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Stocks · Archetype

Crowd-driven · 36 research notes

Stocks classified as Crowd-driven: 36 stocks, each with a dated research note: thesis, kill line and next catalyst.

All 36 have a dated research note with a published kill line: the note's own test, stated in advance, of what would prove it wrong: a price level, a business fact, or both.

All stocks
LUNRIntuitive MachinesMedium Intuitive Machines is modestly more likely than not to beat the S&P 500 over three months after record third-quarter revenue of $269.3 million and a $1.9 billion backlog. The 10-Q's count of at-the-market share sales tests the case, and…Space economywritten SGSweetgreenMedium Sweetgreen's comparable sales turned positive in October, up about 5% after the cyclospora outbreak, which gives the shares a modest edge over the S&P 500. Fourth-quarter comparable sales, which management expects to grow about 4%, settle…Consumer brands & retailwritten ENGSEnergys GroupLow Energys Group's shares fell 86% in one session to a $0.69 close on 11 November 2026 with no company explanation and are more likely to lag the S&P 500; the delayed fiscal 2026 annual report shows whether a projected 52% revenue gain holds…written HIMSHims & Hers HealthLow Hims & Hers Health shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 after a 9 November 2026 report showing 57% gross margin and a flat fourth-quarter revenue guide. November weight-loss billing data and early Lilly drug sales show whether growth…GLP-1 & obesity drugs · Managed care & health serviceswritten KSSKohlsLow Kohl's shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500, trading above the $17.25 consensus target on one upgrade and a refund-aided guidance raise; the Q3 report expected around 24 November 2026 shows whether $1.80–$2.40 EPS guidance holds.Consumer brands & retail · Heavily shortedwritten · catalyst ONDSOndasLow Ondas Inc. shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: the 12 November 2026 report beat on revenue but halved margins and widened losses, and the fourth-quarter 2026 report, expected around March 2027, settles whether…Defense & aerospace · Heavily shortedwritten · catalyst PLUGPlug PowerLow Plug Power's record-low $28 million Q3 2026 cash usage is real progress, but gross margin of about −3% was worse than Q2's −0.9%; Q4 targets of positive adjusted earnings and flat cash usage settle the next read.written · catalyst QBTSD-Wave QuantumLow D-Wave Quantum's shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months because third-quarter orders fell to $1.9 million and five brokers cut targets on 11 November 2026. The fourth-quarter report, expected around 26 February 2027,…Quantum computingwritten · catalyst RGTIRigetti ComputingLow Rigetti Computing's shares look more likely to lag the S&P 500 after third-quarter 2026 revenue of $1.41 million missed a $3.52 million consensus; India's C-DAC accepting its 108-qubit system by 31 December 2026 decides whether the roughly…Quantum computingwritten SOFISoFi TechnologiesLow SoFi Technologies' shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 after a hot October inflation report made a December Fed hike near-certain, despite a 2027 outlook above consensus. The 9 December 2026 Fed decision and the fourth-quarter report…Fintech, payments & creditwritten · catalyst OUSTOusterMedium Ouster's lidar sales grew 50% in the third quarter to $59.3 million, above its guidance ceiling, so the shares are modestly more likely than not to beat the S&P 500 over three months. The fourth-quarter report, expected in late February…Physical AI & roboticswritten BULLWebullLow Webull Corporation's shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months while the House China-ties finding is unresolved and regulatory costs mount; the 19 November 2026 third-quarter report settles whether revenue and margin hold.written · catalyst COOKTraegerLow Traeger's shares still trade well ahead of a business whose third-quarter 2026 revenue fell 40.4%, so they are more likely to lag than lead. The Lowe's holiday launch and the fourth-quarter report expected around March 2027 will show…Consumer brands & retail · Heavily shortedwritten · catalyst DNAGinkgo Bioworks HoldingsLow Ginkgo Bioworks' third-quarter revenue recovered to $27.7 million but is still 6% below a year earlier, and the shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500; fourth-quarter revenue against that $27.7 million figure settles it.written DPRODraganflyLow Draganfly's third-quarter 2026 report pushed its defense-driven growth into 2027, so the shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500; priced Canadian or U.S. defense orders reaching revenue would change that.Defense & aerospacewritten GRPNGrouponLow Groupon is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: third-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $14.7 million missed the $19–21 million guide, free cash flow was negative $45.8 million and full-year revenue guidance fell. The 8 December 2026…written · catalyst HTZHertz Global HoldingsLow Hertz Global Holdings is more likely to lag the S&P 500: its best operating quarter in three years left $17.9 billion of debt ahead of shareholders, and the 1 December 2026 bond maturity and any extension terms decide whether the equity is…Travel & leisurewritten · catalyst INHDInno HoldingsLow Inno Holdings is a low-conviction recovery case resting on reported cash of $33,238,616 at 30 June 2026, but the shares closed at $2.51 on 10 November 2026, below the September low; the fiscal 2026 annual report, due around 29 December…written JWELJowell GlobalLow Jowell Global, a China-based online seller of supplements and cosmetics, is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: the shares closed at $1.73 on 12 November 2026, down 44.0% in three months, with no filing behind the August…written MRAMEverspin TechnologiesLow Everspin Technologies is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: record third-quarter revenue of $20.6 million did not stop a 31.6% three-month fall, and legal costs keep GAAP results negative. The hearing before an…written NUTXNutex HealthLow Nutex Health's third-quarter cost cut came in smaller than guided and earnings fell from a year earlier, so the shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500; the fourth-quarter results and the two hospital openings decide it.written OPENOpendoor TechnologiesLow Opendoor Technologies is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: its 3.3% third-quarter margin met the cut outlook, but it guided a fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA loss of $70–85 million. The fourth-quarter results decide whether…Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Heavily shortedwritten PCTPureCycle TechnologiesLow PureCycle Technologies' recovery case failed its test: third-quarter output was 5.2 million pounds, below the 8.4-million-pound first-quarter record, and revenue missed badly on 4 November 2026. Fourth-quarter output and Thailand financing…written · catalyst PNRGPrimeEnergy ResourcesLow PrimeEnergy Resources looks more likely to lag the S&P 500 than lead it: crude fell to $86.85 on 9 November 2026 and the earnings repair needs gas revenue to turn positive. The third-quarter report, estimated for 16 November 2026, settles…Oil, energy & geopoliticalwritten PURRHyperliquid StrategiesLow Hyperliquid Strategies, which holds the HYPE token, is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: its shares trade below token value (0.93x on 6 November 2026), pausing share sales; the early-February 2027 report shows if buybacks…Crypto exchanges & financialswritten QUBTQuantum ComputingLow Quantum Computing Inc. is more likely to lag the S&P 500: third-quarter 2026 revenue of $9.5 million came at a 4.5% gross margin, with growth credited to acquisitions, and backlog fell to $39.1 million. Proof of Dirac-3S shipments and of…Quantum computingwritten QUIKQuickLogicLow QuickLogic's shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: third-quarter revenue of $5.138 million missed estimates, and the $8 million fourth-quarter guide needs a 55% jump from contracts not yet closed; the fourth-quarter…written RDACRising Dragon AcquisitionLow Rising Dragon Acquisition Corp., a blank-check company with no operating business, is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: its HZJL merger ended on 30 October 2026 and no new target is named. The 15 November 2026 extension…M&A & special situationswritten · catalyst RDWRedwireLow Redwire Corporation's shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: a record $619.7 million backlog has not yet produced profit, and third-quarter revenue missed estimates. The fourth-quarter report, expected around March…Space economy · Defense & aerospacewritten RFAIRF Acquisition Corp IILow RF Acquisition Corp II, a blank-check shell awaiting its Nanyang Biologics merger, is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: the price rests on a small float from 98.95% preliminary redemptions, and the closing report with final…M&A & special situationswritten · catalyst SATLSatellogicLow Satellogic's shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 because its record third quarter rested on satellite sales while recurring data revenue slipped and operating profit turned to a loss. Merlin commissioning results and delivery of the…Space economy · Defense & aerospacewritten WYHGLow Wing Yip Food's Nasdaq shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: 2025 profit fell, 23 million new shares were issued, and the price has swung with no company news. The third-quarter 2026 report, expected around 14…written XHGXChange TEC.INCLow XChange TEC.INC's shares trade on an AI-expansion plan with no disclosed First Cycle terms or US spending detail, so they are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months; a definitive agreement or the fiscal 2026 annual report settles…M&A & special situationswritten XOSLow Xos's third-quarter revenue of $5.5 million missed the $14.7 million estimate and full-year revenue guidance was cut to $25–35 million, so the shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 than lead it. Hub orders for fourth-quarter delivery…EV & autonomous mobilitywritten XRPNArmada Acquisition Corp. IILow Evernorth's shares have fallen to $10.41, near the $10.58 price at which Armada's public holders redeemed, yet still trade above the XRP behind them on DailyCoin's share count. The third-quarter report, due about 16 November 2026, settles…Crypto exchanges & financialswritten YAASYouxin TechnologyLow Youxin Technology is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: the shares closed at $0.78 on 12 November 2026, under Nasdaq's $1.00 minimum bid, and shareholders approved a share-capital expansion and reverse split. The fiscal 2026…written
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