Stocks · Theme
Space economy stocks · 14 research notes
14 Space economy stocks with a dated research note: thesis, kill line and next catalyst.
Earlier themeNot among the research's active themes (last active 6 September 2026). Each stock's note below is dated on its own.
All 14 have a dated research note with a published kill line: the note's own test, stated in advance, of what would prove it wrong: a price level, a business fact, or both.
All stocksARXSArxisMedium Arxis, a defense, space and industrial component roll-up, is modestly likely to beat the S&P 500 after 29% organic growth and a raised outlook on 28 October 2026. Its fourth-quarter report, due about late February 2027, tests whether…LUNRIntuitive MachinesMedium Intuitive Machines is modestly more likely than not to beat the S&P 500 over three months after record third-quarter revenue of $269.3 million and a $1.9 billion backlog. The 10-Q's count of at-the-market share sales tests the case, and…RKLBRocket LabMedium Rocket Lab's record third-quarter revenue of $267.8 million and its $3.57 billion backlog give the shares a modestly better-than-even case against the S&P 500 over three months. A dated Neutron launch quarter and fourth-quarter revenue…ASTSAST SpaceMobileLow AST SpaceMobile's shares look more likely to lag the S&P 500 than lead it after a third-quarter revenue miss and a 45-satellite target pushed to mid-2027. Shipment of BlueBirds 17 to 19 by the end of November 2026 and launches of BlueBirds…SPCXSpaceXLow SpaceX shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 because Anthropic, its largest compute customer, can leave its contracts in early 2027. The 1 December 2026 billing start of a $1.11-billion-a-month hosting deal is the first test of whether…BKSYBlackSky TechnologyMedium BlackSky's Q3 revenue of $42.8M (+118%) and a raised FY2026 guide of $140M–$150M strengthen the recovery case; Gen-3 launch timing and equity issuance settle how much the price keeps, with Investor Day on 2 December 2026.PLPlanet Labs PBCLow Planet Labs' shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: third-quarter guidance of $101–105 million sits under consensus and contracted work is shrinking. The report after the close on 10 December 2026 settles it.RDWRedwireLow Redwire Corporation's shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: a record $619.7 million backlog has not yet produced profit, and third-quarter revenue missed estimates. The fourth-quarter report, expected around March…SATLSatellogicLow Satellogic's shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 because its record third quarter rested on satellite sales while recurring data revenue slipped and operating profit turned to a loss. Merlin commissioning results and delivery of the…SIDUSidus SpaceLow Sidus Space is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: on 12 November 2026 its restatement widened to eight reporting periods back to the third quarter of 2024, with no date for corrected filings. The third-quarter Form 10-Q, due…SPIRSpire GlobalLow Spire Global's third quarter cut cash use to $5.0 million but missed revenue and trimmed 2026 guidance to $75–80 million, so the shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500; the fourth-quarter report shows whether the guided $23–28 million…TSATTelesatLow Telesat's shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: unresolved debt on its older geostationary satellites overshadows the Lightspeed low-Earth-orbit build, and a rescue or Chapter 11 filing would likely dilute holders.…VOYGVoyager TechnologiesLow Voyager Technologies is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months: record bookings and a $742 million backlog sit against widening losses, and the shares closed at $27.79 on 12 November 2026, 47.0% below the 52-week high. NASA's 8…YSSYork Space SystemsLow York Space Systems' shares are more likely to lag the S&P 500: the 12 November 2026 report showed backlog of $581.0 million and a $749.7 million goodwill write-down. The fourth-quarter report in March 2027 shows whether backlog rises above…