Filtered library · Archetype
Cyclical recovery · 122 dossiers
Dossiers classified as Cyclical recovery — 122 names, each with its thesis, invalidation trigger and catalyst calendar.
All 122 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.
All dossiers AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Advanced Micro Devices’ Helios story depends on OpenAI bringing the platform online in the fourth quarter of 2026. Confirmed operation would settle the deployment case; a weekly close below $456 or activation postponed beyond that quarter… MU Micron Technology, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Micron Technology's contracted memory revenue supports an earnings-durability thesis tested on 2026-09-30 against June's $50.0 billion ±$1.0 billion revenue guidance and an 86% adjusted gross-margin benchmark. A weekly close below $958… SIMO Silicon Motion Technology Corporation fresh MEDIUM Silicon Motion's enterprise-storage expansion needs third-quarter 2026 revenue of at least $519 million to validate the recovery before a weekly close below $230 breaks it. September 15 supply and customer-ramp commentary supports the… SNDK Sandisk Corporation fresh MEDIUM Sandisk’s contracted-revenue story has regained its post-Investor Day price level, leaving fiscal Q1 2027 delivery as the unresolved test. Revenue of at least $10.3 billion and non-GAAP gross margin of at least 83% would complete the case… DELL Dell Technologies Inc. fresh LOW Dell Technologies’ AI-server thesis requires roughly $19 billion of next-quarter revenue and infrastructure operating margin of at least 15.0%. The next quarterly results settle that case; September 21, 2026 index inclusion does not… MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. fresh LOW Custom-silicon ASIC royalty story intact, but the AI-semi theme is mid-correction — chips posted their worst month vs software on record (7/17) with money rotating into energy. Buying a falling sector with no confirmed higher low is the… STX Seagate Technology Holdings PLC fresh LOW Maturing AI-storage supercycle with sell-side still chasing: Wells Fargo upgrade to Overweight $1,100 (7/10) and Citi Street-high $1,240 (7/13). But the DRAM ETF is down ~30% and Seagate's Q4 FY26 print ~2026-07-22 is a binary about two… WDC Western Digital Corporation fresh LOW The 29% bounce off the 2026-07-28 low stalled: WDC closed $527.22 on 2026-08-03, −3.23% on a day its sector rose 0.58%, back under a rising 50-day at $562.65. Consensus (~$3.69B / $3.31–$3.35) still sits above the company's own $3.65B… AEHR Aehr Test Systems MEDIUM Aehr Test Systems’ AI burn-in orders support a revenue-ramp thesis; the next results must preserve fiscal 2027 guidance of $130–150 million. The recovery case requires a weekly close above Lake Street’s $110 target before a weekly close… CYRX CryoPort, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-06) split the read: revenue $49.0M beat $48.21M and FY26 guide affirmed at $192–196M with adjusted EBITDA crossing to +$0.4M, but commercial CGT growth halved to +9% YoY from +26%. The narrative leg is now the profitability… HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. MEDIUM Halozyme's royalty-led earnings re-rating rests on the 2026-08-06 guidance increase. A weekly close above the $110.76 high identified on September 11 would confirm another price leg before a weekly close below $98 invalidates it; Argus's… HP Helmerich & Payne, Inc. MEDIUM Helmerich & Payne’s crude-led drilling recovery needs fourth-quarter rig activity and margins to meet guidance and adjusted earnings to turn positive. Those results would confirm the operating case; a weekly close below $40 invalidates the… NET Cloudflare, Inc. MEDIUM Cloudflare’s AI security and agent-infrastructure story supports a recovery toward its recorded $330.83 high. The case plays out on a weekly close above that level by the listed 2026-10-29 results date and fails on a weekly close below… PMTS CPI Card Group Inc. MEDIUM Levered card manufacturer re-rating on cash generation: Q2 revenue $149.2M (+15%) with net leverage cut to 2.7x from 3.6x and FY free-cash-flow guidance lifted to $45–50M on 2026-08-06. Adjusted EBITDA grew just 7% against that 15% top… RCMT RCM Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM RCM Technologies’ energy-services re-rating requires continued Engineering growth and stable margins. Q3 revenue above the segment’s $39.5 million Q2 level and consolidated gross margin of at least 25.7% would confirm the case, provided a… SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 beat-and-raise on 2026-07-30 was the strongest print of the cycle — HVAC backlog $919M (+59% organic), 2026 data-center revenue set at $430M, capacity target lifted to $1.1B from $750M — yet the 2026-08-14 close of $217.32 sits 11.8%… TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd. MEDIUM Tower Semiconductor’s silicon-photonics expansion needs its next quarterly report to confirm the August revenue guide and July 2028 model. A weekly close below $195 would invalidate the price recovery before that operating confirmation. BXC BlueLinx Holdings Inc. fresh LOW BlueLinx's specialty-margin re-rating depends on Trex execution and price repair. Completed initial stocking followed by a weekly close above $84 would resolve the recovery case; a weekly close below $72 would invalidate it. MXL MaxLinear, Inc. fresh LOW The AI-optical revenue leg still compounds — Q3 guided to $210–220M against Q2's $168.8M — while the price leg makes new lows: the 2026-09-04 close of $62.74 is 51.0% below the $128.03 high with RSI(14) at 25.1, after roughly $50M of… OABI OmniAb, Inc. LOW OmniAb’s milestone re-rating depends on repeat partner payments lifting full-year revenue guidance above $36 million at the next results. A weekly close below $3.82 ends the price thesis; the October 6 Investor and Analyst Day provides an… SMTC Semtech Corporation fresh LOW The mix-purification leg has lost its price leg: the August bounce round-tripped from a $140.35 close on 2026-08-14 to $124.09 on 2026-08-21, under the 2026-07-17 flush close. The binary moved forward — Q2 FY27 prints 2026-08-25 after the… TEM Tempus AI, Inc. LOW Tempus AI's proposed Personalis acquisition supports a cancer-vaccine sequencing recovery thesis. A daily close above the August 21 reference close of $72.69 would confirm the price case before a weekly close below $58 invalidates it;… SNOW Snowflake Inc. fresh HIGH The June digestion resolved upward, not downward — SNOW cleared the ~$244 June high and printed a fresh 52-week high at $284.99 before settling at $268.90 (2026-07-17). Q1 FY27 product revenue re-accelerated to +34% and the street is still… ARM Arm Holdings plc fresh LOW Data-center royalty doubled YoY for a second quarter, but Q2 FY27 royalty growth is guided to ~13% against 22% delivered. No Arm-specific disclosure has landed since 2026-07-29, so the bid is set by third parties — BofA's 2026-08-13… COHR Coherent Corp. fresh LOW Coherent’s AI-optics recovery requires a named PhotonLink customer and production timing at the 2026-09-21 launch. Those disclosures and a subsequent weekly close above $281.86 complete the case before a weekly close below $264 invalidates… GLW Corning Incorporated fresh LOW Corning’s fiber-demand thesis requires Q3 2026 core sales of at least $4.9 billion and optical growth of at least 20% before a weekly close below $143. The sales threshold is management’s July guidance floor; the growth threshold is the… LRCX Lam Research Corporation fresh LOW The WFE/AI-memory capex trade that ran Lam +119% YTD into June has rolled into a group-wide correction — the worst month for chip stocks since 2008, memory momentum broken (Micron/SanDisk). The ~2026-07-29 FQ4 print is now the binary: it… NVDA NVIDIA Corporation fresh LOW July de-rating unresolved and now compounded by capex scrutiny — Alphabet's first cash-flow-negative quarter since 2004 and Intel's punished $20B capex plan raise the question of whether hyperscaler spend slows. Jensen's open-weight-AI… ONTO Onto Innovation Inc. fresh LOW June breakout fully round-tripped: ATH $386.46 (6/30) to $279.85 (7/17), now below the 50-DMA at $294.49. The tell is non-participation — TSMC raised capex to $60-64B and ASML guided up twice on 7/15-16, and ONTO closed the week at its… TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. fresh LOW Q2 (7/16) beat every line and lifted FY26 growth guide above 40%, but the capex raise to $60–64B and a 2026-07-26 Samsung–Broadcom $200B foundry pact reopened the monopoly question. Theme cooled to maturing; price recovered to ~$415, still… VRT Vertiv Holdings Co fresh LOW Vertiv's grid-power expansion supports a recovery case requiring Q3 2026 revenue to meet July guidance and a weekly close above $285.78. A weekly close below $240 or Q3 revenue below $3,650 million invalidates it; the September 18 close of… ELE Elemental Royalty Corporation HIGH Elemental Royalty Corporation’s royalty-growth case turns on completing Vizsla by 2026-09-30 with GEO guidance intact. The 2026-09-08 Mexican clearance advances that case; a weekly close below $19.00 or a missed closing window invalidates… MRX Marex Group plc fresh HIGH Roll-up compounder in clean momentum continuation: the sell-side is now chasing price, with KBW $80, Barclays $76 and Piper $75 targets (Jul 9-15) leapfrogging the old $60 consensus, while the Bright Point clearing bolt-on (2026-07-09)… ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-04) answered the July margin question: GM 73.7% vs ~73% guide, and Q3 guided $540–560M vs $416.5M consensus (~40% QoQ) with Scorpio X switches in volume production a quarter early. Price has not confirmed — the 2026-08-14 close… AMBA Ambarella, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Physical-AI pure-play narrative still accelerating (Rosenblatt top H2-2026 pick, PT $120; Zacks upgrade to #2 Buy 2026-07-21), but the post-Rosenblatt breakout to ~$80 round-tripped to ~$67.61 by 2026-07-24, forfeiting the $72 shelf on a… ARXS Arxis, Inc. MEDIUM Arxis’ defense-and-space acquisition story needs another revenue-guidance increase at the next quarterly report to confirm acceleration. The case requires organic growth to hold at the 21% reported on 2026-07-29 and ends first if a weekly… ATEYY Advantest Corporation fresh MEDIUM Advantest Corporation’s AI-testing thesis requires October 28 results to sustain July’s raised forecasts and a weekly close above $216.24 before a weekly close below $200. September 10 foundry growth supports demand indirectly; subsequent… BHE Benchmark Electronics fresh MEDIUM Beat-and-raise on 2026-07-29 (rev $756M +18% YoY, AC&C +71% YoY, FY26 lifted to ~$3B/+13%) was fully sold: price round-tripped from the $98.67 52-week high to $81.75 on 2026-08-14. The AI-cooling and lidar picks-and-shovels leg is… BLZE Backblaze, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Neocloud storage pick-and-shovel: the five-year ~$335M CoreWeave B2 Neo deal (2026-06-23) re-rated BLZE from the high-$7s to a 52-week high near $18, and sell-side is still chasing (Citizens to $16, 2026-07-23). Narrative accelerating but… COHU Cohu, Inc. MEDIUM Best fundamental print of the AI cycle (2026-07-30: rev $149M vs $144.08M cons.; Q3 guided $163–177M vs $146.33M) collided with a sector de-rate — the stock closed $52.88 on 2026-08-07, 28.5% under its $73.91 high and beneath the June… CRAI CRA International, Inc. MEDIUM Beat-and-raise from 2026-08-06 — record $210.8M quarter, FY26 constant-currency guide to $805–820M — remains only partly repriced: $174.99 on 2026-08-28, 20.8% under the $221.02 high, no company headline since 2026-08-08. The leg is a toll… CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd MEDIUM Interconnect/AEC royalty narrative still accelerating, not fading — new 52-week highs on late-June initiations (Evercore $325, Stifel $350, BofA $340) plus the early-July AI-buildout rally. But it's now mainstream and widely held, entering… CTOS Custom Truck One Source, Inc. MEDIUM Utility T&D / grid-capex cycle with CTOS as the laggard specialty-rental picks-and-shovels name; the June breakout to $11.36 has stalled, retracing ~10% to retest the ~$10 shelf into a binary 2026-07-29 Q2 print. Theme now maturing and… ENTG Entegris, Inc. MEDIUM June's sentiment re-rate rolled over; the 2026-08-04 beat-and-raise re-based the story on numbers — Q2 sales $883.2M vs $835.5M consensus, Q3 guide $905–935M vs $879.8M — and drew three target raises on 08-05 (UBS $215). At $152.08 the… FET Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM Forum Energy Technologies’ operating-leverage re-rating needs Q3 revenue of $225–245 million and retained full-year guidance. Those results plus a weekly close above the September 11 reference high of $86.31 would confirm the case; a… FIGR Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Figure Technology Solutions' Kiavi expansion needs Q3 marketplace volume to meet the $4.8–5.2 billion guidance excluding Kiavi while preserving Q2's 55% adjusted EBITDA margin. A weekly close below $30 or failure of either operating test… FORM FormFactor, Inc. MEDIUM Probe-card pick-and-shovel to the HBM4 test ramp; after a parabolic run to a fresh $160.27 ATH (2026-06-30) on Russell 1000 inclusion, the 2026-07-02 chip selloff cut FORM ~24% to ~$121. HBM inflection intact (record DRAM quarter, second… ICLR ICON plc MEDIUM ICON plc’s restatement-discount recovery depends on bookings sustaining its earnings outlook. A weekly close above the August reference of $172.23 and unchanged guidance at the next quarterly disclosure would confirm renewed recovery; a… KEYS Keysight Technologies, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Analyst-migration re-rate's second leg (Morgan Stanley to Overweight, PT $400, 2026-07-13) has stalled — silent tape near 28x forward, empty calendar until the ~2026-08-19 Q3 FY26 print. The $290–300 breakout-shelf entry hasn't come;… LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated fresh MEDIUM Ligand Pharmaceuticals’ royalty growth and XOMA integration support an earnings-compounding case. A weekly close above $322.61 before a close below $262, accompanied by a December 8 outlook preserving the projected 2027 XOMA contribution,… MYRG MYR Group, Inc. fresh MEDIUM AI/datacenter power-buildout supercycle lifting grid/electrical contractors; MYRG confirmed it with a record Q1 and a late-June breakout to fresh ATHs (~$487) above the $484.71 shelf. Theme accelerating + cluster-confirmed, but the Q2… P Everpure, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Everpure’s hyperscaler expansion supports a recovery thesis that needs quantified fiscal-2028 revenue at the September 23, 2026 analyst meeting and a weekly close above $110. A weekly close below $92 invalidates the case. PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Q3 (July 7) broke the model wide open: revenue $478.7M vs $405.5M consensus (+48% YoY), EPS $0.84 vs $0.54, FY26 growth guide lifted 12%→22% and FY27 pre-guided ~30%. The stock then round-tripped from $89.86 to ~$60 on the $750M… RGEN Repligen Corporation fresh MEDIUM Repligen's bioprocessing recovery and BioLife deal support a breakout thesis above the $182.03 market high. BioLife approval on 2026-10-05 and a weekly close above that high would confirm the next leg; a weekly close below $158 would… STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Sterling Infrastructure’s data-center construction story now rests on recovering the failed $550 shelf while preserving its raised earnings guidance. A weekly close above $550 would establish the recovery case; a weekly close below $465… TTMI TTM Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-05 binary resolved bullishly — Q2 revenue $1.004B beat both the $930–970M guide and $962M consensus, book-to-bill rose to 1.49, Q3 guided $1.100–1.140B vs $1.073B consensus. Yet the 2026-08-14 close of $140.0 is 36.8% below the… UROY Uranium Royalty Corp. MEDIUM Uranium Royalty Corp.’s Sweetwater expansion needs cash-flow confirmation. Positive operating cash flow and disclosed Sweetwater royalty revenue, alongside a weekly close above the August 21 reference of $4.38, would substantiate the case… VCYT Veracyte, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Sell-side is now chasing a move it missed: VCYT broke to a 52-wk high $60.91 (closed $59.13 on 2026-07-17, +124% YoY) as Piper initiated Overweight $66 (07-15) and Canaccord lifted a Hold PT $42→$60. Fundamentals still accelerating (Q1 rev… AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. LOW Applied Optoelectronics’ optical-transceiver expansion needs Q3 revenue of at least $255M and a weekly recovery above $110.21 to validate the case. A weekly close below $100 invalidates the recovery thesis. AAON AAON, Inc. fresh LOW Beat-and-raise on 2026-08-10 (Q2 sales $627.0M, +101.2%; FY guide up to $2.235–2.307B) landed with gross margin 24.3% vs 26.6% and the FY margin guide cut to 25–26%. Targets were cut the next day and the entire 2026-05-07 re-rating gap has… ACMR ACM Research, Inc. fresh LOW The base break published 2026-08-16 has held without extending: the 2026-09-04 close of $74.44 is two cents above the 2026-08-28 weekly close and still under the $76.29 June base low close, with RSI(14) down to 32.8 and no company-dated… AEIS Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. LOW Datacenter-power picks-and-shovels re-rating is now fully mainstream — Morgan Stanley initiated Overweight $421 (07-22) atop Wells $465 and Susquehanna $535 — yet the stock fell 12.65% on 07-02 and is sitting on its 200-day while analyst… AGX Argan, Inc fresh LOW AI-data-center gas-EPC theme still accelerating (4.1+ GW gas backlog, $973.6M cash, zero debt), but AGX has round-tripped from the $805.75 ATH to $563, losing both the ~$675 breakout and ~$600 shelves. Mean reversion toward the pre-run… AIP Arteris, Inc. fresh LOW Q2 (2026-08-06) beat and raised — revenue $24.1M +46%, TTM variable royalties $8.6M +65%, FY26 guide lifted to $95-98M — and the stock still closed $28.32 on 2026-08-14, 41.7% under the 6/30 high. The $33 weekly break fired while the… ALGM Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. fresh LOW The June AI data-center power-attach re-rate has flipped from being marked up to marked down: TD Cowen cut its target to $66 (2026-07-13) and Barclays downgraded to Equal-Weight at $48 (2026-07-20), the first target below the June range —… ALNT Allient Inc. fresh LOW Record-orders story intact — Q2 2026 bookings $201.3M (+49% YoY), 1.31x book-to-bill, backlog $298.0M — but the supply picture changed after the note: the CEO's trusts sold 70,000 shares at $112.49–$115.765 on 2026-08-10 and 13D holder… AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. LOW Applied Materials' recovery case is that equipment earnings can restore a weekly close above $492.32 before a weekly close below $437 invalidates it. The 2026-09-11 close of $456.49 leaves the August price structure unrepaired after the… AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. fresh LOW A second anchor — the $1.5B Nvidia advanced-packaging/test partnership (2026-07-23) stacked on the 2026-06-16 TSMC 10-yr Arizona deal — is re-rating Amkor from single-customer Apple OSAT toward US AI back-end anchor. But every catalyst… AMP Ameriprise Financial, Inc. fresh LOW Ameriprise Financial’s wealth-platform recovery requires a weekly close above $553.46 and third-quarter client flows above $3.1 billion before a weekly close below $540 invalidates it. Huntington’s planned October transition supplies the… AMSC American Superconductor Corporation LOW Grid/advanced-conductor supplier to data-center and utility power; backlog still ~+40% YoY (~$280M), but the tape broke after the 2026-05-28 beat-and-soft-guide and a late-June Russell removal piled on passive selling. Below the lost ~$40… AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited fresh LOW Post-parabola digestion. The Apr–May "second-order AI power-semi" re-rate (~3x to $54.34) is fully priced, above the $30.50 consensus PT with no fresh company catalyst in 11+ weeks; the 2026-07-15 pop was a newsletter-driven volume spike,… APH Amphenol Corporation LOW AI-interconnect content leg unchanged since the 2026-07-29 print — orders $10.7B, book-to-bill 1.23:1, Q3 guided above consensus — but the bid has not come back: $157.74 on 2026-08-28 is flat on the week while RSI(14) slid from 43.4 to… AREC American Resources Corporation LOW American Resources Corporation’s critical-minerals refining thesis breached its published $2.40 weekly price test on 2026-09-11. Recovery above that level and filed evidence of commercial value reaching the parent would be needed to… ASML ASML Holding N.V. LOW ASML's September customer agreements reopen its lithography growth story, but the price recovery remains unconfirmed. A weekly close above $1805 by 2026-10-14 and third-quarter sales meeting July guidance would establish the case; a weekly… ASX ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. fresh LOW Advanced-packaging pricing power is real — quotes raised 20%+ (2026-07-01), 2026 capex hiked to US$8.5B, CoWoS-equivalent capacity tripling to 25k wpm — but the tape topped at $45.51 the same day and sits ~15% lower inside a 13% semi… AVGO Broadcom Inc. LOW Broadcom’s custom AI ramp supports an earnings-recovery thesis if Q4 AI revenue meets its $21.7 billion guide at the planned 2026-12-09 report and shares reclaim $370 before a weekly close below $340. The September 11 close of $361.99… AXTI AXT Inc LOW AXTI's contracted-InP leg is intact on paper with no price expression: the 2026-09-02 close of $56.95 reclaimed neither the $58 line lost 09-01 nor April's $64.25 placement shelf lost 08-28, and no AXT release or filing is dated later than… AZZ AZZ Inc. LOW Beat-and-raise fired 2026-07-08 — Q1 adj EPS $1.85 vs $1.69, FY27 guide lifted twice on Metal Coatings momentum — but the catalyst is now behind the stock, which sits at all-time highs (~$157), ~23x forward and above consensus, with Wells… CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. fresh LOW Post-blowoff digestion is deepening: the ~4x data-center site-work roll-up has bled from a $96 high back to its $63 average analyst target, now below the $73 secondary price and the 50-DMA. Q1 organic +64% and an $854M backlog keep… CEVA CEVA, Inc. fresh LOW Edge-AI IP momentum leg has broken: June's reclaim to within ~3% of the $51.60 high failed, and the mid-July AI-capex scare (Moonshot model) drove shares back through the ~$44 base to the mid-$30s. Sell-side still carries $48–$55 targets,… CIEN Ciena Corporation LOW The 1.6T WaveLogic demand cycle is intact at the order book, but the trade has broken: $627.00 (06-02) to ~$370 (07-18) is a ~41% de-rating, and the $455–$467 shelf that framed the prior read is gone. Multiple compression from 54x forward,… CLPT ClearPoint Neuro, Inc. fresh LOW Picks-and-shovels delivery play on CNS gene therapy: ClearPoint's SmartFlow cannula and MRI navigation are the standard route to the brain for uniQure's AMT-130 Huntington's BLA (soft Q3-2026 window). The June re-rate held near $18.72… CLS Celestica, Inc. fresh LOW AI-datacenter EMS picks-and-shovels story still fundamentally climbing after the 2026-04-27 Q1 crush (rev +53% to $4.05B, FY26 guide raised to $19B), but the tape broke ~21% off its $474 June high and heads into a binary 2026-07-27 Q2… CRS Carpenter Technology Corp fresh LOW Aero-defense superalloy pricing cycle intact (three contracts at >30% hikes; Q4 op-income guide $205-210M, +37% YoY), but the July flush to $532 has been bought back to ~$603 straight into the 2026-07-30 Q4 print — now four sessions out… ERO Ero Copper Corp. fresh LOW Ero Copper's copper-growth re-rating now depends on operating delivery after its September 14 strategy update. A weekly close at or above the prior $40.40 high before a weekly close below $33.80 would establish that the recovery case… FN Fabrinet fresh LOW Optical cluster re-accelerated in July (AAOI +390% YTD, LITE +138%, COHR +107%) while Fabrinet sits ~$478, +0.7% YTD and ~36% under its $748.89 high. Revenue compounds at +30% but the tape has decoupled from its own theme — a… GENI Genius Sports Limited fresh LOW Sports-data toll-booth under the prediction-market boom, but the boom arrived and the toll didn't: Kalshi/Polymarket cleared $50B+ of World Cup volume (Coindesk, 2026-07-14) while GENI slid $6.43 → $6.30 and printed $5.98 intraday July 17.… GFS GlobalFoundries Inc. fresh LOW Photonics/CHIPS delivery kept accelerating — comms/data-center revenue +62% YoY in Q2 (2026-08-05), $300M Commerce LoI 2026-07-29 — while the multiple collapsed 39.2% from the $89.83 52wk high to $54.58 on 2026-08-14. What's on offer is a… GSM Ferroglobe PLC LOW US trade-remedy leg: the 2026-08-03 USITC affirmative vote forces AD/CVD orders on Australian and Norwegian silicon metal, on top of Angola/Laos orders live since 2026-03-17. Q2 (2026-08-04) delivered the sequential recovery — $13.1M adj… IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. fresh LOW Interactive Brokers' account-growth story supports a recovery case, but trading activity must rebound after August's sequential decline. A weekly close above the market's $98.10 high completes the price case; a weekly close below the… ICHR Ichor Holdings LOW Memory-capex WFE subsystem re-rating broke on the 2026-08-03 Q2 print: revenue $294.8M missed $300.2M consensus, the $78 June shelf failed, and the 2026-08-07 close was $68.32 against a $112.28 high. Q3 guidance still beats ($315–345M vs… IESC IES Holdings, Inc. LOW IES Holdings' data-center backlog supports a conditional price recovery after August's failed breakout. A weekly close above the $396.98 adjusted annual high completes the recovery case; a weekly close below $345 invalidates it. INDI indie Semiconductor, Inc. LOW Automotive ADAS-silicon design-win story keeps improving on paper ($7.4B backlog, $25M radar order, ams OSRAM sensor buy) while the tape stays broken below the ~$4.00 50-day MA; TD Cowen's 2026-07-13 lift to a $4.50 Hold is a thaw, not a… INOD Innodata Inc. fresh LOW AI training-data pure-play with a still-accelerating fundamental story (Q1 rev +54%, 40%+ FY26 guide reaffirmed 06-17) but a fully broken chart: ~-51% from the June $125.14 ATH to ~$61, with the CEO filing a fresh 200k-share sale on 07-16… KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited LOW China AI-compute capacity story is intact on fundamentals — AI gross billing +90% YoY and past half of public-cloud revenue in Q1 (reported 2026-05-27) — but the price leg broke: -32.3% from the $18.21 high with RSI(14) back at 70.0. The… KLAC KLA Corporation fresh LOW KLA Corporation’s inspection-demand recovery case requires September revenue of at least $4.0 billion and a weekly close above $210 by its earnings report. A weekly close below $175 breaks the case; the September 18, 2026 close was $176.99. LGN Legence Corp. fresh LOW AI-datacenter MEP/HVAC pick-and-shovel story still improving on fundamentals (record $5.38B backlog, FY guide raised to $4.1–4.3B), but the tape has decoupled: ~33% off the $102 May close high, LGN sliced the $76 breakout shelf and rolled… LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. LOW Two initiations in two sessions — Evercore ISI $1,100 on 08-31, Deutsche Bank $1,200 on 09-01 — and the tape closed 2026-09-02 at $870.58, still under the $885 weekly-close level and below the 08-31 close of $914.76. The $40 fiscal-2028… MDB MongoDB, Inc. fresh LOW Atlas re-acceleration (+29.4% YoY, record $117M seq add; Q1 FY27, 2026-05-28) is intact, but the +18.5% post-print breakout fully round-tripped from $444.72 to a $294.10 close as the AI-software theme sold on margin-timing fear. Sell-side… MEDP Medpace Holdings, Inc. fresh LOW Bookings-inflection leg (Q2 awards $795.7M, +28.2% YoY, 1.13x book-to-bill, FY26 guide raised 2026-07-22) unchanged on fundamentals, but the tape has given back part of the August recovery — $600.65 on 08-28 to $591.29 on 09-04 — while the… MKSI MKS Inc. LOW Operating leg accelerating into a de-rating tape: Q2 (2026-08-05) beat at $1.248B revenue / $3.30 adj EPS, Q3 guide $1.310–1.390B tops the $1.243B Street, leverage down to 3.0x — and the stock still fell 4.49% on the print and sits 31.4%… MOD Modine Manufacturing Co LOW Modine Manufacturing's data-center cooling recovery requires better margins and a weekly reclaim of $210. The next quarterly report must improve on the 20.2% segment gross margin reported on 2026-07-29; a weekly close below $153… MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. fresh LOW Monolithic Power Systems’ AI power-management recovery case needs Q3 revenue above its $1,140 million guidance floor and a weekly reclaim of the $1,313.32 June pivot. A weekly close below $1,200 ends the price-recovery case. MRVI Maravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc. fresh LOW Maravai LifeSciences’ Moderna-linked supplier thesis failed its published $7.24 weekly-close test on 2026-09-18 at $6.97. Company-reported vaccine orders and a recovery above that threshold are needed to establish a new case. MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. fresh LOW AI optical-interconnect arms-dealer with fundamentals still accelerating (FY26 DC growth guide >60%, Q3 guide $331-339M) but a July-broken chart: ~36% off the $418.90 high to ~$267 on the semi selloff, Russell Value index removal, and… NESR National Energy Services Reunited Corp fresh LOW National Energy Services Reunited's oilfield expansion supports a recovery case: a weekly close above $36.31 before one below $32 would settle the price leg. The next quarterly release tests whether second-quarter revenue of $520.8 million… PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. LOW Beaten-down bill-pay compounder: Q1 2026 revenue +30.2% YoY yet shares carved a $20.11 June 52-week low on margin-mix fear. Now ~40% off that low into a binary ~Aug-4 Q2 print — the read is a recovering base, not a chase. PDFS PDF Solutions, Inc. fresh LOW Yield-analytics software re-rated on a real margin step — operating margin ~18%→25%, Platform revenue +36% YoY (Q1 reported 2026-05-07) — but the ~+280% run peaked at $69.05 on 2026-07-02 and flushed 11.5% intraday; the name is now… POWL Powell Industries, Inc. LOW Record orders $934M and a 3.0x book-to-bill lifted backlog to $2.4B (+69% YoY) at the 2026-08-03 print, yet shares fell 13.4% the next pre-market on a second straight EPS/revenue miss and closed 2026-08-14 at $213.48, -33.7% off the high.… PTRN Pattern Group Inc. Series A fresh LOW Pattern Group's ecommerce growth story needs Q3 delivery and a price recovery after the September conference window elapsed. A weekly close above the August reference of $23.16 would confirm recovery before a weekly close below $19… QNST QuinStreet, Inc. fresh LOW QuinStreet's carrier-advertising recovery must translate into September-quarter guidance delivery and a price recovery before a weekly close below $17. Northland's 2026-09-17 target increase renews analyst support, but the 2026-09-18 close… QTWO Q2 Holdings Inc LOW Q2 Holdings’ margin-led recovery needs price confirmation after the September 11 close fell below its prior consolidation. A weekly close above $66 would confirm the price case before a weekly close below $58 invalidates it; the next… RMBS Rambus Inc. fresh LOW Memory theme is ripping — Micron +68% YTD with HBM sold out through 2027 — but Rambus has decoupled, down ~42% from its 2026-06-03 high of $174.10 to $101.44 while the cycle proxy sits near records. Interface content is a DIMM-unit story,… SITM SiTime Corporation fresh LOW MEMS-timing picks-and-shovels story is fundamentally intact — Q1 datacenter revenue +158% YoY to 67% of sales, Renesas timing deal closed July 1 — but the momentum leg has broken: ~$550 on July 18 is ~39% off the May 11 all-time-high close… SRAD Sportradar Group AG LOW Scope expanded, revenue did not: the 2026-08-27 Polymarket deal widened to 20+ leagues and ~300,000 matches a year, and the 2026-08-26 Euroleague renewal runs to 2031, yet the 2026-08-28 close of $12.94 sits below the $13.82 of two weeks… TER Teradyne, Inc. fresh LOW Parabolic AI-test leg broke hard: $483.84 closing ATH (2026-06-30) to $322.36 (2026-07-17), −33% in twelve sessions on a memory-glut scare, with the whole $446–$550 analyst band now stranded above spot. Company guided Q2 revenue DOWN… UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. fresh LOW WFE upcycle intact fundamentally but the tape broke: -35% from the $142.59 all-time close (2026-06-30) back under the ~$95 breakout shelf on sector-wide selling with no company news. Failed breakout, no support to $80.55, binary Q2 print… UFPT UFP Technologies, Inc. fresh LOW UFP Technologies' medical-outsourcing recovery case requires a weekly reclaim of $300 before a weekly close below $273. The prior case failed at the 2026-09-18 close, while CI Medical's acquisition release provides no financial… VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. LOW Networking-optical test theme still accelerating and the laggard test-and-measurement sleeve is finally re-rating: Susquehanna lifted its target to $66 (2026-07-01) and the small-cap-over-hyperscaler rotation flagged 2026-06-29 favors… VICR Vicor Corporation LOW Operating numbers still inflecting (Q2 guide ~$142M, book-to-bill >2.0, backlog $300.6M) but the chart has broken: $237.62 on 2026-07-17 is ~38% off the $382.65 July high, with $271 and $300 both lost and relentless CEO 10b5-1 supply. The… WHD Cactus, Inc. fresh LOW International wellhead order narrative from the 2026-07-29 Q2 beat is intact, but the re-rating leg is largely spent: Citigroup cut to Neutral on 2026-08-20 while raising its target to $75, and the shares closed $69.43 on 2026-08-21, 5.8%… WLFC Willis Lease Finance Corporation LOW Engine-leasing supercycle still printing records (Q1 rev +23%, EPS $4.03 vs $3.02 est), but the theme is maturing and the stock has faded ~18% off its 2026-07-06 ATH into the now-completed 3-for-1 split. The event stack has collapsed to…