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Space economy theme · 17 dossiers

Dossiers in the Space economy theme cluster — 17 names moving on shared catalysts.

Theme runProduced by the theme run on 6 September 2026, saturated.

All 17 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
IRDM Iridium Communications Inc fresh MEDIUM Iridium Communications’ merger-discount thesis now has completed financing behind it; acquisition completion before a weekly close below $43.50 settles the case. Rocket Lab’s 2026-09-15 funding announcement advances the transaction, while… Earnings inflection · Space economy catalyst · SPCX SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) MEDIUM SpaceX’s compute expansion now has a price breakout behind it; September capacity delivery and the December contract start test revenue conversion. A weekly close below $146.15 invalidates the breakout thesis. Compounder · Space economy · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation fresh MEDIUM Rocket Lab's stabilisation case rests on operating growth absorbing acquisition dilution after its September 15 funding announcement. Iridium approval on 2026-09-24 followed by a weekly close above $64.26 confirms the narrow case only if a… Compounder · Space economy catalyst · ARXS Arxis, Inc. MEDIUM Arxis’ defense-and-space acquisition story needs another revenue-guidance increase at the next quarterly report to confirm acceleration. The case requires organic growth to hold at the 21% reported on 2026-07-29 and ends first if a weekly… Cyclical recovery · Space economy · Defense & aerospace catalyst · ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. LOW AST SpaceMobile’s spectrum-access recovery requires a disclosed Grain agreement and a weekly close above $62.40 by 2026-11-05. A weekly close below $55.74 would invalidate the case first. Earnings inflection · Space economy analysed · BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. fresh LOW Gen-3 subscription ramp landed in Q2 (2026-08-06): revenue $33.316M vs $30.68M est, +50% YoY, adjusted EBITDA $4.7M, FY26 guide affirmed at $130–150M. But EPS missed at $(0.54) vs $(0.36), cash is $36.9M against a $50–60M capex guide, and… Defensive · Space economy · Defense & aerospace catalyst · FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. LOW Narrative and price have fully decoupled: FLY stacked a $144M CLPS award, a Moon BASE seat and a $13M Mars subcontract into a -47% drawdown, falling 9.6% on 7/16 on the awards headline itself. At $19.27 vs a $45 IPO price and 31% below the… Defensive · Space economy · Defense & aerospace catalyst · LUNR Intuitive Machines, Inc. LOW The June 30 NASA Moon BASE award ($148.3M Nova-C) bought exactly one green session before the stock broke: seven straight down days into 2026-07-13 for -24.5%, -36.5% on the month, $13.80 on 2026-07-18 versus a $38.55 May high. A live… Retail squeeze · Space economy catalyst · PL Planet Labs PBC LOW Planet Labs’ satellite-data growth supports a tentative recovery case after the September 3 earnings beat failed to preserve its July range. A weekly close above $19.16 before a weekly close below $16.45 would establish the defined… Earnings inflection · Space economy analysed · RDW Redwire Corporation LOW Post-SpaceX-IPO deflation broke RDW to a 2026-07-18 low near $8.51 (~67% off the 5/28 record). A relief bounce on Huntsville/Indiana facility news and $41.5M of H1 Stalker drone orders keeps running into a ~$850M dilution ceiling: the… Retail squeeze · Space economy · Defense & aerospace analysed · SATL Satellogic Inc. LOW The mania leg broke in July — the $6.33 shelf and the $4.97 range low both went — and the 2026-08-05 Q2 print handed the name a different story: revenue $15.9M (+259% YoY) vs $9.6M consensus, plus the first positive operating income and… Retail squeeze · Space economy analysed · SIDU Sidus Space, Inc. LOW Sidus Space’s cash-and-launch recovery thesis failed when the 2026-09-11 close of $2.00 breached its $2.15 weekly threshold. Successful orbital operation and subsequent revenue growth remain the unresolved commercial tests. Retail squeeze · Space economy analysed · SPIR Spire Global, Inc. LOW Spire Global’s government weather-data recovery thesis failed its $13 weekly-close condition at the $11.42 close on 2026-09-11. The September 18 delivery milestone tests execution, but cannot reverse that recorded failure. Defensive · Space economy catalyst · TSAT Telesat Corporation Class A Common Shares and Class B Variable Voting Shares LOW Legacy GEO operator re-rating on a funded LEO pivot: 2026-08-04 C$2.3B, 15-year Canadian Arctic Mil-Ka contract expands Lightspeed 156→225 satellites and lifts the 2032 revenue target to US$4.9B from US$3.2B. Price closed at the 52-week… Special situation · Space economy · Defense & aerospace analysed · VOYG Voyager Technologies, Inc. LOW Voyager Technologies’ order-book re-rating needs price recovery and September NASA procurement progress. The case requires a weekly close above the August $38.40 reference before a weekly close below $32, unchanged $275–305 million 2026… Compounder · Space economy catalyst · WSC WillScot Holdings Corporation LOW Cyclical modular-space leasing recovery with a small data-center kicker and an activist/M&A floor, but range-bound and digesting: shares drifted to ~$26 under the $31.88 high after the 2026-06-27 Russell growth-index removal. The confirmed… Theme leader · Space economy · Housing, homebuilders & proptech catalyst · YSS York Space Systems Inc. LOW York Space Systems’ procurement-delay recovery case failed when its 2026-09-11 weekly close breached $8.86. Funded orders, backlog growth and recovery of that shelf are required to establish a new case. Earnings inflection · Space economy analysed ·
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