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Travel & leisure theme · 18 dossiers

Dossiers in the Travel & leisure theme cluster — 18 names moving on shared catalysts.

DormantLast produced 10 August 2026, 41 days ago — outside the 14-day window the model counts as current work.

All 18 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
GEO The GEO Group, Inc. MEDIUM The GEO Group’s detention-contract story depends on year-end 2026 activation, with normalized earnings expected in early 2027. A weekly close above $32.77 would confirm the price leg; a weekly close below $28 or a disclosed activation… Compounder · Travel & leisure · Managed care & health services catalyst · NAVN Navan, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Q2 FY2027 prints 2026-09-09 with the first positive non-GAAP operating-income guide ($13.5–14.5M) on the line. Four target raises in 21 days — BofA $26→$34 on 09-02, Morgan Stanley $33 on 09-04 — landed while the shares fell from the… Earnings inflection · AI enterprise software · Travel & leisure analysed · ALGT Allegiant Travel Company fresh MEDIUM Allegiant closed the $1.5B Sun Country acquisition (2026-05-13) to become the largest US leisure airline just as fuel flipped to a tailwind and the whole sell-side re-rated it to $142–$160; the move has more than doubled off the low, and… Special situation · Travel & leisure analysed · MCS The Marcus Corporation MEDIUM Theatrical-recovery re-rating is drifting sideways with no company input: no release and no target revision since 2026-08-04, leaving consensus at $32.25 while the 2026-08-28 close of $29.02 sits 6.5% under the $31.03 52-week high.… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation · Travel & leisure catalyst · PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust fresh MEDIUM Pebblebrook Hotel Trust’s lodging recovery requires October 29 results to sustain its raised earnings outlook before the $16 breakout shelf fails. The case resolves positively if third-quarter RevPAR growth exceeds +1% and annual guidance… Earnings inflection · Travel & leisure analysed · ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Fuel-relief leg replaced by an earnings-delivery leg: the 2026-07-29 Q2 print put adjusted EPS at $(0.10) against a $(0.60)–$(0.45) May guide on record $1,279M revenue, and guided 2H to breakeven-or-better. The catch is that guide assumes… Earnings inflection · Travel & leisure · Oil, energy & geopolitical catalyst · ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. LOW Alaska Air Group’s recovery case depends on restored guidance on 2026-09-29 and a weekly close above $47 by the estimated 2026-10-22 results. A weekly close below $38 or Investor Day passing without a full-year framework invalidates the… Special situation · Travel & leisure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. fresh LOW Booking Holdings’ repurchase-led earnings story has failed its published $188 weekly price test: the 2026-09-18 adjusted close was $167.90. A separate recovery case requires a weekly reclaim of $188 and Q3 room-night and revenue growth… Compounder · Travel & leisure catalyst · FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. LOW Payments roll-up at ~$50, a hair above its $46.26 52-week low set on a 2026 guide-down. The Global Blue tax-free-shopping integration ("Shift4 One," launched 2026-07-14) is the transformation leg, but the 2026-07-30 Q2 print is the binary… Earnings inflection · Fintech & consumer credit · Travel & leisure analysed · JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation fresh LOW Fuel-reversion bull leg broke: Brent re-spiked to ~$86 (Jul 17) on renewed Mideast conflict, reversing the sub-$73 tailwind the whole trade needed. Raymond James (Jul 6) cut to Underperform flagging a Chapter 11 that wipes equity; $9.3B… Earnings inflection · Travel & leisure · Oil, energy & geopolitical catalyst · LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. LOW Lindblad Expeditions’ occupancy-and-pricing rerating thesis failed when the 2026-09-11 weekly close of $25.67 breached its published $26.56 threshold. The August operating results support the underlying execution story, but they do not… Defensive · Travel & leisure analysed · MMYT MakeMyTrip Limited fresh LOW MakeMyTrip's mid-year recovery bounce has stalled: after reclaiming the 200-day near $55, MMYT rolled back to ~$49, below both the 50- and 200-day, straight into an August 3 Q1 FY2027 print where consensus models EPS down ~76% YoY on ~137x… Earnings inflection · Travel & leisure catalyst · NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. fresh LOW Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings’ remaining case is activist-led recovery toward the $16 shelf lost on 2026-09-04. A weekly close above $16 would establish initial repair, while a weekly close below $14 would invalidate the case. Defensive · Travel & leisure · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. fresh LOW Park Hotels & Resorts’ earnings recovery needs a reclaim of the $15.32 August shelf and sustained guidance at the 2026-11-04 results. A weekly close below $14.60 or full-year adjusted FFO guidance below $1.90 per share invalidates the case. Defensive · Travel & leisure catalyst · SABR Sabre Corporation fresh LOW June's +20% deleveraging bounce has fully round-tripped: $1.99 (6/26) back to $1.73 (7/17), now under the 50-day near $1.79 after failing exactly at the $1.99 consensus PT. Balance sheet is fixed, narrative is not accelerating, and a… Special situation · Travel & leisure catalyst · STUB StubHub Holdings, Inc. LOW June's busted-IPO recovery leg has fully reversed. D.C.'s RESALE Act (10% resale-markup cap, effective 2027-01-01) plus a Texas AG probe into undelivered World Cup tickets broke the experience-economy narrative; at ~$8.60 STUB trades below… Special situation · Travel & leisure analysed · TRIP TripAdvisor, Inc. LOW Tripadvisor's residual-value case rests on TheFork proceeds and Experiences growth supporting a weekly recovery above $10. A weekly close below $9 invalidates the price case; failure to close TheFork by December 31, 2026 defeats the… Special situation · Travel & leisure · M&A & special situations analysed · VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation fresh LOW Marriott Vacations Worldwide’s earnings-led re-rating failed its $106 weekly price test at the 2026-09-11 close of $103.59. The next quarterly results must establish whether the operating recovery still supports the $805–830 million… Special situation · Travel & leisure · Fintech & consumer credit analysed ·
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