Skip to content
FrontierPicks

Filtered library · Theme

Semi foundry & equipment theme · 35 dossiers

Dossiers in the Semi foundry & equipment theme cluster — 35 names moving on shared catalysts.

Theme runProduced by the theme run on 20 September 2026, saturated.

All 35 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
UMC United Microelectronic Corp. fresh LOW Silicon-photonics pivot re-rated the ADR ~3x, but the July blowoff to $28.96 round-tripped -26% to $21.25 in days while sell-side finally upgraded (Macquarie Outperform 2026-07-14) — late-stage distribution behaviour. The 2026-07-29 Q2… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · AEHR Aehr Test Systems MEDIUM Aehr Test Systems’ AI burn-in orders support a revenue-ramp thesis; the next results must preserve fiscal 2027 guidance of $130–150 million. The recovery case requires a weekly close above Lake Street’s $110 target before a weekly close… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd. MEDIUM Tower Semiconductor’s silicon-photonics expansion needs its next quarterly report to confirm the August revenue guide and July 2028 model. A weekly close below $195 would invalidate the price recovery before that operating confirmation. Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · LRCX Lam Research Corporation fresh LOW The WFE/AI-memory capex trade that ran Lam +119% YTD into June has rolled into a group-wide correction — the worst month for chip stocks since 2008, memory momentum broken (Micron/SanDisk). The ~2026-07-29 FQ4 print is now the binary: it… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · ONTO Onto Innovation Inc. fresh LOW June breakout fully round-tripped: ATH $386.46 (6/30) to $279.85 (7/17), now below the 50-DMA at $294.49. The tell is non-participation — TSMC raised capex to $60-64B and ASML guided up twice on 7/15-16, and ONTO closed the week at its… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. fresh LOW Q2 (7/16) beat every line and lifted FY26 growth guide above 40%, but the capex raise to $60–64B and a 2026-07-26 Samsung–Broadcom $200B foundry pact reopened the monopoly question. Theme cooled to maturing; price recovered to ~$415, still… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · ANDG Andersen Group Inc. fresh MEDIUM Post-IPO roll-up re-rate that survived its binary: Q2 revenue $217.7M beat $199.3M on 2026-08-12 and FY2026 was affirmed at $980M–$1.0B, with four target raises to $49–57 on 2026-08-13. The print is behind it and no dated catalyst sits… Defensive · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · ATEYY Advantest Corporation fresh MEDIUM Advantest Corporation’s AI-testing thesis requires October 28 results to sustain July’s raised forecasts and a weekly close above $216.24 before a weekly close below $200. September 10 foundry growth supports demand indirectly; subsequent… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment · AI chips & memory catalyst · COHU Cohu, Inc. MEDIUM Best fundamental print of the AI cycle (2026-07-30: rev $149M vs $144.08M cons.; Q3 guided $163–177M vs $146.33M) collided with a sector de-rate — the stock closed $52.88 on 2026-08-07, 28.5% under its $73.91 high and beneath the June… Cyclical recovery · AI datacenter infrastructure · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · ENTG Entegris, Inc. MEDIUM June's sentiment re-rate rolled over; the 2026-08-04 beat-and-raise re-based the story on numbers — Q2 sales $883.2M vs $835.5M consensus, Q3 guide $905–935M vs $879.8M — and drew three target raises on 08-05 (UBS $215). At $152.08 the… Cyclical recovery · AI chips & memory · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · FET Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM Forum Energy Technologies’ operating-leverage re-rating needs Q3 revenue of $225–245 million and retained full-year guidance. Those results plus a weekly close above the September 11 reference high of $86.31 would confirm the case; a… Cyclical recovery · Cyclical industrials · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · FORM FormFactor, Inc. MEDIUM Probe-card pick-and-shovel to the HBM4 test ramp; after a parabolic run to a fresh $160.27 ATH (2026-06-30) on Russell 1000 inclusion, the 2026-07-02 chip selloff cut FORM ~24% to ~$121. HBM inflection intact (record DRAM quarter, second… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment · AI chips & memory catalyst · KEYS Keysight Technologies, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Analyst-migration re-rate's second leg (Morgan Stanley to Overweight, PT $400, 2026-07-13) has stalled — silent tape near 28x forward, empty calendar until the ~2026-08-19 Q3 FY26 print. The $290–300 breakout-shelf entry hasn't come;… Cyclical recovery · AI datacenter infrastructure · Networking & optical analysed · ACLS Axcelis Technologies, Inc. fresh LOW Axcelis has stopped falling without being re-bid: $115.57 on 2026-08-28 to $115.08 on 2026-09-04, RSI(14) down to 22.0, 39.9% under the $191.6 high. What is left is a de-rated implant franchise plus an undated China SAMR ruling into the… Earnings inflection · Semi foundry & equipment · M&A & special situations catalyst · ACMR ACM Research, Inc. fresh LOW The base break published 2026-08-16 has held without extending: the 2026-09-04 close of $74.44 is two cents above the 2026-08-28 weekly close and still under the $76.29 June base low close, with RSI(14) down to 32.8 and no company-dated… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · AEIS Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. LOW Datacenter-power picks-and-shovels re-rating is now fully mainstream — Morgan Stanley initiated Overweight $421 (07-22) atop Wells $465 and Susquehanna $535 — yet the stock fell 12.65% on 07-02 and is sitting on its 200-day while analyst… Cyclical recovery · AI datacenter infrastructure · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. LOW Applied Materials' recovery case is that equipment earnings can restore a weekly close above $492.32 before a weekly close below $437 invalidates it. The 2026-09-11 close of $456.49 leaves the August price structure unrepaired after the… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. fresh LOW A second anchor — the $1.5B Nvidia advanced-packaging/test partnership (2026-07-23) stacked on the 2026-06-16 TSMC 10-yr Arizona deal — is re-rating Amkor from single-customer Apple OSAT toward US AI back-end anchor. But every catalyst… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment · AI chips & memory catalyst · ASML ASML Holding N.V. LOW ASML's September customer agreements reopen its lithography growth story, but the price recovery remains unconfirmed. A weekly close above $1805 by 2026-10-14 and third-quarter sales meeting July guidance would establish the case; a weekly… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · ASX ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. fresh LOW Advanced-packaging pricing power is real — quotes raised 20%+ (2026-07-01), 2026 capex hiked to US$8.5B, CoWoS-equivalent capacity tripling to 25k wpm — but the tape topped at $45.51 the same day and sits ~15% lower inside a 13% semi… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · ATHM Autohome Inc. fresh LOW No company disclosure since the 2026-08-20 print; what moved is the research around it — Citi lifted its target from $17 to $22 on 2026-08-24, Goldman from $19 to $21, and consensus now reads $21.44, below the 2026-09-04 close of $22.03.… Special situation · Emerging markets · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · AXTI AXT Inc LOW AXTI's contracted-InP leg is intact on paper with no price expression: the 2026-09-02 close of $56.95 reclaimed neither the $58 line lost 09-01 nor April's $64.25 placement shelf lost 08-28, and no AXT release or filing is dated later than… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · CLW Clearwater Paper Corporation LOW Clearwater Paper's paperboard recovery depends on September extending August's pricing increase and third-quarter earnings meeting guidance. The case requires another SBS assessment increase and $20–30 million of third-quarter adjusted… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · GFS GlobalFoundries Inc. fresh LOW Photonics/CHIPS delivery kept accelerating — comms/data-center revenue +62% YoY in Q2 (2026-08-05), $300M Commerce LoI 2026-07-29 — while the multiple collapsed 39.2% from the $89.83 52wk high to $54.58 on 2026-08-14. What's on offer is a… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment · Networking & optical catalyst · ICHR Ichor Holdings LOW Memory-capex WFE subsystem re-rating broke on the 2026-08-03 Q2 print: revenue $294.8M missed $300.2M consensus, the $78 June shelf failed, and the 2026-08-07 close was $68.32 against a $112.28 high. Q3 guidance still beats ($315–345M vs… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · JWEL Jowell Global Ltd. fresh LOW Low-float China e-commerce microcap that repriced +106% intraday on 2026-08-10 with no filing behind it; the leg being bought is float scarcity (2.38M shares out, $7.3M market cap) plus a 0.04x sales optic. Nothing on the calendar resolves… Retail squeeze · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · KLAC KLA Corporation fresh LOW KLA Corporation’s inspection-demand recovery case requires September revenue of at least $4.0 billion and a weekly close above $210 by its earnings report. A weekly close below $175 breaks the case; the September 18, 2026 close was $176.99. Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment · AI chips & memory catalyst · MKSI MKS Inc. LOW Operating leg accelerating into a de-rating tape: Q2 (2026-08-05) beat at $1.248B revenue / $3.30 adj EPS, Q3 guide $1.310–1.390B tops the $1.243B Street, leverage down to 3.0x — and the stock still fell 4.49% on the print and sits 31.4%… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · MTUM LOW The AI-memory leg MTUM rotated into at the May reconstitution has rolled over: SOX -20%+ from its June peak, memory names in a bear market, and the fund closed $302.09 on 2026-07-17, below the $310 shelf that defined the… Compounder · AI chips & memory · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · PDFS PDF Solutions, Inc. fresh LOW Yield-analytics software re-rated on a real margin step — operating margin ~18%→25%, Platform revenue +36% YoY (Q1 reported 2026-05-07) — but the ~+280% run peaked at $69.05 on 2026-07-02 and flushed 11.5% intraday; the name is now… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment · AI enterprise software catalyst · TAL TAL Education Group fresh LOW Legacy-pivot re-rating still intact on fundamentals — Q1 FY2027 revenue +31.9% to $758.4M with selling and marketing down 5% — but the post-print impulse has largely round-tripped: $12.16 on 2026-08-11 to $11.32 on 2026-08-21, RSI 37.2,… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · TER Teradyne, Inc. fresh LOW Parabolic AI-test leg broke hard: $483.84 closing ATH (2026-06-30) to $322.36 (2026-07-17), −33% in twelve sessions on a memory-glut scare, with the whole $446–$550 analyst band now stranded above spot. Company guided Q2 revenue DOWN… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment · AI chips & memory catalyst · UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. fresh LOW WFE upcycle intact fundamentally but the tape broke: -35% from the $142.59 all-time close (2026-06-30) back under the ~$95 breakout shelf on sector-wide selling with no company news. Failed breakout, no support to $80.55, binary Q2 print… Cyclical recovery · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · VECO Veeco Instruments Inc. LOW Merger-arb tracking stock for Axcelis: fixed 0.3575 ACLS/VECO, both votes cleared 2026-02-06, only China SAMR remains before the 2026-09-30 outside date. ACLS's slide to ~$134 de-pegged VECO to a premium over the exchange ratio (~$48) —… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · VIOT Viomi Technology Co., Ltd fresh LOW Viomi Technology’s recovery now depends on appliance sales and profit after Nasdaq compliance was restored on 2026-09-18. The case requires second-half revenue above RMB740.0 million and positive net income before a weekly close below… Defensive · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Semi foundry & equipment analysed ·
Browse another filter