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Freight & logistics theme · 43 dossiers

Dossiers in the Freight & logistics theme cluster — 43 names moving on shared catalysts.

Theme runProduced by the theme run on 20 September 2026, maturing.

All 43 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
RXO RXO, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Freight-cycle recovery intact; sell-side has fully caught up into a $20–35 battleground — bears $20 (Goldman 07-16, Susquehanna 07-14), bulls $30–35 (BMO $35 initiation 07-14, Stifel/Truist/Citi $30). Narrative matured from mispriced to… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials analysed · ARCB ArcBest Corporation fresh LOW ArcBest’s cost-reduction rebound failed its published price condition at the 2026-09-18 weekly close of $128.73. Third-quarter results still test recurring savings and preservation of the second-quarter 90.8% adjusted Asset-Based operating… Special situation · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. fresh LOW J.B. Hunt’s freight-recovery thesis was invalidated by the 2026-09-18 weekly close below $265. The estimated 2026-10-15 report tests whether intermodal pricing and profit growth can support a separate recovery case after September’s cost… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · LSTR Landstar System, Inc. fresh LOW Landstar System's truckload repricing must produce further earnings improvement. The 2026-10-27 results settle the case if truck revenue per load grows year over year and earnings per share exceed the second quarter's $1.44 before a weekly… Defensive · Freight & logistics catalyst · XPO XPO, Inc. fresh LOW XPO, Inc.'s shipment-and-margin thesis failed its price test when the 2026-09-18 weekly close of $174.25 breached $185. The 2026-10-29 results still test shipment growth and management's guidance for an adjusted less-than-truckload… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · LPG Dorian Lpg Ltd HIGH Dorian LPG’s contracted freight surge supports September-quarter TCE above June’s record $75,926 per available day. Reported results settle the case; a weekly close below $47 invalidates the equity thesis first. Compounder · Freight & logistics catalyst · BWLP BW LPG Limited fresh MEDIUM BW LPG Limited’s contracted freight earnings support dividend continuation; its 2026-11-24 report must show Q3 realised shipping TCE above Q2’s $74,000 per day and a dividend of at least $0.95 per share. A weekly close below $22.00… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Oil, energy & geopolitical analysed · CMBT CMB.TECH NV fresh MEDIUM CMB.TECH's vessel-disposal and cash-return story supports further upside if the proposed October distribution is delivered. The case requires payment of $0.64 per share and a weekly close above $20.41 by 2026-10-31, before a weekly close… Special situation · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Freight & logistics catalyst · CYRX CryoPort, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-06) split the read: revenue $49.0M beat $48.21M and FY26 guide affirmed at $192–196M with adjusted EBITDA crossing to +$0.4M, but commercial CGT growth halved to +9% YoY from +26%. The narrative leg is now the profitability… Cyclical recovery · Rare disease & gene therapy · Precision biotech & therapeutics catalyst · DHT DHT HOLDINGS, INC. LOW DHT Holdings’ tanker-rate story depends on strong charter bookings sustaining its September 11 high through the next results. Confirmation requires reported earnings to meet the disclosed booking benchmark and the release week to close… Compounder · Freight & logistics analysed · DSX Diana Shipping, Inc. LOW Diana Shipping's higher charter rates underpin a near-term breakout thesis, settled by a weekly close above $3.01 before a weekly close below $2.97. Those levels are the adjusted annual high and latest daily close in the September 11, 2026… Defensive · Freight & logistics catalyst · FRO Frontline Plc LOW Frontline's tanker-rate boom supports an earnings-persistence thesis, conditional on retaining the September high. The 2026-11-30 results test whether third-quarter vessel earnings sustain the second-quarter benchmark before a weekly close… Compounder · Freight & logistics catalyst · HAFN Hafnia Limited LOW Hafnia Limited’s tanker-earnings surge supports a continuation case at its 2026-09-11 high. The 2026-11-18 results test earnings durability, while a weekly close below $9.38 invalidates the price thesis. Compounder · Freight & logistics catalyst · KELYA Kelly Services, Inc. fresh LOW Kelly Services' staffing-recovery thesis depends on Q3 2026 meeting revenue and margin guidance before a weekly close below $15. The 2026-09-18 close of $16.14 has lost the former $16.31 shelf, weakening the price evidence ahead of that… Special situation · Freight & logistics catalyst · KFRC Kforce Inc. fresh LOW Cyclical staffing recovery is fully printed — Q1 returned to YoY growth, Q2 guided +~4% — but price ran ~24% in three weeks to a fresh all-time high near $58.6, ~38% above the $42.33 consensus PT, into the confirmed 2026-07-27 Q2 print. A… Special situation · Freight & logistics catalyst · PANL Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. LOW Dry-bulk recovery is in the P&L but not the tape: Q1 2026 (2026-05-11) adjusted EBITDA +70% YoY to $25.2M on $15,252/day TCE, yet the stock closed $7.42 on 2026-08-07, 20.1% under the $9.29 52-week high. The 2026-08-10 Q2 print is the… Earnings inflection · Freight & logistics catalyst · TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd. LOW Teekay Tankers’ record freight earnings underpin a continuation thesis requiring third-quarter rates to meet July booking benchmarks before a weekly close below $100.83. The next earnings report tests that persistence; its publication date… Compounder · Freight & logistics analysed · TRMD TORM plc LOW TORM plc’s freight-earnings story supports a conditional move to Evercore ISI’s $38 target, reported on 2026-08-27. The case succeeds at a daily close at or above $38 before a daily close below the 2026-09-11 reference close of $35.08… Compounder · Freight & logistics catalyst · SHIP Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. HIGH Seanergy Maritime’s freight upside rests on Q3 daily vessel earnings exceeding its 2026-07-30 estimate of approximately $30,998 while the dividend holds at $0.35 per share. The Q3 report tests that case; a weekly close below $15.50… Compounder · Freight & logistics catalyst · AMC Amc Entertainment Holdings, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Box-office recovery flipped from meme-squeeze dormancy to a fundamental earnings inflection: Q2 (2026-07-20) adj EPS $0.14 vs $(0.06) est, revenue $1.597B beat, plus a Wedbush $4 / Benchmark $3 upgrade cluster (2026-07-21). Narrative… Special situation · Freight & logistics catalyst · AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Q2 (2026-07-29) cleared the binary without breaking the plan: >200 driverless trucks and ~$80M exit run-rate reaffirmed, FY26 revenue guided $14–16M, ~$1.2B cash after a $215M net ATM raise. Price reclaimed the broken ~$6.00 June shelf to… Defensive · Physical AI & robotics · Freight & logistics catalyst · BETA Beta Technologies, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Beta Technologies' recovery case rests on certification progress converting aircraft backlog into revenue. A weekly close above the September 4 reference of $22.20 would confirm the price recovery; a weekly close below $19.00 would… Compounder · EV & autonomous mobility · Freight & logistics analysed · EDRY EuroDry Ltd. fresh MEDIUM EuroDry’s freight-led revaluation needs third-quarter charter earnings to sustain the second-quarter level. Confirmation requires reported TCE of at least $20,398 per vessel per day before a weekly close below $57.43; Panamax earnings of… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · SPSC SPS Commerce, Inc. MEDIUM De-rating-repair leg: Q2 (2026-07-30) beat on adjusted EPS $1.27 vs $1.09 with EBITDA +19% on 6% revenue growth, while the FY26 revenue band was cut on the 2026-06-30 3P divestiture. Price reclaimed the ~$70 200-day, but the fresh Morgan… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Freight & logistics analysed · TK Teekay Corporation Ltd. MEDIUM Teekay Corporation’s record tanker earnings support price continuation beyond its September 11, 2026 high of $14.38. A weekly close above $14.38 confirms that narrow case; a weekly close below $14.38 invalidates it. Compounder · Freight & logistics analysed · WNC Wabash National Corp. MEDIUM Wabash National Corporation’s tariff-supported recovery depends on backlog converting into narrower losses. The case requires an affirmative final China injury decision and Q3 delivery against July 29 guidance before a weekly close below… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Freight & logistics catalyst · YETI YETI Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Tariff-margin-recovery turnaround now getting sell-side confirmation: Goldman upgraded to Buy/$63 on 2026-07-20 (vs Canaccord's $45 Hold a month earlier), pushing YETI through the $51.89 multi-year high. The leg still hinges on the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · CAL Caleres Inc fresh LOW Q2 was pulled forward one day to 2026-09-09 (announced 2026-09-01), compressing the read into a single session: FY2026 consensus of $1.62 adjusted EPS sits at the top of the company's own $1.40–$1.65 guide, Famous Footwear is guided down… Earnings inflection · Freight & logistics · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · CVLG Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. LOW The margin-inflection leg broke at its own catalyst: Q2 (2026-07-29) adjusted OR 95.9% vs 94.6% PY — second straight quarter of YoY deterioration — revenue $332.9M missed $340.4M, and Stephens cut its 23-day-old target to $54 on 07-31.… Defensive · Freight & logistics catalyst · FAC Factorial Energy Inc. LOW Freshly de-SPAC'd solid-state battery name has fully unwound its debut mania — down ~78% from the $25.33 ATH to ~$5.67, breaking clean through the former $9.26 floor into a fresh 52-week low at $4.24. Cantor's $18 target now sits ~217%… Defensive · Solar & clean energy · Freight & logistics analysed · FWRD Forward Air Corporation LOW Busted-merger workout losing its bid: the +48% June bounce to $14.87 (on a speculative Amazon-bolt-on thesis) has faded ~13% to ~$13, whole-company sale is now reported "unlikely," and the 2026-07-10 chairman exit forfeited… Earnings inflection · Cyclical industrials · Freight & logistics analysed · HTLD Heartland Express, Inc. fresh LOW The margin-recovery leg printed on 2026-07-30 (operating ratio 91.0% vs 105.9%) and drew no lasting bid: price slid from $12.84 on 2026-08-21 to $12.44 on 2026-09-04, RSI 43.9, at the bottom of the August $12–$13 band, while freight… Special situation · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. fresh LOW Beat-and-raise is filed (Q2 adj EPS $0.63; Q3 guided $0.71–$0.77) but the equity is flat since 2026-08-21 at $71.99 while the driver stalled rather than reaccelerated — all-mode tender rejections 13.57% on 2026-08-25 versus a July 4 peak… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · MANH Manhattan Associates, Inc. LOW Cloud-conversion re-rating has printed a new 52-week high: the 2026-08-28 close of $223.28 is 0.2% under the $223.76 high, RSI(14) 79.7, with price 4.2% above the $213.90 aggregate analyst target. The only new input since the 2026-07-28… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Freight & logistics analysed · NAT Nordic American Tanker fresh LOW Nordic American Tankers' freight-rate rally needs exceptional contracts to lift reported fleet earnings. Confirmation requires the next fleet-wide daily TCE to exceed Q2 2026's $63,000 per ship before a weekly close below the September 18… Compounder · Freight & logistics catalyst · ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. fresh LOW Freight-cycle recovery in the top-margin LTL name is drawing a broadening upgrade cluster now printing above spot (Stifel $256 Jul 21, Truist $250 Jul 15, RJ $241 Jul 13), but growth is still rate and mix with tons/day negative. The… Defensive · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials analysed · PI Impinj, Inc. fresh LOW Post-correction RAIN RFID recovery has extended to $138.37 (2026-07-17), holding the reclaimed $128 April gap-fill and pressing the $144.57 post-earnings high — but the entire near-term read is the 2026-07-29 Q2 print (guide $103–106M, EPS… Earnings inflection · Freight & logistics analysed · SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. fresh LOW Tariff-recovery leg has stalled into a $39.71–$47.11 range with insiders selling every rally and zero buys; the whole story now hinges on the confirmed 2026-07-30 Q2 print. Consensus targets sit at or below spot ($43.75, 07-16), adjusted… Special situation · Freight & logistics catalyst · SNDR Schneider National, Inc. LOW Schneider National's contract-rate recovery needs the next report to sustain its improved Truckload margin and raised earnings outlook. The case is confirmed if margin matches the second quarter's 8.2% and the $0.90–$1.10 annual adjusted… Defensive · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · SXC Suncoke Energy Inc fresh LOW Coal-policy sympathy trade is fully dead: SXC has gone nowhere for three weeks, $8.39 on 2026-06-27 to $8.37 on 2026-07-17, pinned to the $8 shelf with no narrative velocity. The only live variable is the Q2 print, pulled forward to… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Freight & logistics analysed · TEN Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd. fresh LOW Tsakos Energy Navigation’s tanker earnings and fleet renewal support a continuation thesis. A weekly close above $52.81 before a weekly close below $52.09 would confirm the next price leg. Compounder · Freight & logistics catalyst · TORO Toro Corp. fresh LOW Panagiotidis shipping shell (NOT lawnmower TTC) ran 1.93→8.50 on a sub-NAV/special-dividend story that is now fully paid out and closed. Six weeks of dead tape since the 2026-06-05 payout ($3.8M cash + 5,707,246 NEW shares); on a true… Retail squeeze · Freight & logistics · M&A & special situations analysed · WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. LOW Williams-Sonoma's August 26 growth-guidance increase supports a recovery toward Evercore ISI's September 9 target of $240. A weekly close above $240 would demonstrate that recovery; a weekly close below $225 would invalidate it. Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cybersecurity catalyst ·
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