Filtered library · Archetype
Cyclical recovery · 81 dossiers
Dossiers classified as Cyclical recovery — 81 names, each with its thesis, invalidation trigger and catalyst calendar.
All dossiersASML
ASML Holding N.V.
ASML is the cleanest second-derivative on the AI-capex super-cycle: EUV monopoly, CEO's "supply-limited market for quite a while" framing (5/20), High-NA first product data on logic AND DRAM later in 2026, JPM Overweight PT $2,200 (6/3).…
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
Q2 FY26 (2026-06-03) printed a monster $30B AI bookings vs $10.8B shipped (2.8x book-to-bill), $100B+ FY27 AI guide but AVGO sold the news (-12% on 2026-06-04) and kept falling into a rate-driven risk-off. Fundamentals ACCELERATING, tape…
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
Optical-AI picks-and-shovels: the post-print -8.45% sell-the-news is fully reversed LITE reclaimed its pre-print high on a 2026-06-01 +7% signal bar at $866.97, riding Nasdaq-100 inclusion and the 2026-06-02 AI-chip rally to fresh records.…
TSEM
freshTower Semiconductor Ltd.
Specialty-foundry AI-recovery confirmed by the 2026-05-13 Q1 beat (op profit ~doubled, GM up, Q2 guide raised, +17%) but the catalyst is fully digested, sell-side caught up ($300–335 PTs), news dry 3 weeks, theme registry narrowed to one…
AAOI
freshApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.
Optical ACCEL but secondary to cleaner COHR; +400% YTD parabola, $600M ATM supply ceiling, ETF/MEME-saturated, ~2.2x consensus PT. Peak-sentiment chase, no catalyst ~8wks WATCH.
AEHR
Aehr Test Systems
Pivot to hyperscale AI-ASIC package-level burn-in validated by a record $41M follow-on order and >$92M H2 FY26 bookings, but the tape is blowoff: +400%+ YTD, ATH $113.20 on the 2026-06-02 William Blair day, catalyst now passed, insiders…
AMD
freshAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.
AI-chip ACCELERATING but (rank 34%), parabolic ATH chase, ARK persistent distribution dossier wants the ~$420 shelf retest.
AMSC
American Superconductor Corporation
Grid/advanced-conductor arms dealer to data-center power; backlog +40% YoY to ~$280M still accelerating, but the grid-power-transmission theme cooled to MATURING and the 2026-05-28 beat sold off on a soft Q1 margin guide ($0.17 vs $0.24…
AXTI
AXT Inc
InP-substrate supplier to the AI optical-interconnect build (Q1 InP >50% of rev, record $100M backlog, Q2 guided to first profit in years). But the tape broke: -16% on 6/5 to ~$89 on a >$22M CEO insider sale, -38% off the 5/26 $143 ATH,…
MU
freshMicron Technology, Inc.
AI-memory thesis intact but price leg cracked (+200% over 200DMA, CEO sold $36M, Burry SOXX short) into FQ3 ~6/25 binary most-saturated memory leg, correlated dup.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
Liquid-cooling sub-narrative re-accelerating inside a maturing AI-power theme: Goldman tagged it "the next AI trade" (5/24), NVIDIA's SmartRun digital-twin tie deepened the moat (6/1), TD Cowen set a street-high $387 target (5/20).…
COHR
Coherent Corp.
Optical ACCEL (0.90) cluster winner: Jensen optical-shift confirm + NVDA $1.9B stake, RSI 60.8 healthy, buy-the-pullback on a $405 — reclaim. Cleanest non-semi AI-infra expression; prior -8.3% exit warrants volume confirm.
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
Q1 FY27 binary cleared (~5/28); AI-capex demand printing harder (SpaceX-Google 110k-GPU deal 6/06, Oracle $100B capex 6/05) even as a 6/05 risk-off pulse and clustering AI-bubble warnings (Chamath 6/07) turn the tape two-sided. NVDA is the…
GLW
Corning Incorporated
AI-optical/glass picks-and-shovels narrative is fully public and still being marked up UBS PT $228 (6/5, new Street high) atop Mizuho $220, plus retail 'if-you-invested' clickbait (6/4) and the May photonics-ETF launch = late-stage…
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
AI-chip cluster still ACCELERATING, but QCOM's own leg is MATURING/late: a late-May breakout to the ~$248–250 52-week-high zone failed on sub-1x volume and reverted toward the published invalidation level with retail-saturation flags and…
ARM
Arm Holdings plc
Cluster-confirmed AI-silicon name last week's post-mortem flagged us for missing. Theme classifier ACCELERATING (0.84) with a concrete <14-day catalyst: Nvidia's first PC processor is ARM-based (Computex 2026-06-01) and Oracle joined the…
CDNL
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc.
Sun Belt civil-infrastructure roll-up re-rating on the data-center buildout: Q1 FY26 revenue +105% YoY with an EPS beat ($0.23 vs $0.14), FY26 guide raised to $675–685M, Oppenheimer ($60) and Stifel ($63) initiations within a week, a COO…
COHU
Cohu, Inc.
AI-compute test picks-&-shovels re-rate still ACCELERATING: Q1 orders +57% YoY, FY26 guide raised +20-25%, AI pipeline ~$750M, sell-side targets $53-60. Eclipse xPU handler + Neon HBM inspection are the leg. Extended at 52-wk highs (~$56)…
FN
Fabrinet
Optical-CMO narrative broadening from telecom (Q3 telecom +55% YoY, DCI +90%) into a supply-constrained datacom inflection two direct hyperscale 800G programs ramp Q4→mid-FY27, Building 10 adds 50% capacity for 1.6T. Revenue acceleration…
MOD
Modine Manufacturing Co
Q4 FY26 cleared bullish EPS $1.71 vs $1.55, sales beat, plus a $4B+ Airedale DC-cooling capacity deal through 2029 that turns the narrative from growth line-item into contracted multi-year backlog. Theme ACCELERATING, five PT raises to…
MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc.
Fresh entry. Price ran ~+6% past it; the post-mortem's lesson is to FUND cluster-confirmed HIGH names. Theme is ACCELERATING (0.91), AVGO-confirmed cluster, so the momentum read stays constructive. Concrete dated catalyst: S&P 500…
MTSI
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
AI optical-interconnect arms-dealer with mid-cycle re-acceleration: MACOM raised FY26 data-center growth from 35-40% to >60% on the Q2 call. Theme ACCELERATING + cluster-confirmed (COHR/CRDO/ALAB). But it V-ripped +29%/month back near the…
POWL
Powell Industries, Inc.
Grid + AI-data-center power buildout converting to record orders: Q2 (5/4) orders +97% YoY to $490M, backlog $1.8B into FY2028, plus a post-quarter ~$400M+ largest-ever data center deal. Theme ACCELERATING; stock digesting the $321.94…
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
NAND-controller picks-and-shovels riding the worst memory shortage in ~15 years (NAND contract +70–75% QoQ); Q1 +105% YoY blowout (2026-04-30) and BofA chasing its PT to $450. ACCELERATING + cluster-confirmed; RSI cooled 89→71, next binary…
TTMI
freshTTM Technologies, Inc.
AI-data-center + defense PCB/RF picks-and-shovels re-accelerating: V-rebounded off the ~$172 June-10 dip to ~$194 (3% under ATH $200.68); $4B 2026 revenue goal (May 27 Investor Day), book-to-bill 1.41, sell-side PTs $205–$215 still above…
AAON
AAON, Inc.
BASX data-center liquid-cooling narrative violently re-rated on the 2026-05-07 Q1 blowout rev +54% YoY, FY guide doubled to 40-45%, backlog +107% to $2.13B. Theme accelerating, but the binary already detonated (+53% in 30d), insiders sold…
ACLS
Axcelis Technologies, Inc.
Memory-capex pick-and-shovel re-rating + pending all-stock Veeco merger drove ACLS +83% in 3mo to ~$167; DRAM is now 32% of Q1 shipments and HBM4 lifts implant intensity. But FY26 revenue is guided FLAT, DCF ~$92, price sits only ~8% under…
AGX
Argan, Inc
Pure-play EPC for hyperscaler gas-fired data-center power. Q1 FY27 (2026-06-04) confirmed the thesis hard revenue +50% to a record $291M, EPS $3.24 vs $2.33 est, EBITDA +79% but the binary is now consumed, backlog slipped QoQ to $2.8B…
AIP
Arteris, Inc.
Semiconductor-IP royalty re-accel is now confirmed: Q1 (reported 2026-05-12) revenue +39% and variable royalties +67% YoY drove a near-2x re-rate to a $38.99 ATH plus PT hikes (Rosenblatt $38, Jefferies $35). Fundamentals ACCELERATING, but…
ALGM
Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.
Data-center power-IC re-rate intact fundamentally, but the 2026-06-05 rate-hike scare (Nasdaq -3%) reversed ALGM from a fresh ~$54.40 high to $46.39 a ~15% failed-breakout drop, back to the $46 consensus PT. 86% cyclical book sells with…
APH
freshAmphenol Corporation
AI-datacenter interconnect picks-and-shovels narrative accelerating: Q1 2026 orders hit a record $9.4B (book-to-bill 1.24), the $10.5B CommScope CCS deal (~$4.1B FY sales) closed in January, IT Datacom +80% YoY. Stock consolidating ~8%…
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
EMS arms-dealer to the AI buildout AC&C +41% YoY (liquid-cooling for AI data centers) + semi-cap recovery drove a FY26 guide raise to 9–10% on the 2026-04-29 print. Narrative accelerating, but the ~145% run to ~$88 is above the $78 avg PT…
CLS
Celestica, Inc.
AI-networking picks-and-shovels narrative still accelerating after the 2026-04-27 Q1 blowout (rev +53% to $4.05B, FY26 guide raised $17B→$19B; CIBC $480/BMO $450 chasing) but the stock just reset ~21% from the $474 June-2 high to $372,…
CYRX
CryoPort, Inc.
CGT cold-chain picks-and-shovels; the 2026 re-rate (FDA manufacturing flexibility + biotech-funding recovery + commercial CGT rev +26% YoY at the May 4 print) has largely played out. Spot ~$15.70 now sits ABOVE the $15.31 consensus PT…
FORM
FormFactor, Inc.
Probe-card HBM/advanced-packaging pick-and-shovel re-accelerating post-print: the 2026-06-05 Evercore upgrade to Outperform, PT $155 (~20% above the April $125–130 cluster), confirms the ~2026-05-06 Q1 guide held. Narrative ACCELERATING;…
GENI
freshGenius Sports Limited
Picks-and-shovels sports-data toll-booth under the prediction-market boom; narrative accelerating since the June 10 Polymarket/Liga MX data deal, landing into the live World Cup (final ~July 19) volume surge. Q1 raised FY26 EBITDA guide to…
IESC
IES Holdings, Inc.
Data-center electrical "shovels" play; Q2 FY26 (2026-05-01) backlog +62% to $3.9B, Communications +35% YoY fundamentals still accelerating. But +37% in a month into the $713.82 ATH with ~$108.6M of insider selling means a fresh entry buys…
KEYS
freshKeysight Technologies, Inc.
Q2 FY26 binary (2026-05-20) resolved bullish all-time-high orders/rev/EPS/FCF and a raised guide, and the sell-side caught up in one week ($350–$425 PT cluster vs ~$200 prior median). The first-mover upgrade edge is now consumed; the…
KLAC
freshKLA Corporation
Process-control toll-taker on the AI buildout: custom-silicon design-start proliferation + advanced packaging (>70% YoY) + re-accelerating memory WFE, with FY2026 guided to high-teens growth and 2H acceleration. Narrative is ACCELERATING,…
LGN
Legence Corp.
AI-datacenter MEP pick-and-shovel thesis converted from deck-slides to booked revenue: Q1 (reported 5/14) rev $1.04B +105% YoY, FY guide raised to $4.1–4.3B, record $5.4B backlog booked into late 2028. Stock ran $54 secondary → $107 high,…
MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.
AI data-center power narrative still ACCELERATING (Q1 Enterprise Data ~2x YoY to $262.8M; Q2 guide ~$900M midpoint, +35% YoY), but a Feb-26 non-reliance restatement and heavy CEO/insider selling are a fresh overhang. A 10% flush on 6/5 to…
MRX
Marex Group plc
Roll-up compounder confirmed by a record Q1 (reported 2026-05-06: revenue +48% to $692M, adj PBT +59%), with the 2026-06-01 Levmet bolt-on extending a 5-deal-in-12-months cadence. But price has run +39.9% in 90 days to ~$55.89, now at the…
MYRG
MYR Group, Inc.
AI/datacenter power-buildout lifting grid electrical contractors; MYRG validated it with a record Q1 (rev $1.0B +20%, EPS $2.99 beat ~45%, backlog $2.84B) and raised FY guide to ~12%. Theme ACCELERATING + cluster-confirmed, but after…
ONTO
Onto Innovation Inc.
Semicap/advanced-packaging metrology story is intact but the April momentum leg is spent: the 2026-05-05 Q1 came in-line ($292M as pre-announced, EPS $1.42 down YoY) with Q2 guide merely reiterated, and the stock derated ~20% from $316 to…
RMBS
Rambus Inc.
AI memory-interface royalty (DDR5 RCD + HBM4E IP) still compounding double-digit on product, but the parabolic leg topped at $174.10 (2026-06-03) and is rolling ~9% lower to ~$158 by 2026-06-05 amid a COO share sale and a CFO exit. Theme…
SPXC
SPX Technologies, Inc.
Data-center cooling breakout confirmed: SPXC reclaimed its 200-day near $210 and ran to $234 (~5% off the $246.68 high) on the 2026-04-30 beat-and-raise that hiked DC-cooling growth +50%→+70%. Narrative accelerating, but a fresh entry at…
SRAD
freshSportradar Group AG
Beaten-down sports-data name re-rating into the data/integrity infrastructure layer for prediction markets after the 2026-06-08 Kalshi deal (Needham PT $19→$23). Theme is accelerating but price sits below all moving averages a narrative…
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
Data-center site-development narrative accelerating: Q1 revenue +92% to $825.7M, FY26 EPS guide hiked to $16.50-17.15, and a rising analyst PT cluster ($922-956, Keybanc/Oppenheimer/Cantor). Real upgrade cycle, but price is extended ~+50%…
VCYT
Veracyte, Inc.
Profitable precision-oncology dx compounder with a fresh third leg: the TrueMRD whole-genome MRD test won Medicare coverage (2026-05-15, launched 06-01), stacking on a Q1 beat-and-raise and ASCO OPTIMA/ENZAMET data. But all three binaries…
VICR
freshVicor Corporation
AI-datacenter power-delivery narrative re-accelerated: 2026-05-26 Q2 guide raised to ~$142M (from ~$126M) on a new IP licensee, book-to-bill >2.0, backlog ~$300.6M. Stock reclaimed the $300 pivot (~$306, 2026-06-12) after a…
WDC
Western Digital Corporation
AI storage/memory supercycle validated post-print; sell-side re-rating violently (Citi $405→$685 on 2026-06-02, Barclays $620, WF/Evercore $575). Theme ACCELERATING but mature fastest-growing ETF, Micron +18% to Nasdaq records, first 'AI…
YSS
freshYork Space Systems Inc.
Space-defense vertical-integration roll-up moving from announcement to execution: Tranche 1 Transport Layer satellites shipping (2026-06-05), ALL.SPACE satcom order flow building (2026-06-09), both May acquisitions tracking to a…
ACMR
ACM Research, Inc.
WFE/China-localization ACCEL, orders +65%, but parabolic +280% 12mo cracked -9.4% on the 6/5 semicap selloff with Entity-List overhang WATCH for a $76-82 higher-low.
AEIS
freshAdvanced Energy Industries, Inc.
Picks-and-shovels AI-datacenter power re-rating: DC Computing revenue doubled to $194.2M in Q1 (5/4) and the 6/3 ADH 800V converter launch slots AEIS into NVIDIA Rubin-era HVDC racks. Fundamentals ACCELERATING, but the tape broke down the…
ALAB
Astera Labs, Inc.
AI-connectivity ACCEL but mid-correction knife after -11.4% Broadcom de-rate, beta 3.96, ~25% above avg PT; correlated dup of MRVL/TSM.
AMBA
Ambarella, Inc.
Post-Hanwha re-rating failed: the 2026-06-05 weekly close ~$63.52 (−11.84%) broke the $68 base and gave back the entire $800M-deal pop. Edge-AI theme still accelerating sector-wide, but AMBA is being rejected on valuation modest +16.9%…
AMKR
Amkor Technology, Inc.
AI-advanced-packaging re-rate already played out (low-$40s → $79.23 ATH on 2026-04-27); the leg is now correcting, not accelerating. The Q1 beat (+27% rev, EPS +50% vs est) was sold -8.6%, and a -12% breakdown on 2026-06-05 inside a…
AOSL
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited
April discovery thesis fully played out: Needham Buy ($50), Q3 beat, company-confirmed AI data-center content, and a $150M JV cash unlock drove a ~3x to a $54.34 high. June 5 printed a -16% distribution day with the stock above the $30.50…
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
Advanced-packaging/OSAT bottleneck thesis is still accelerating fundamentally (AP rev guided >$3.5B 2026), but the tape just blew off: fresh 52-wk high $41.10 met a ~11% single-session reversal to ~$34, RSI unwound to ~48, and insiders…
ATI
freshATI Inc.
Aerospace-materials, but at consensus PT with RR inverted, theme now MATURING, no binary until ~7/30 late-stage chase, want a 20-EMA reset.
AZZ
AZZ Inc.
Galvanizing/coatings picks-and-shovels name that rode the grid-power buildout to a $151.67 ATH (2026-05-11), now ~9% off and digesting. Its "substation" leg is being divested (AVAIL switchgear → nVent, $975M), the Q4 binary already…
BLZE
Backblaze, Inc.
Neocloud storage-layer pick-and-shovel: B2 Neo white-labels object storage to GPU clouds; AI customers +76% YoY and >1/3 of Q1 bookings, FY26 guide raised to $161.5–163.5M. But the post-print run to the $10.86 high has cooled to $7.76…
CEVA
CEVA, Inc.
Edge-AI IP ACCEL but a June-5 blowoff reversal -12% off the 52w high, consensus PT at spot + JPM Neutral $30 exhaustion bar, no fresh-entry edge.
CIEN
Ciena Corporation
Optical DCI / WaveLogic-7 1.6T cycle is real, but the binary already fired: Q2 06-04 beat-and-raise (EPS $1.64 vs $1.46; FY26 guide lifted to $6.2-6.4B) sold off from a $620.37 pre-print close expectations sat above even the raised guide.…
CRDO
freshCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Q4 FY26 (2026-06-01) was a blowout revenue +157% YoY, EPS $1.16 vs $1.03, Q1 guide $465–475M above consensus yet the stock sold the news, and the entire sell-side raised PTs to $215–$300 the next morning. That is a narrative shifting from…
CRS
freshCarpenter Technology Corp
Aerospace/defense superalloy supercycle is real and compounding record Q3 FY26 (4/29), FY26 op-income guide +33%, A&D bookings at multi-year highs. But the leg is MATURING: +53.6% YTD to ~$483 (52-wk high $495.58), parabolic RSI ~85 early…
DELL
Dell Technologies Inc.
AI-enterprise ACCELERATING but own parabola cracked ~20% off the $475 ATH, sliced the low-$400s base; wait for a higher-low re-base, SNOW is our cluster expression.
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
WFE-recovery thesis has fired and is now mid-correction: Q1 (2026-05-04) beat at $256M revenue +15% QoQ, Q2 guided $290–310M, stock +241% YTD into a $78 high. Now unwinding hard -11.5% on 2026-06-05 through the 20- and 50-day amid director…
INDI
indie Semiconductor, Inc.
Improving automotive ADAS-silicon design-win story ($7.4B backlog, $25M radar order) collides with a freshly broken tape: -16% on 2026-06-05 to $4.05 snapped both the $4.15 breakout shelf and the ~$4.00 50-day MA, with two analyst…
INOD
Innodata Inc.
AI training-data pure-play with a real ACCELERATING narrative (Q1 rev +54%, FY guide raised twice), but the parabola just rolled: -16% on 2026-06-05 to $101.97 off the $125.14 ATH, into a cluster of insider selling (CEO/COO/directors…
MDB
MongoDB, Inc.
AI-database ACCEL, Atlas re-accel +29%, but the +18.5% gap round-tripped to $350, only ~3% above the $340 failed-breakout line. Narrative accelerating, structure cracking; SNOW cleaner.
NET
freshCloudflare, Inc.
Cyber ACCEL but a snapback not a breakout (~16% below ATH), no catalyst to ~Aug repair leg;
OUST
Ouster, Inc.
Lidar-for-Physical-AI + counter-drone narrative is intact, but the momentum leg snapped: after a parabolic run to a $49.39 high, OUST fell ~16% on 2026-06-05 toward ~$39 as a $100M ATM, CTO selling, and a Nasdaq semis flush hit. Froth…
PI
Impinj, Inc.
Post-correction RAIN RFID recovery is fundamentally intact (record Q1 endpoint-IC bookings; Q2 guided +~40% QoQ to $103-106M, EPS $0.14→$0.77-0.82) but the PRICE thesis just broke: PI round-tripped the entire April earnings gap, closing…
SITM
SiTime Corporation
MEMS precision-timing picks-and-shovels: Q1 2026 (~2026-05-07) confirmed the AI-datacenter re-rate datacenter segment +158% YoY to ~67% of revenue, FY guide raised to ≥80%, EPS beat 23%. Narrative accelerated, but the stock now sits near…
SNDK
Sandisk Corporation
AI-memory ACCELERATING but correlated dup of MU; peak retail-search, PT dispersion $1750-3250, viral DRAM ETF -20% distribution crack memory leg saturating.
STM
STMicroelectronics N.V.
Analog-components ACCEL (DC target doubled to ~$1B) but a late +2.5x continuation sitting at consensus PT SMTC is the cleaner cluster expression.
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC
AI memory/storage supercycle has gone parabolic Seagate sell-side targets ran from ~$605 to $1,150 in six weeks and the trade is now mainstream (fastest-growing ETF in history, 5/25). With the cohort's first crack showing (viral DRAM ETF…
TER
Teradyne, Inc.
Record Q1 (rev +87% YoY to $1.28B, AI ~70% of mix) printed 2026-04-28 then sold off ~18% the analyst-rally-into-print faded as feared. Broadcom's 2026-06-05 guide miss reset hyperscaler-capex expectations and dragged TER ~12% to ~$358,…
UCTT
Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
2026 WFE supercycle ($140–145B, +18–20% YoY) is the live, accelerating narrative and UCTT is the high-beta subsystem supplier with margin-recovery torque. But the stock is up ~4–5x to a $94.95 all-time high, then printed a -12.4%…
VIAV
Viavi Solutions Inc.
Networking-optical/photonics theme maturing toward saturated first US-listed photonics ETF (EUV) debuted 2026-05-13 with 15 of 40 holdings +100% YTD, a late-cycle retail-discovery marker. VIAV is the laggard test-and-measurement sleeve,…