental earnings inflection: Q2 (2026-07-20) adj EPS $0.14 vs $(0.06) est, revenue $1.597B beat, plus a Wedbush $4 / Benchmark $3 upgrade cluster (2026-07-21). Narrative… APPS Digital Turbine, Inc. MEDIUM Digital Turbine’s mobile-advertising recovery supports a renewed re-rating case after the September price rebound. A weekly close above the $14.39 reference high would complete the price case; a weekly close below $9.50 or a cut to fiscal… AVTR Avantor, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Avantor’s recovery re-rating depends on Q3 delivering July’s organic growth and adjusted earnings guidance while retaining its improved full-year outlook. That confirmation must arrive before a weekly close below $14.00 breaks the price… BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. MEDIUM Bath & Body Works’ cash-flow turnaround needs Q3 sales to decline no more than 2.5% and its approximately $650 million FY2026 free-cash-flow outlook intact. A weekly close below $18 invalidates the structural case before that operating… BILL BILL Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM BILL Holdings’ margin recovery needs customer stabilisation at the next quarterly report after the September 11 close erased August’s rebound. A weekly close above $52 before a weekly close below $44 would confirm the price-recovery case;… BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. fresh MEDIUM Post-guidance-reset re-rate printed a new 52-week high of $68.09 before the 2026-09-04 close of $66.82, but the first negative company headline of the leg — the zola-cel autoimmune CAR-T enrollment pause confirmed 2026-08-31 — arrived with… BTU Peabody Energy Corporation MEDIUM Peabody Energy’s Centurion recovery depends on higher production becoming shipments and positive metallurgical earnings. Third-quarter sales meeting management’s 0.5–0.7 million-ton range and positive segment adjusted EBITDA would… CERT Certara, Inc. MEDIUM The self-help leg is intact and quiet: FY26 guidance was reaffirmed at the 2026-08-04 Q2 print ($367–382M revenue, $0.31–0.36 adj EPS), the ~$13M cost takeout first shows up in Q3 numbers, and the shares have held four closes between $8.13… CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation MEDIUM First full combined quarter post-Kito Crosby beat hard (adj EPS $0.61 vs $0.27 est) and drove a guidance raise on all three lines on 2026-07-30; the leg being bought is deleveraging from 4.9x toward sub-4x by FY28 on $70M of synergies. No… CME CME Group Inc. MEDIUM CME Group's product-launch story requires its September–October factor, hockey and compute contracts to begin trading on schedule. Missed launch dates or a weekly close below $272 would invalidate the near-term case. COTY COTY INC fresh MEDIUM Balance-sheet repair, not demand recovery: FY26 net debt fell to $2,912.1M but leverage still printed 3.4x as adjusted EBITDA fell 22% to $846.9M, and the 2026-08-19 print deferred FY27 guidance to the end-CY26 Consumer Beauty review. The… CXT Crane NXT, Co. fresh MEDIUM The post-print give-back stopped rather than reversed: $50.20 on 2026-08-21 and $50.06 on 2026-09-04, RSI back to 49.5, with the $47 washout shelf untested since the 2026-08-19 $48.06 open. The sell-side anchor reset lower in the same… DFIN Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. MEDIUM Donnelley Financial Solutions’ software transition supports margin expansion; Q3 must match Q2’s 7.8% software growth, exceed $175 million revenue and deliver at least a 26% adjusted EBITDA margin before a weekly close below $44… DGII Digi International Inc. fresh MEDIUM Hardware-to-ARR re-rating accelerating: the 2026-08-05 Q3 print put ARR at $191M (+52% YoY) with a record 29.1% adj-EBITDA margin, and FY26 revenue guidance jumped to $529–533M from $490–508M. Price closed 2026-08-14 at $85.12, 0.1% off… DOCU DocuSign, Inc. MEDIUM DocuSign’s AI agreement pivot now has higher analyst targets behind it; a weekly close at or above Piper Sandler’s September 4 target of $75 would confirm the repricing, while a weekly close below $64 would invalidate it. DVA DaVita Inc. MEDIUM The census-recovery re-rate stayed dead through August, but the 2026-08-21 washout close of $173.82 held: DVA closed 2026-08-28 at $180.68 with RSI(14) back to 44.9 from 10.9. The 2026-08-25 Humana value-based deal (>10,000 MA members, CKD… DXC DXC Technology Company MEDIUM DXC Technology’s AI pivot is a recovery thesis: September-quarter results must meet guidance and preserve the annual earnings outlook. A weekly close below $10.50 invalidates the price structure supporting the case. FTRE Fortrea Holdings Inc. fresh MEDIUM Fortrea’s margin-repair recovery requires backlog growth and preservation of the $205 million full-year adjusted-EBITDA floor at the next quarterly report. The September 18 shelf recovery supports the case, which a weekly close below… HUBS Hubspot, Inc. MEDIUM HubSpot is trading as laggard beta on the Salesforce-led software re-rate — CRM +22.6% on 2026-08-27 — carrying HUBS from $240.01 on 08-21 to $260.68 on 08-28 with no company disclosure since the 2026-08-05 guidance reset. Price now sits… INNV InnovAge Holding Corp. fresh MEDIUM InnovAge’s September earnings beat shifts the turnaround story to fiscal 2027 growth. A weekly close above the $12.11 reference high with its 2026-09-08 outlook intact would confirm the next advance; a weekly close below $10.50 invalidates… KMX CarMax Inc. fresh MEDIUM Turnaround re-rating went live in July: KMX broke the $50–$53 shelf to close $57.33 on 2026-07-17 (+17.2% in five sessions) after a Q1 FY27 blowout (EPS $1.31 vs ~$0.95, revenue $8.01B +6.2%), CEO Keith Barr buying 9,400 shares at $53.005… KOPN Kopin Corporation fresh MEDIUM Kopin Corporation's defense orders and optical-interconnect pivot support a recovery case toward the $6.39 market high recorded as of 2026-09-18. The forecast succeeds if that high is reached by the next quarterly report, estimated for… LNC Lincoln National Corp. MEDIUM Lincoln National Corporation’s legacy-risk transfer supports a re-rating case, with Talcott completion in Q4 2026 and a weekly close above $47 confirming it. A weekly close below $42 or failure to close the deal by 2026-12-31 invalidates… MEI Methode Electronics fresh MEDIUM Data-center power pivot is revenue-confirmed — record >$80M FY26 segment sales and an FY27 guide ($1.025–1.075B vs ~$952M Street) — but the post-print momentum leg has faded ~26% from the $20.38 high to ~$15. The re-rate is spent and the… MMED MiniMed Group, Inc. fresh MEDIUM MiniMed Group’s standalone-growth revaluation now has a dated separation test after Medtronic’s September 14 exchange-offer launch. The case succeeds with completion and a weekly close above the September 4 reference close of $23.29 before… NEOG Neogen Corporation MEDIUM Neogen’s turnaround rests on Food Safety growth and Genomics-funded debt reduction. The confirmed 2026-10-07 investor day precedes the estimated October results test; a revenue miss, lost sale funding or a weekly close below $11.00 would… NWL Newell Brands Inc. fresh MEDIUM Post-print re-rating still shelved: the 2026-09-04 close of $6.11 sits 2.8% under the $6.29 52-week high with RSI(14) at 53.2, and the covering leg behind the 7/31 +15% is largely spent (10.52% of float short at the 2026-08-14 settlement,… OOMA Ooma, Inc. MEDIUM Ooma’s business-communications roll-up faces a September 29 test of its raised $332.0–333.5 million fiscal 2027 revenue outlook. Sustained guidance and a subsequent weekly close above the September 11 reference high of $23.38 would confirm… OXM Oxford Industries, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Setup inverted since the June breakdown. OXM reclaimed its 200-day ($39.11) and 50-day ($39.94) off the $35.83 low, the CEO bought 2,500 shares at $36.90 on 2026-06-12, and ~$25M of filed IEEPA tariff-refund claims — 4% of market cap,… PD PagerDuty, Inc. fresh MEDIUM The read has flipped from value trap to ownership story. Price reclaimed the 200-DMA (~$10.30 on 2026-07-17, +13% in three weeks), Truist lifted its PT to $11 on 2026-07-09, and the 2026-07-14 addition of Alex Shootman — who sold Workfront… PENN PENN Entertainment, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-06) kept the digital turnaround on schedule — interactive adj-EBITDA loss $9.5M (+$52.5M YoY), Q4-2026 profitability target and $1.963B retail EBITDAR midpoint intact — but the tape decoupled: prediction-market headlines took… PRCH Porch Group, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Reciprocal-pivot re-rate has largely printed: $9.26 (6/5) to $15.98, now consolidating at $13.68 after KBW's 7/13 valuation downgrade that still raised its target to $16.25. Narrative intact but maturing; the 2026-08-04 Q2 print is the… PRGS Progress Software Corporation fresh MEDIUM Disciplined software roll-up ("Total Growth Strategy") re-rated by a fresh catalyst cluster: Q2 beat + FY guide raise (2026-06-30) and the $400M Domo buy (2026-07-22). Special-situations theme active, but a maturing low-beta compounder —… RNG Ringcentral, Inc. fresh MEDIUM RingCentral’s AI pivot needs paid-adoption growth and delivery against quarterly revenue guidance to substantiate its rerating. The price case is a weekly close above the $76.36 reference high before a weekly close below $64; the next… RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Deleveraging turnaround repricing: ~$96M / 116-unit refranchising cuts net debt ~$147M→~$51M, removing the going-concern tail that pinned RRGB near $2.46. Tape +38.7% since the ~2026-05-20 Q1 print, into the low-$7s near the $7.89 high.… SMRT SmartRent, Inc. fresh MEDIUM RSI(14) cooled 87.8→74.7 while price only slipped $1.49→$1.43, so the momentum extreme unwound sideways. Still no dated catalyst until the ~November Q3 print. SPSC SPS Commerce, Inc. MEDIUM De-rating-repair leg: Q2 (2026-07-30) beat on adjusted EPS $1.27 vs $1.09 with EBITDA +19% on 6% revenue growth, while the FY26 revenue band was cut on the 2026-06-30 3P divestiture. Price reclaimed the ~$70 200-day, but the fresh Morgan… TBLA Taboola.com Ltd. fresh MEDIUM Legacy open-web ad network repricing as a toll booth on AI answer surfaces: the 2026-06-16 DeeperDive ad-network launch (35% take rate, open to third-party LLMs/agents) plus the 2026-07-01 Wikitree win drove a breakout to 52-week highs… TOI The Oncology Institute, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Starling Oncology’s delegated-care expansion supports a profitability re-rating if Q4 2026 contracts launch and FY2026 adjusted EBITDA meets the company’s $2 million floor. A weekly close below $5.13 invalidates the market thesis. VRA Vera Bradley, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Vera Bradley’s September earnings rally prices in a turnaround; a weekly close above the observed $4.26 annual high before a weekly close below $3.98 would confirm the next price leg. That outcome would establish price continuation, not a… WEX WEX Inc. MEDIUM Hated fuel-card/fintech inflecting: the 2026-07-22 Q2 beat (Adj EPS $5.35 vs $5.05) and FY26 guide raise to $19.68-$20.08 discredit the EV-kills-fuel-cards and rate-cut-kills-float bear case; PTs jumped to $200-210 (Mizuho/KBW, 7/24).… WIX Wix.com Ltd. fresh MEDIUM Base44 margin inversion is the live leg and the market is now paying up for it: after the 2026-08-04 beat ($563.1M, +15%; adj EPS $1.39 vs $1.16) and the ~60% 2H gross-margin guide, price ran from the 2026-08-07 close of $60.20 to $66.14… WK Workiva Inc. fresh MEDIUM Workiva's earnings re-rating now rests on a higher margin target and paid AI adoption. Q3 delivery against guidance and a weekly close above the 2026-09-04 reference close of $76.55 would confirm the case; a weekly close below $70… WNC Wabash National Corp. MEDIUM Wabash National Corporation’s tariff-supported recovery depends on backlog converting into narrower losses. The case requires an affirmative final China injury decision and Q3 delivery against July 29 guidance before a weekly close below… WTTR Select Water Solutions, Inc. MEDIUM Select Water Solutions’ contracted water-infrastructure transition supports a recovery toward its September 11 reference high of $22.18. A weekly close above that level confirms the price case; a weekly close below $18 invalidates it,… YETI YETI Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Tariff-margin-recovery turnaround now getting sell-side confirmation: Goldman upgraded to Buy/$63 on 2026-07-20 (vs Canaccord's $45 Hold a month earlier), pushing YETI through the $51.89 multi-year high. The leg still hinges on the… ZIP ZipRecruiter, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Q2 print on 2026-08-05 put revenue at $118.1M (+5% YoY, +10% QoQ) with Quarterly Paid Employers +12% sequentially and adjusted EBITDA margin at 12% vs 8% a year earlier, alongside a debt reduction of more than half — a trough-reversal read… ACHC Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. fresh LOW Acadia Healthcare's turnaround case requires confirmation of its 2026-07-28 earnings outlook and a weekly recovery above $30.20 before a weekly close below $27. The 2026-09-18 close of $28.33 leaves recovery unconfirmed despite the latest… ACN Accenture PLC fresh LOW Accenture's recovery depends on enterprise AI work supporting growth. The case requires fiscal 2027 local-currency growth guidance starting at 3% or higher on 2026-10-01 and a daily close above $189.61 by 2026-10-14, before a daily close… ADSK Autodesk, Inc. fresh LOW Autodesk’s AI and asset-operations expansion supports a residual recovery case after its conference failed to restore price confirmation. A weekly close above $250 before a weekly close below $205 would confirm that case; the 2026-09-18… ADTN ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. fresh LOW ADTRAN Holdings’ optical-led margin recovery needs Q3 revenue of at least $295.0 million and non-GAAP operating margin of at least 5.5% to establish recovery. September product headlines renew attention, but a weekly close below $7.00… AGL agilon health, inc. fresh LOW agilon health’s re-rating depends on Q3 confirming margin repair after its September partnership expansion. Medical margin of at least $105 million with the annual outlook intact would validate the operating case; a weekly close below $80… AGYS Agilysys, Inc. fresh LOW Hospitality vertical-SaaS recovery has re-accelerated into its print: AGYS ran ~+18% to $108.98 (2026-07-10) off the June ~$92 base, clearing the two lowest analyst targets ($100/$110) ahead of a confirmed 2026-07-27 Q1 FY2027 binary that… ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. LOW Alaska Air Group’s recovery case depends on restored guidance on 2026-09-29 and a weekly close above $47 by the estimated 2026-10-22 results. A weekly close below $38 or Investor Day passing without a full-year framework invalidates the… ALKS Alkermes plc LOW Alkermes plc's orexin sleep-drug expansion needs supportive clinical data and a weekly close above $49.17 to confirm recovery. A weekly close below $44 invalidates that case as the estimated 2026-09-30 ALKS 7290 window approaches. ALLE Allegion Public Limited Company LOW Allegion’s electronic-access growth story failed its published price test when the 2026-09-11 weekly close of $153.35 breached $154. The continuation thesis is invalidated; the operating growth case remains unconfirmed after management’s… ALTO Alto Ingredients, Inc. LOW Ethanol-to-specialty/low-carbon pivot re-rated ~6x off $0.92, but both fuel catalysts — the June 45Z cash sale and the Russell index add — are spent, and price has round-tripped from the $6.11 July high to ~$4.64, losing the $5.10-$5.20… AMN AMN Healthcare Services fresh LOW Healthcare-staffing cyclical recovery, real but maturing and now at the highs: ~$32.9 (2026-07-24), just off a fresh 52-wk high $36.27 (~+120% off $14.87). Truist's 2026-07-22 lift to a Street-high $40 Buy is the first target leading… AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. LOW Amneal Pharmaceuticals’ specialty-and-biosimilar revaluation needs price confirmation alongside intact annual guidance. The case resolves with a weekly close above the $19.10 reference high before a weekly close below $16.50; Leerink’s… APLD Applied Digital Corporation LOW Applied Digital's recovery rests on contracted AI capacity becoming recurring rent. The case requires fiscal Q1 2027 rental revenue above Q4's $50.6 million and a weekly close above the $28.23 August shelf before a weekly close below $24… ATHM Autohome Inc. fresh LOW No company disclosure since the 2026-08-20 print; what moved is the research around it — Citi lifted its target from $17 to $22 on 2026-08-24, Goldman from $19 to $21, and consensus now reads $21.44, below the 2026-09-04 close of $22.03.… AZTA Azenta, Inc. LOW Azenta's cash-backed operating recovery needs positive organic growth at the next results and a weekly close above the August shelf at $32.04. The September 11 close of $30.85 leaves confirmation outstanding; a weekly close below $28… BAX Baxter International Inc. fresh LOW Baxter International's turnaround re-rating failed its published $24 weekly-close test when the shares closed at $23.80 on 2026-09-11. The operating-recovery premise remains unconfirmed by repeatable earnings improvement. BBBY Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc. LOW Lemonis "Everything Home" roll-up keeps closing deals — Container Store now wholly owned (2026-07-08), TwoPonds folded in (2026-07-01) — but the tape has bled from $5.83 to ~$4.96 and sits on the $4.26 52-week low as shares balloon past… BBY Best Buy Company, Inc. LOW Tape flipped since early July: BBY broke to a fresh 52-week high $87.35 (~$85.41 on 2026-07-17, +27.6% YTD) on RGB-LED TV exclusivity plus an AI-PC/MacBook refresh cycle. But price sits ~8% above the $79.15 consensus target while Loop… BEEM Beam Global LOW Beam Global’s battery pivot needs revenue conversion: Q3 revenue matching $8.562 million, backlog above $5.4 million and quantified battery revenue would confirm the case. A weekly close below $1.20 invalidates the market thesis. BH Biglari Holdings Inc. LOW Biglari Holdings’ re-rating case depends on sustained Steak n Shake earnings improvement and recovery of the lost price shelf. Confirmation requires third-quarter pre-tax operating earnings above Q2’s $6,274 thousand and a weekly close… BHC Bausch Health Companies Inc LOW The post-print round trip is complete: the 2026-07-29 beat-and-raise (adj EPS $1.26 vs $1.04 consensus) carried BHC to a $7.90 high and the 2026-08-28 close of $6.32 handed all of it back. What is left is roughly $2.4B of equity on… BIDU Baidu, Inc. ADS LOW The last dated event in a flow-mechanical leg lands 2026-09-07: southbound Stock Connect eligibility for the Hong Kong counters that turned dual-primary on 2026-09-01. The ADR closed $95.58 on 2026-09-03, -41.2% from the $162.52 high, with… BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. fresh LOW BJ's Restaurants' traffic-led reset needs price recovery and confirmation of its raised sales outlook. A weekly close above the $60.77 pre-results shelf plus third-quarter confirmation of fiscal 2026 comparable-sales guidance would… BLDP Ballard Power Systems, Inc. fresh LOW Ballard Power Systems’ GeoPura pivot needs reported growth to reverse a broken price structure. The recovery case requires next-quarter revenue above Q2’s $20.6 million, backlog of at least $156.6 million and a weekly close above the… BLKB Blackbaud, Inc. LOW Blackbaud’s repurchase-led recovery needs sustained 3.0% organic growth and a weekly close above $47.52 by Q3 results. The $45.48 close on 2026-09-11 leaves that case unconfirmed; a weekly close below $44 invalidates it. BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. fresh LOW Bloomin' Brands' margin-repair story supports only a tentative price recovery after its August advance failed. A weekly close above the September 4 reference of $9.79 would establish recovery; a weekly close below the September 18… BRKR Bruker Corporation fresh LOW Post-ASMS instrument re-rate broke back toward the $64.54 high and added a second leg: semiconductor-metrology strength (orders +20% YoY) pulled Leerink to $70 and top targets to $65–70. But at ~$62 the name sits ~13% over its 50-DMA and… BSIN Big Sky Industrial Inc. LOW Big Sky Industrial's helium-and-carbon pivot must produce first helium revenue in Q1 2027 and secure carbon monitoring approvals. The timetable disclosed on 2026-08-11 defines the case; a weekly close below $1.30 or a disclosed delay… BTBT Bit Digital, Inc. fresh LOW Both legs of the wrapper are now rolling over: WhiteFiber (WYFI, ~70.5% owned) de-rated from $38.50 to $27.57 as the June neocloud mania cooled, and BTBT slid to ~$1.50, a step above its $1.25 low. SOTP discount still ~49% (~$745.6M WYFI… BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group fresh LOW Spring miner-to-AI re-rate has fully unwound: BTDR lost the $15 shelf to $12.56 (2026-07-09) as AI-cloud ARR plateaued at ~$69M for a 2nd month. A signed-but-not-effective Tydal colocation lease (2026-06-29) and a $36M Nevada plant are the… CACI CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA fresh LOW CACI International's defense-technology re-rating requires a weekly recovery above $646 and reaffirmed fiscal 2027 guidance at the next results. A weekly close below $600 would invalidate the recovery case. CAKE Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (The) fresh LOW Casual-dining re-rate got a genuine second leg: Citi's 2026-07-10 raise to a street-high $90 (Buy) on a rewards/app traffic-inflection thesis gapped shares 7% to all-time highs (~$86, 52wk high $86.66 on 2026-07-18). For the first time the… CARG CarGurus, Inc. LOW CarGurus’ margin-improvement and repurchase story failed its published $35 weekly price test at the September 11, 2026 close of $34.42. Third-quarter results can distinguish operating weakness from price deterioration, but cannot undo that… CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc LOW Cracker Barrel's turnaround thesis failed its $50 weekly-close test at the $49.48 close on 2026-09-11. The confirmed 2026-09-23 results will test July's strengthened operating outlook, but cannot reverse the recorded price invalidation. CERS Cerus Corporation fresh LOW Two lower weekly closes now sit under the broken $2.70 shelf — $2.65 on 2026-08-28, then $2.59 on 2026-09-04 — with RSI(14) at 24.3 and an empty news tape behind the decline. The operating record is unchanged (FY26 product guide $229–231M,… CLW Clearwater Paper Corporation LOW Clearwater Paper's paperboard recovery depends on September extending August's pricing increase and third-quarter earnings meeting guidance. The case requires another SBS assessment increase and $20–30 million of third-quarter adjusted… CODI Compass Diversified LOW Compass Diversified’s asset-sale and debt-reduction story needs operating confirmation and recovery toward B. Riley’s $15 target before a weekly close below $11 breaks the thesis. The 2026-09-11 adjusted close of $11.01 leaves the existing… COMP Compass, Inc. LOW Now stretched into a binary ~2026-07-29 Q2 print ($4.0–4.2B guide) with an open NY AG antitrust probe. CPIX Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. LOW Cumberland Pharmaceuticals’ post-Apotex recovery depends on ifetroban results restoring clinical credibility. The case requires disclosed endpoint results followed by a weekly close above the September 11 high of $8.97 before a weekly… CRCT Cricut, Inc. LOW Cricut’s platform transition now has Maker 5 behind it; the next quarterly report must show growth in both segments before a daily close below $5.16 breaks the case. The 2026-09-03 launch satisfies the earlier announcement condition but… CRL Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. fresh LOW Charles River Laboratories’ demand-recovery continuation thesis was invalidated by the 2026-09-18 weekly close of $278.06 below $280. The 2026-09-24 Investor Day tests the operating framework but cannot undo that breach. CROX Crocs, Inc. fresh LOW Legacy-brand turnaround with the raised guide intact and the tape still unwinding: after the 2026-07-30 beat-and-raise (FY2026 adj EPS $13.70–$14.00), closes went $131.72 (08-14) → $122.11 (08-21) → $117.53 (09-04), RSI(14) 26.9, -16.8%… CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. LOW Legacy-networker AI re-rate intact and now at its binary: the $118–120 shelf held through July, price closed $121.43 on 2026-08-07 with RSI(14) at 78.4, and five sell-side target raises landed 07-22 → 08-06 (Citi $112→$139) ahead of the Q4… CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. LOW Canadian Solar’s recovery thesis rests on domestic-module contract repricing after management’s 2026-08-27 policy discussion. Disclosed price increases and a weekly close above the former $14.00 shelf would establish the case; a weekly… CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation LOW Cognizant's enterprise-AI pivot needs third-quarter revenue confirmation and a recovery above the August 28 close of $64.04. Revenue below the July 29 guidance floor of $5.600 billion or a weekly close below $58 would invalidate the case. DDD 3D Systems Corporation LOW June's $50M raise at $3.05 (16.4M sh) is already underwater: shares last $2.775 (2026-07-02), below the offering floor, with ~$50M shelf undrawn and soft Q2 guidance (rev $93–95M, adj. EBITDA still negative) into the 2026-08-10 print. A… DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. LOW Fusion pivot is the leg: the 2025-12-18 all-stock TAE Technologies merger (>$6B, ~50/50 fully diluted) is what's actually being bought, while the crypto-treasury leg was terminated 2026-08-07. The S-4 was still unfiled as of 2026-08-05,… DLTR Dollar Tree Inc. fresh LOW Dollar Tree’s multi-price earnings-growth thesis failed its published $124 weekly-close test at the 2026-09-18 close of $111.96. Renewed support requires a weekly close above $124 and third-quarter comparable-store sales within the 3%–4%… DUOT Duos Technologies Group, Inc. LOW The pivot is now structural: the rail subsidiary was sold 2026-08-05 (related party — interim CFO owns 50% of the buyer), leaving an edge-colocation operator carrying a 2026-07-16 five-year 10 MW hyperscaler contract worth >$111M. The tape… EDIT Editas Medicine, Inc. fresh LOW Editas Medicine's EDIT-401 recovery thesis failed its published price test when the 2026-09-11 weekly close reached $2.70, below $2.75. The company's Q1 2027 data-update guidance leaves human lipid lowering unresolved; the market failure… EFOR Everforth, Inc. LOW Everforth's AI-services re-rating needs Q3 2026 revenue above Q2's $1,007.0 million and consulting book-to-bill of at least 1.2 to 1. A weekly close below $28.50 breaks the price thesis before that operating confirmation. ENOV Enovis Corporation LOW Post-Colfax orthopedic pure-play turnaround: LimaCorporate integration plus FCF-conversion recovery (43% in 2024 toward a 70–80% target) is the self-help story, but price has rolled over from $34 toward $27 while three brokers cut targets.… ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. LOW IQ SST AI-data-center pivot (announced 2026-04-28) that drove a spring squeeze has stalled — stock de-rated ~16% in a month to ~$45 (2026-07-09), sell-side uniformly neutral with PTs on top of price (Susquehanna $45, 2026-07-10), and SST… EPAM EPAM SYSTEMS, INC. fresh LOW Compounder narrative broken on 2026-08-06: FY26 organic constant-currency growth cut to 2.0%–3.0%, Q3 guided to ~1.7% YoY. Price has stalled rather than extended lower ($99.90 close 2026-08-11 vs $97.43 on 2026-08-07), but the AI-native… EVC Entravision Communication LOW Smadex AI-DSP re-rate broke to a new 52-week high of $13.48 with no dated company news since 2026-07-12 — an anticipatory leg into the 2026-08-10 Q2 print, the binary on whether Q1's +204% ATS growth and ~22% EBIT margin held.… EXFY Expensify, Inc. LOW Legacy expense-SaaS pivot re-rated on the 2026-08-06 Q2 print: revenue $33.9M beat $33.688M, paid-member decline halved to -2% YoY, FY26 FCF guide doubled to $12M-$14M, ~7% of shares retired, and New Expensify ARR from net-new customers… EXTR Extreme Networks, Inc. LOW Legacy campus-networking name re-rating ~+140% off Feb lows on the Platform ONE / Agent ONE AI-NetOps story plus SaaS ARR +29% YoY; theme still accelerating but spot ($33.71, 07-10) has run through consensus PT $29.06 into the June bull… FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. fresh LOW Activist-plus-new-CEO turnaround has stopped accelerating and started digesting: after the +30% run off Garden's $40.6 buy, price has chopped $50–54 for three weeks while sell-side targets climbed past spot (Goldman $61 on 7/10, Barclays… FLEX Flex Ltd. LOW AI-manufacturing re-acceleration: the 2026-07-09 Cerebras CS-3 production expansion is the first company-specific bid since the S&P-inclusion +6% pop round-tripped to ~$147, refreshing the data-center power/EMS narrative into the ~07-29 Q1… FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. LOW Fossil Group's margin-turnaround rerating failed its published $5.00 weekly-close test with the 2026-09-11 close of $4.73. The operating recovery remains unconfirmed pending evidence for management's 2026-08-12 forecast of Q4 sales growth… FSLY Fastly, Inc. LOW Fastly’s security-led recovery now has a Comcast deployment story; the 2026-09-22 Investor Day tests whether it gains financial support. The recovery case requires a weekly close above $27.69 with annual revenue guidance intact before a… G Genpact Limited fresh LOW Agentic-operations pivot keeps compounding in the segment data — ATS +24.1% to $363M, FY guide lifted to at least 25% on 2026-08-06 — while the 73% legacy book grew 1.9% and caps consolidated growth near 7%. The 10-Q filed 2026-08-07… GDRX GoodRx Holdings, Inc. fresh LOW GoodRx's Pharma Direct and subscription pivot must restore total revenue growth. The next quarterly release confirms the case if growth returns and the $790–805 million annual outlook holds before a weekly close below $3.00 invalidates the… GEN Gen Digital Inc. fresh LOW Gen Digital’s security-funded financial-services pivot supports a recovery thesis, tested by Q2 revenue against August’s guidance. The price case succeeds with a weekly close above the September 18 adjusted high of $31.41 before a weekly… GRND Grindr Inc. fresh LOW Grindr’s premium-subscription pivot underpins a recovery thesis, but EDGE monetization remains unmeasured. A daily close above $17.94 by 2026-09-30 would complete the recovery case; a weekly close below $14.50 or expiry without that… GTM ZoomInfo Technologies Inc LOW Legacy B2B data business trying to re-price as the data layer under AI go-to-market agents. The 2026-08-05 post-print gap is intact but unextended — $3.97 on 2026-08-21, RSI(14) cooled 76.9→58.9 — and the 2026-08-11 Microsoft Copilot MCP… GTN Gray Media, Inc. LOW Gray Media's political-advertising and consolidation story needs Q3 guidance delivery and a weekly recovery above $5.00. A weekly close below $4.50 invalidates the remaining repricing thesis; Q3 revenue below management's $935 million… GTX Garrett Motion Inc. LOW Turbo cash-cow re-rated (~8–9x → ~18x) on a datacenter/industrial oil-free cooling narrative; the parabolic Feb→June leg (~$20→$36) is spent, shares faded ~11% to the 50-day near $32.30, and the ~late-July Q2 print is the first chance to… HELE Helen of Troy Limited fresh LOW Helen of Troy's debt-reduction recovery failed its published price test at the 2026-09-18 close of $26.84. The expected 2026-10-08 results would test whether lower leverage and retained cash guidance support a renewed case, conditional on… HRB H&R Block, Inc. fresh LOW H&R Block’s cash-return re-rating needs a recovery to its 2026-09-04 close of $49.06 with fiscal 2027 guidance intact before a weekly close below $44. The 2026-09-18 close of $44.25 leaves that recovery case under pressure. HTLD Heartland Express, Inc. fresh LOW The margin-recovery leg printed on 2026-07-30 (operating ratio 91.0% vs 105.9%) and drew no lasting bid: price slid from $12.84 on 2026-08-21 to $12.44 on 2026-09-04, RSI 43.9, at the bottom of the August $12–$13 band, while freight… IART Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corporation LOW Med-device turnaround re-rating is now fully banked into Hold-grade targets: BMO initiated Market Perform $19 (Jul 9) and Citi raised to Neutral $19 (Jul 8), both landing on the tape (~$18.76). The distressed-to-fair leg is done; only… ILMN Illumina, Inc. LOW Illumina’s NovaSeq X recovery has a September 21 index catalyst, but price confirmation remains absent. A weekly close above the $227.69 reference high and delivery against July’s third-quarter revenue outlook would validate the case; a… IQ iQIYI, Inc. fresh LOW Long-form streaming growth is broken in the reported numbers (Q1 2026 revenue -13% YoY, operating income to a RMB228.4m loss), so what is left is the micro-drama/overseas pivot — newly branded as Undercurrent Theater in early August 2026 —… IT Gartner, Inc. LOW Gartner’s recovery depends on subscription growth improving after the August earnings rebound weakened. Confirmation requires faster contract-value growth, maintained revenue guidance and a weekly close above the August 28 reference close… KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corporation fresh LOW Section 232 aluminum supply-shock (50% duty through 2027) plus a Q1 earnings inflection already repriced KALU ~+175% YoY to a $195 high; the move is maturing toward saturated with price at/above every published target. The estimated… KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. fresh LOW Former Bitfarms miner→AI/HPC-datacenter pivot has rolled over: June's push to ~$6.14 into Citizens' $10 initiation retraced to a ~$4.975 ref by 07-06, losing the $5.00 convert shelf and drifting toward the $4.00–4.20 base. Still zero… KGS Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. fresh LOW Legacy-pivot repricing has stalled into a four-week range: the 2026-09-04 close of $62.59 sits between the 2026-08-10 low of $59.72 and the 2026-08-14 close of $65.35, with no company press release since 2026-08-06 and no dated catalyst… KLC KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. fresh LOW Distressed post-IPO childcare name has retraced ~180% off its $1.75 spring low to $4.93 as growth shifts to B2B/employer care and before-after-school (Champions +17% YoY), while the core ECE business still shrinks (−3% enrollment). The ~13… KODK Eastman Kodak Company fresh LOW Eastman Kodak's materials pivot needs Q3 to repeat Q2's $105 million segment revenue and 26% consolidated gross margin before a weekly close below $9.20 breaks the recovery thesis. The September momentum improvement does not resolve… LAD Lithia Motors, Inc. LOW Lithia Motors’ finance-led re-rating requires dealership revenue to recover alongside lending income. The next quarterly results test that combination; a weekly close below $340 invalidates the price thesis. LZ LegalZoom.com, Inc. fresh LOW AI-reset narrative — a busted online legal-forms IPO repositioning as an AI-enabled SMB subscription platform (Anthropic partner, AI "digital mailroom") — drove a +29% 30-day rip into July. But it's stretched into the 2026-08-05 Q2 print,… M Macy's Inc. fresh LOW Morgan Stanley broke the all-Hold wall on 2026-07-06, resuming at Overweight with a $30 target and a $3 EPS-power call vs ~$2 consensus — the first real upgrade catalyst since the Q1 beat. But price faded the note ($23.99 → $22.64 by… MANH Manhattan Associates, Inc. LOW Cloud-conversion re-rating has printed a new 52-week high: the 2026-08-28 close of $223.28 is 0.2% under the $223.76 high, RSI(14) 79.7, with price 4.2% above the $213.90 aggregate analyst target. The only new input since the 2026-07-28… MASS 908 Devices Inc. LOW 908 Devices’ handheld-detection recovery depends on the $6 million ProtectIR order announced on 2026-08-11 validating its revenue outlook. A weekly close above the $11.10 high reported on 2026-09-11 would confirm price recovery; a weekly… MATV Mativ Holdings, Inc. LOW Mativ Holdings’ margin-and-debt repair thesis requires the next quarterly report to sustain a 14.1% adjusted EBITDA margin and reduce net debt below $908.2 million before a weekly close below $11.50 invalidates the price structure. MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated fresh LOW AI-data-center re-rating leg is unwinding — round-tripped from the $105.91 May ATH to the ~$84 50-day EMA under an unrebutted J Capital short thesis and a 2026-07-13 TD Cowen PT cut to $90; only the cyclical MCU/industrial recovery (~93%… MLKN MillerKnoll, Inc. fresh LOW MillerKnoll's recovery re-rating failed its published $22 weekly-close test on 2026-09-18. The 2026-09-22 results would support a replacement case only with recovering organic orders and backlog above the $679 million reported on… MNKD MannKind Corporation fresh LOW MannKind Corporation's Furoscix expansion tests its pivot beyond inhaled insulin. Q3 2026 Furoscix sales above Q2 2026's $22.2 million, with Tyvaso DPI royalties at least $32.4 million, would confirm the commercial leg before a weekly… MOH Molina Healthcare, Inc. fresh LOW Molina Healthcare’s Medicaid recovery case needs a weekly close above $205 and October results preserving its July earnings floor. The 2026-09-18 close of $200.79 leaves price confirmation absent; a weekly close below $188 invalidates the… MOV Movado Group, Inc. fresh LOW Movado Group’s margin recovery remains unconfirmed by price; the re-rating case requires a weekly close above the $34.96 pre-results reference before a weekly close below $33 invalidates it. MYE Myers Industries, Inc. fresh LOW Legacy plastics maker re-rated ~2.4x on a "Focused Transformation" — MTS distribution arm in discontinued ops, capital concentrated behind Signature/MegaDeck composite matting (Infrastructure orders +130% YoY, Q1 adj EPS $0.44 vs $0.28).… NABL N-able, Inc. fresh LOW N-able's recovery case rests on repurchase support and recurring-revenue stabilization. The next quarterly report must show ARR above Q2's $544.5 million and revenue within the $134.5–135.5 million Q3 guidance before a weekly close below… NEO NeoGenomics, Inc. fresh LOW Oncology-dx turnaround accelerating — NGS +26%, PTEN IHC CDx (first FDA IHC companion dx in prostate, paired to AZ's TRUQAP) launched Jul 9, and TD Cowen $14→$19 / BofA $11→$16 on Jul 13 lifted consensus to ~$15.67, back above spot. But Q2… NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. fresh LOW Cyclical zinc-recovery confirmed and fully priced: Q1 EBITDA +126% YoY and Aripuanã's record 13kt ramp drove a run to the $16.89 high, but the equity now chops $12–13 while LME zinc printed a fresh 2026 high near US$3,622 — a bearish… NKE Nike, Inc. LOW NIKE's turnaround thesis requires the 2026-10-01 report to confirm gross-margin expansion and preserve its fiscal 2027 revenue outlook. A weekly close below $36 invalidates the recovery case; BMO's September Underperform initiation and the… NOK Nokia Corporation fresh LOW AI-networking legacy re-rate extending on a harder catalyst leg — first commercial AI-RAN platform with Nvidia (07-15) plus Taiwan Mobile, Orange Belgium and NestAI defense wins. Theme accelerating, but the 2026-07-23 pre-open Q2 print is… NSIT Insight Enterprises, Inc. fresh LOW Genuine VAR margin-mix turnaround (Q1 GM +240bps, cloud GP +35%) but a derivative AI tag: hardware GP guided flat, sales +1%. Range-bound $102–123 since the early-June rejection; ~$110 already sits above the ~$103 street target with a… NWPX NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. fresh LOW Legacy steel-pipe maker re-rated into a water-infrastructure + precast roll-up on a record $373M WTS backlog, an ~83% Q1 beat, and the Permalok RBJ field win. Narrative intact but the setup is extended — last near $148, ~35% above the… OFIX Orthofix Medical Inc. LOW Orthofix Medical’s reimbursement-led recovery thesis failed when the 2026-09-11 weekly close of $8.93 breached $9.30. The next quarterly results must establish whether the operating recovery survives through confirmation of the revenue and… OII Oceaneering International Inc. fresh LOW Oceaneering International’s offshore earnings recovery needs third-quarter confirmation and a weekly close above $54.11 to validate renewed re-rating. A weekly close below $46 would invalidate the case; the September 8 sales range alone… OTEX Open Text Corporation LOW Open Text Corporation’s cash-return stabilization case depends on first-quarter revenue meeting its $1.220–1.250 billion plan with annual guidance intact. The 2026-09-11 close of $23.06 leaves the structure above its published shelf, but a… OTLY Oatly Group AB LOW Oatly’s guidance-led recovery failed its published $13.00 weekly price test at the $12.71 close on 2026-09-11. The next quarterly report must establish whether the operating recovery survives through confirmation of July’s revenue-growth… PATH UiPath, Inc. fresh LOW UiPath's agent-orchestration recovery case requires quantified commercial evidence at its 2026-09-22 Investor Day and a subsequent weekly close above $15. A weekly close below the September 11 reference close of $13.75 invalidates this new… PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. fresh LOW Paycom Software's operating-leverage re-rating is testing its post-Q2 price shelf after the 2026-09-11 close of $218.91. A weekly close above the $240.52 reference high would establish renewed price strength; a weekly close below $214… PBI Pitney Bowes Inc. fresh LOW PBI broke the $17.62 shelf to a fresh 52-week high $18.62 (Jul 16) — the buyback/cost-cut re-rate is now extending, not consolidating. But revenue still shrinks ~3% YoY, consensus PT $16.43 sits below spot, and Q2 prints after close Jul… PII Polaris Inc. fresh LOW Polaris’s earnings-recovery thesis failed its $62 weekly-close test at the 2026-09-18 close of $54.07. The next quarterly report tests whether operational earnings guidance survives, but cannot undo the price invalidation. PRGO PERRIGO COMPANY PLC fresh LOW Perrigo’s turnaround rests on asset sales reducing debt while core earnings guidance survives. A completed strategic transaction and subsequent results would confirm the case; a weekly close below $13.00 would invalidate its… PVH PVH Corp. fresh LOW PVH Corp.’s legacy-brand reset needs earnings delivery and a recovery of the $75 shelf. The case is confirmed if Q3 results preserve the $11.80–$12.10 fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS outlook and the shares close a week above $75 before a weekly… QLYS Qualys, Inc. fresh LOW Qualys’ post-earnings recovery case requires a weekly close above the market’s August reference of $187.05 before a weekly close below $170 breaks it. The 2026-08-04 guidance increase supports the operating story, but Q3 revenue at or… REAL The RealReal, Inc. fresh LOW The RealReal’s luxury-resale growth supports a recovery hypothesis, but price confirmation is absent. A weekly close above $10.00 and third-quarter delivery against August 6 guidance would establish the case; a weekly close below $8.02… REAX The Real Brokerage, Inc. fresh LOW The binary resolved — the RE/MAX combination closed 2026-08-24 — and the deal move unwound with it: RSI(14) went from 88.0 on 2026-08-21 to 38.0 at the 2026-09-04 close of $18.67, under the mechanically restated $19.50 July shelf. What… SABR Sabre Corporation fresh LOW June's +20% deleveraging bounce has fully round-tripped: $1.99 (6/26) back to $1.73 (7/17), now under the 50-day near $1.79 after failing exactly at the $1.99 consensus PT. Balance sheet is fixed, narrative is not accelerating, and a… SAH Sonic Automotive, Inc. LOW GPU-normalization narrative broke at the 2026-07-30 print: revenue and adjusted EPS beat consensus, but adjusted EPS fell 17% YoY, franchised segment income −23%, and EchoPark FY26 GPU guidance was cut ~$300 at the midpoint. Shares… SANM Sanmina Corporation fresh LOW The prior break level gave way: the 2026-08-21 weekly close at $188.89 retraced the entire June re-rate. FQ3 on 2026-07-27 beat and raised — $3.46B revenue, +69.7% YoY, FY26 EPS guide lifted to $11.90–12.20 — and the tape answered with a… SFIX Stitch Fix, Inc. LOW Stitch Fix’s turnaround needs renewed customer growth at the 2026-09-23 results and a weekly reclaim of $3.50. A weekly close below $2.95 ends the revival case, while revenue below the June guidance floor would contradict its operating… SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. fresh LOW Tariff-recovery leg has stalled into a $39.71–$47.11 range with insiders selling every rally and zero buys; the whole story now hinges on the confirmed 2026-07-30 Q2 print. Consensus targets sit at or below spot ($43.75, 07-16), adjusted… SKM SK Telecom Co., Ltd. fresh LOW SK Telecom’s equity-funded AI data-center expansion supports a recovery case, but the September 18 close shows weakening price confirmation. A weekly close above the August reference of $40.29 would establish recovery; a weekly close below… SMWB Similarweb Ltd. fresh LOW Similarweb’s AI data-licensing pivot needs Q3 revenue conversion to validate its repricing. Confirmation requires revenue within the $80.5–82.5 million guidance issued on 2026-08-12 and an AI-related revenue share above Q2’s 13%, before a… SNEX StoneX Group Inc. fresh LOW StoneX Group's recovery case rests on revenue stabilization and a return above its September 4 reference close. Fiscal Q4 net operating revenue of at least $719.7 million and a weekly close above $69.46 would confirm it; a weekly close… STUB StubHub Holdings, Inc. LOW June's busted-IPO recovery leg has fully reversed. D.C.'s RESALE Act (10% resale-markup cap, effective 2027-01-01) plus a Texas AG probe into undelivered World Cup tickets broke the experience-economy narrative; at ~$8.60 STUB trades below… SXC Suncoke Energy Inc fresh LOW Coal-policy sympathy trade is fully dead: SXC has gone nowhere for three weeks, $8.39 on 2026-06-27 to $8.37 on 2026-07-17, pinned to the $8 shelf with no narrative velocity. The only live variable is the Q2 print, pulled forward to… TAL TAL Education Group fresh LOW Legacy-pivot re-rating still intact on fundamentals — Q1 FY2027 revenue +31.9% to $758.4M with selling and marketing down 5% — but the post-print impulse has largely round-tripped: $12.16 on 2026-08-11 to $11.32 on 2026-08-21, RSI 37.2,… TASK TaskUs, Inc. LOW Mix-shift re-rating: AI Services hit $66.1M (+25.8%) in Q2 CY2026 on 2026-08-05 — seventh straight quarter above 25% — and is guided above 30% YoY in Q4 on AV/robotics work, against a 25%-of-revenue Trust & Safety book the market assumes… TBI Trueblue, Inc. LOW Deep-cyclical industrial staffer re-rated +140% off the $3.18 low on a staffing-demand recovery and a data-center/energy labor boom lifting PeopleReady +19% YoY. Still loss-making (Q1 net -$19.8M), margins compressed, and the… TDOC Teladoc Health, Inc. fresh LOW Teladoc Health’s cash-flow support case depends on BetterHelp stabilising before a weekly close below $6.00. The next quarterly report must meet the Q3 revenue floor of $569 million, hold average paying users at least at Q2’s 0.346 million… TENB Tenable Holdings, Inc. fresh LOW The S&P SmallCap 600 bid expired on schedule — after the ~12% move on 2026-08-27 and the $37.67 close on 2026-08-28, the 2026-09-04 close of $34.25 has handed most of the index gap back, and the 2026-09-03 OpenAI CyberAgents announcement… TH Target Hospitality Corp. fresh LOW The AI-datacenter-landlord re-rate has stalled: TH peaked at $20.85 and has given back ~21% to $16.36 (2026-07-17) as TDR Capital affiliates distribute shares in-kind to partners, losing the $17 secondary clearing shelf while Oppenheimer… THC Tenet Healthcare Corporation New LOW Tenet Healthcare’s hospital-margin re-rating needs a weekly close above the August 21 high of $280.77 before a weekly close below $262 breaks the extension. The next results test whether the 18.0% hospital margin and annual earnings… TIC TIC Solutions, Inc fresh LOW Post-merger re-rate: engineering/geospatial backlog hit a record $1.18B (+20% YoY) on 2026-08-06 while legacy inspection fell ~5.5% combined, and UBS's 2026-08-11 upgrade (Buy, PT $12.50 from $11.00) prices an inflection that Q2's +2.5%… TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. LOW Beaten-down insulin-pump turnaround; the whole re-rate hinges on the tubeless Mobi ("Toby") 510(k) — planned for a Q2 filing but still unconfirmed after the quarter closed 2026-06-30 — plus margins scaling toward a ~60% Q4 exit. Shares… TRIP TripAdvisor, Inc. LOW Tripadvisor's residual-value case rests on TheFork proceeds and Experiences growth supporting a weekly recovery above $10. A weekly close below $9 invalidates the price case; failure to close TheFork by December 31, 2026 defeats the… TSAT Telesat Corporation Class A Common Shares and Class B Variable Voting Shares LOW Legacy GEO operator re-rating on a funded LEO pivot: 2026-08-04 C$2.3B, 15-year Canadian Arctic Mil-Ka contract expands Lightspeed 156→225 satellites and lifts the 2032 revenue target to US$4.9B from US$3.2B. Price closed at the 52-week… UHAL U-Haul Holding Company LOW U-Haul Holding Company's storage-led re-rating failed when the 2026-09-11 close of $64.05 breached its published $68 weekly threshold. A recovery case requires a weekly close above the former $68.25 July shelf and improving storage… UNH Unitedhealth Group Incorporated fresh LOW UnitedHealth Group's margin repair has yet to earn a market re-rating; the 2026-10-13 results test its $19.50–$20.00 full-year adjusted earnings-per-share outlook. A weekly close below $375 invalidates the price case. UNIT Uniti Group Inc. fresh LOW Hyperscaler dark-fiber demand turned the post-Windstream deleveraging grind into a growth story (~$1.5B disclosed funnel, $68.7M of Q1 IRU revenue from one hyperscaler), but the June re-rate to ~$11 has stalled in a three-week range above… VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation fresh LOW Marriott Vacations Worldwide’s earnings-led re-rating failed its $106 weekly price test at the 2026-09-11 close of $103.59. The next quarterly results must establish whether the operating recovery still supports the $805–830 million… VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. LOW Vor Biopharma’s telitacicept pivot depends on positive global Phase 3 results within its first-half 2027 guidance window. The recovery thesis fails if a weekly close below $20 occurs first, while a failed endpoint or delayed results… VSTS Vestis Corporation fresh LOW Vestis Corporation's turnaround depends on cost reductions delivering fiscal 2026 earnings and cash-flow guidance. The full-year report tests the $310–315 million adjusted EBITDA and $160–170 million free-cash-flow ranges issued on… VSXY Victorias Secret & Co. LOW Turnaround re-accelerated with no new number: the July mid-$70s range broke, a $99.97 52-week high printed, then 11% came back into the 2026-09-03 Q2 report. Consensus target $91.40 sits ~3% over the $89.02 close on 2026-08-14, so the… WRLD World Acceptance Corporation LOW World Acceptance Corporation’s credit-recovery and repurchase thesis needs Q2 revenue above $139.2 million with delinquency no higher than June’s readings. Those results would confirm the operating case if they arrive before a weekly close… XRAY DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. LOW Dentsply Sirona's turnaround re-rating failed its published $11 weekly-close test with the $10.46 close on 2026-09-11. A renewed recovery case requires a weekly close above $11, stabilising sales and maintained annual guidance. XRX Xerox Holdings Corporation LOW Distressed-deleveraging special situation that round-tripped its June activist pop into a binary 2026-07-30 Q2 print. At ~$2.60 it sits below the $2.75 Hold consensus and inside the $2.25–$2.50 target band; anchor buyer STARTEEPO (8.8M sh,… XTLB XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd. LOW XTL Biopharmaceuticals' psychedelic recovery case requires a disclosed Psyga trial start or binding ibogaine partnership and a weekly close above the June 30, 2026 financing reference of $2.70. A weekly close below $2.20 invalidates it;… YEXT Yext, Inc. fresh LOW Yext’s margin-and-share-count recovery needs AI products to restart recurring-revenue growth. The case requires next-quarter ARR above $440.8 million before a daily close below $5.90; Envision on 2026-09-30 tests commercial evidence but…