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emerging-markets theme · 14 dossiers

Dossiers in the emerging-markets theme cluster — 14 names moving on shared catalysts.

All dossiers

BABA

fresh

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

MEDIUM

Cloud/AI re-rating leg: Cloud Intelligence external-customer revenue grew 40% YoY in the March-2026 quarter, Qwen3.8-Max shipped 2026-08-03 at $2/$6 per million tokens, and a 2026-08-07 report points to paid enterprise licensing. The…

Compounder ai-enterprise-software ai-datacenter-infrastructure
catalyst ·

BBAR

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.

MEDIUM

Argentina country trade re-accelerated: June CPI printed 1.9% MoM on 2026-07-14 (first sub-2% of the cycle) and country risk broke to 402bp, tightest since April 2018, carrying BBAR to a fresh 52-week high of $22.47. Price now sits above…

Compounder emerging-markets
catalyst ·

SE

Sea Limited

MEDIUM

Three-engine re-acceleration — Shopee GMV +30%, Monee loan book +71%, Garena's best quarter in 5 years — drove a Q1 beat (2026-05-12) and a +19% one-month recovery off the $77 low. Fundamentally accelerating, but the stock is short-term…

Compounder consumer-discretionary-rotation emerging-markets
catalyst ·

UGP

Ultrapar Participacoes S.A.

MEDIUM

Brazilian fuel-distribution margin re-rate (tax-evasion crackdown) plus a live Ipiranga sale process (~R$25-30B; TotalEnergies/Aramco/J&F, BTG advising) is the leg; Q1 net income +151% YoY, sell-side confirming late (B of A upgrade…

Special situation emerging-markets
catalyst ·

ATHM

Autohome Inc.

LOW

Cash-return re-rating in a shrinking business: EV of US$27m against US$2.67bn cash, a US$400m buyback authorised 2026-07-28 (~15% of market cap) and a restated RMB1.5bn 2026 dividend floor drove a +40% run off the 2026-06-05 low of $16.53.…

Special situation emerging-markets
catalyst ·

BAK

Braskem S.A.

LOW

Parent-level distress in the courts: ~2026-06-26 60-day São Paulo shield plus Chapter 15 in SDNY, Fitch C / S&P default (2026-06-30); management skipping ~$177M July–Aug coupons and pushing an extrajudicial plan (5-yr extension, 100% PIK)…

Earnings inflection biofuels-low-carbon emerging-markets
catalyst ·

BMA

Banco Macro S.A.

LOW

Argentina disinflation/credit-recovery basket; BMA is the best-capitalized domestic vehicle. Sequential CPI is genuinely improving (3.4%→2.6%→2.1%→1.9% MoM, Mar–Jun 2026), but the tape has gone nowhere since the Oct-2025 midterm leg — ~$90…

Compounder emerging-markets
catalyst ·

GGAL

Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.

LOW

Argentina disinflation is still working — June CPI printed 1.9% MoM on Jul 14, an improvement on May's 2.1% — but the ADR faded the good print, dropping ~7% on the week to ~$50 and losing both the $51.07 50-day and the $52.86 200-day.…

Compounder emerging-markets critical-materials-rare-earths
catalyst ·

IQ

fresh

iQIYI, Inc.

LOW

Long-form streaming growth is broken in the reported numbers — Q1 2026 revenue -13% YoY and operating income flipped to a RMB228.4m loss — so what is left to buy is the micro-drama/overseas/AI-cost pivot, which has no disclosed revenue…

Special situation semi-foundry-equipment ai-datacenter-infrastructure
catalyst ·

KARO

Karooooo Ltd.

LOW

Founder-led fleet-telematics compounder: Q1 FY2027 (2026-07-15) delivered a record 142,472 net Cartrack adds (+70% YoY) and +22% group revenue, but the stock had already run ~22% into a fresh 1-year high near $60 and prints overbought. The…

Compounder emerging-markets
analysed ·

KC

fresh

Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited

LOW

China AI-compute capacity story is intact on fundamentals — AI gross billing +90% YoY and past half of public-cloud revenue in Q1 (reported 2026-05-27) — but the price leg broke: -32.3% from the $18.21 high with RSI(14) back at 70.0. The…

Cyclical recovery ai-datacenter-infrastructure semi-foundry-equipment
catalyst ·

NEXA

Nexa Resources S.A.

LOW

Cyclical zinc-recovery confirmed and fully priced: Q1 EBITDA +126% YoY and Aripuanã's record 13kt ramp drove a run to the $16.89 high, but the equity now chops $12–13 while LME zinc printed a fresh 2026 high near US$3,622 — a bearish…

Special situation critical-materials-rare-earths emerging-markets
analysed ·

SKM

SK Telecom Co., Ltd.

LOW

Korea AI-infra narrative is loud while the ADR bleeds: $46.00 (06-02) to $30.62 (07-17), and both the 15GW plan (07-05) and JPMorgan's Overweight upgrade (~07-16) failed to hold a bid. The story flipped from AIDC margin accretion to ₩140T…

Special situation ai-datacenter-infrastructure emerging-markets
catalyst ·

SUPV

Grupo Supervielle S.A.

LOW

Milei disinflation trade re-firing: June CPI printed 1.9% MoM (first sub-2% of the cycle), reserves hit a record ~$49.5bn, and country risk is near an 8-year low — yet SUPV chops in the high-$9s while GGAL/BMA/BBAR led the July ADR rally.…

Compounder emerging-markets
catalyst ·