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Defense & aerospace theme · 28 dossiers

Dossiers in the Defense & aerospace theme cluster — 28 names moving on shared catalysts.

DormantLast produced 21 August 2026, 30 days ago — outside the 14-day window the model counts as current work.

All 28 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
MRCY Mercury Systems Inc fresh MEDIUM Defense-electronics turnaround still re-rating on record bookings and a promised FCF turn, but the stock has given back ~20% from its $128.45 ATH and now chops near the analyst median (~$103) into a binary ~Aug 10-18 Q4/full-year print.… Special situation · Defense & aerospace catalyst · DPRO Draganfly Inc. MEDIUM Draganfly's policy-led drone re-rating now has a Canadian defence contract behind it, announced on 2026-09-11. A weekly close above the historical $6.23 reference would confirm price recovery; a weekly close below $4.70 would invalidate… Retail squeeze · Defense & aerospace catalyst · ATI ATI Inc. fresh MEDIUM Titanium/superalloy aero-defense supplier digesting a June breakout above the reclaimed $183.30 ATH shelf: ~9% off the $204.09 high, RSI cooled to ~66, consensus PT $200.33 back above spot. Q2 lands 2026-08-06; peer CRS prints 2026-07-30… Defensive · Defense & aerospace analysed · ALM Almonty Industries Inc. fresh MEDIUM Non-China tungsten narrative now trades on one venue: the TSX exit took effect 2026-07-31 and the ASX removal 2026-09-01, leaving Nasdaq and Frankfurt. The operating case is unchanged — Sangdong throughput since 2026-07-01, Q2 revenue… Compounder · Critical materials & rare earths · Defense & aerospace analysed · ARXS Arxis, Inc. MEDIUM Arxis’ defense-and-space acquisition story needs another revenue-guidance increase at the next quarterly report to confirm acceleration. The case requires organic growth to hold at the 21% reported on 2026-07-29 and ends first if a weekly… Cyclical recovery · Space economy · Defense & aerospace catalyst · KOPN Kopin Corporation fresh MEDIUM Kopin Corporation's defense orders and optical-interconnect pivot support a recovery case toward the $6.39 market high recorded as of 2026-09-18. The forecast succeeds if that high is reached by the next quarterly report, estimated for… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Defense & aerospace analysed · TTMI TTM Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-05 binary resolved bullishly — Q2 revenue $1.004B beat both the $930–970M guide and $962M consensus, book-to-bill rose to 1.49, Q3 guided $1.100–1.140B vs $1.073B consensus. Yet the 2026-08-14 close of $140.0 is 36.8% below the… Cyclical recovery · AI datacenter infrastructure · Defense & aerospace catalyst · ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. LOW Archer Aviation’s acquisition-led recovery thesis failed when the 2026-09-11 weekly close of $5.58 breached its published $5.65 threshold. Completion of the Boeing transaction remains the business test, but cannot reverse that price… Compounder · Defense & aerospace · Physical AI & robotics analysed · AIRO AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. LOW AIRO Group Holdings’ recovery case rests on drone backlog conversion after the September tariff narrative failed. A Nord Drone closing by 2026-09-30 and a weekly close above the broken $8.00 level would establish the near-term case; a… Earnings inflection · Defense & aerospace catalyst · BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. fresh LOW Gen-3 subscription ramp landed in Q2 (2026-08-06): revenue $33.316M vs $30.68M est, +50% YoY, adjusted EBITDA $4.7M, FY26 guide affirmed at $130–150M. But EPS missed at $(0.54) vs $(0.36), cash is $36.9M against a $50–60M capex guide, and… Defensive · Space economy · Defense & aerospace catalyst · CACI CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA fresh LOW CACI International's defense-technology re-rating requires a weekly recovery above $646 and reaffirmed fiscal 2027 guidance at the next results. A weekly close below $600 would invalidate the recovery case. Special situation · Defense & aerospace catalyst · CRS Carpenter Technology Corp fresh LOW Aero-defense superalloy pricing cycle intact (three contracts at >30% hikes; Q4 op-income guide $205-210M, +37% YoY), but the July flush to $532 has been bought back to ~$603 straight into the 2026-07-30 Q4 print — now four sessions out… Cyclical recovery · Defense & aerospace · Managed care & health services catalyst · DDD 3D Systems Corporation LOW June's $50M raise at $3.05 (16.4M sh) is already underwater: shares last $2.775 (2026-07-02), below the offering floor, with ~$50M shelf undrawn and soft Q2 guidance (rev $93–95M, adj. EBITDA still negative) into the 2026-08-10 print. A… Special situation · Defense & aerospace · Cyclical industrials analysed · EFOR Everforth, Inc. LOW Everforth's AI-services re-rating needs Q3 2026 revenue above Q2's $1,007.0 million and consulting book-to-bill of at least 1.2 to 1. A weekly close below $28.50 breaks the price thesis before that operating confirmation. Special situation · AI enterprise software · Defense & aerospace catalyst · FAC Factorial Energy Inc. LOW Freshly de-SPAC'd solid-state battery name has fully unwound its debut mania — down ~78% from the $25.33 ATH to ~$5.67, breaking clean through the former $9.26 floor into a fresh 52-week low at $4.24. Cantor's $18 target now sits ~217%… Defensive · Solar & clean energy · Freight & logistics analysed · FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. LOW Narrative and price have fully decoupled: FLY stacked a $144M CLPS award, a Moon BASE seat and a $13M Mars subcontract into a -47% drawdown, falling 9.6% on 7/16 on the awards headline itself. At $19.27 vs a $45 IPO price and 31% below the… Defensive · Space economy · Defense & aerospace catalyst · IPX IperionX Limited fresh LOW US critical-minerals sovereignty name whose funding overhang cleared the ugly way: a 2026-07-08 US$50M ADS raise priced at $21.98, ~22% below the ~$28 pre-deal level, resetting the stock to $22.94 near its $21.66 52-week low. Pre-revenue,… Compounder · Critical materials & rare earths · Defense & aerospace catalyst · JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. fresh LOW eVTOL cert story still advancing (FAA TIA testing, 2026 Dubai target) but the trade rolled over: ~$8 testing support, down ~33% since June 1, recovery base gone, CFO sold ~half his stake June 8, consolidation coverage marks sentiment… Earnings inflection · EV & autonomous mobility · Defense & aerospace catalyst · KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corporation fresh LOW Section 232 aluminum supply-shock (50% duty through 2027) plus a Q1 earnings inflection already repriced KALU ~+175% YoY to a $195 high; the move is maturing toward saturated with price at/above every published target. The estimated… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Defense & aerospace analysed · MASS 908 Devices Inc. LOW 908 Devices’ handheld-detection recovery depends on the $6 million ProtectIR order announced on 2026-08-11 validating its revenue outlook. A weekly close above the $11.10 high reported on 2026-09-11 would confirm price recovery; a weekly… Special situation · Defense & aerospace · Cyclical industrials catalyst · MRAM Everspin Technologies, Inc. fresh LOW Sympathy bid off the Micron-led memory supercycle and Russell 2000 inclusion floored the post-parabola markdown in the low-$20s, but the ~2026-07-28 Q2 print is now the binary: Everspin must show a non-casino datacenter/AI design win or… Retail squeeze · AI chips & memory · Squeeze & momentum setups analysed · MTRN Materion Corporation LOW Beryllium critical-materials scarcity narrative still building, but the parabola cracked: a new ATH of $298.76 in early July gave way to a 5.6% reversal on 2026-07-07 to $247.20, now ~$258 and still ~9% above KeyBanc's $237 top target. The… Compounder · Critical materials & rare earths · Defense & aerospace analysed · ONDS Ondas Inc. fresh LOW Ondas Inc.’s acquisition-led defense expansion needs Q3 revenue of $140–$155 million and a narrower adjusted EBITDA loss to validate it. A weekly close below $7.00 breaks the recovery case before that operating confirmation. Retail squeeze · Defense & aerospace catalyst · QUIK QuickLogic Corporation fresh LOW The eFPGA/defense royalty squeeze has fully unwound: QUIK is ~$13, roughly 47% below the $24.33 June high, and the $18 shelf broke exactly as the Russell inclusion passed. July's post-quantum IP announcement drew no bid — good news into no… Retail squeeze · AI chips & memory · Defense & aerospace analysed · RDW Redwire Corporation LOW Post-SpaceX-IPO deflation broke RDW to a 2026-07-18 low near $8.51 (~67% off the 5/28 record). A relief bounce on Huntsville/Indiana facility news and $41.5M of H1 Stalker drone orders keeps running into a ~$850M dilution ceiling: the… Retail squeeze · Space economy · Defense & aerospace analysed · TSAT Telesat Corporation Class A Common Shares and Class B Variable Voting Shares LOW Legacy GEO operator re-rating on a funded LEO pivot: 2026-08-04 C$2.3B, 15-year Canadian Arctic Mil-Ka contract expands Lightspeed 156→225 satellites and lifts the 2032 revenue target to US$4.9B from US$3.2B. Price closed at the 52-week… Special situation · Space economy · Defense & aerospace analysed · XOS Xos, Inc. fresh LOW First-ever U.S. Air Force award (prototype OTA for the Xos Hub mobile BESS, announced 2026-08-17, terms not disclosed) took the stock ~100% on 2026-08-18 and put a defense-pivot narrative on a going-concern EV maker that just missed Q2… Retail squeeze · Defense & aerospace · EV & autonomous mobility catalyst · ZENA ZenaTech, Inc. LOW ZenaTech's recovery case requires a priced commercial drone-service contract and a weekly close above the market's August 28 close of $1.71. A weekly close below $1.52 invalidates that case; September's development announcements have not… Defensive · Defense & aerospace · Cyclical industrials catalyst ·
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